Private Spacecraft Prospects 99
mwallis writes "Space.com has an article on the recent Space Access conference in Scottsdale a few weeks ago. The article talks about the (slowly) emerging commercial space transportation industry with interviews and quotes from Space Access Society's Henry Vanderbilt, XCOR's Aleta Jackson, Armadillo's John Carmack and many others."
Hrmm (Score:3, Funny)
Re:Hrmm (Score:3, Funny)
Not impressed. (Score:5, Interesting)
We need:
1) High-altitude high-speed space/planes to make the 3 hour trip from Chicago O'hare to Tokyo
or
2) Some sort of destination for the space trip, ala the moon.
If it's weightlessness you want, I'm sure you can buy a vomit comit for much less than funding your own rocket program.
Now, if your enterprise is purely geared towards privatizing small-scale space work, and gaining a foothold in that area, then I have to applaud that. If we're going to have an inter-sol-system trucking company we've gotta have pioneers. ^_^
Re:Not impressed. (Score:5, Insightful)
Look, of course the eventual goal is to do more practical things with the technology -- high-speed suborbital flights, orbital manufacturing, Lunar hotels, etc. But it's a big mistake to try to develop that kind of thing without taking intermediate steps. Agreed. But before the pioneers come the trailblazers. Right now, we're still at the Lewis & Clark stage; it will be a while before we can have a Space Homestead Act.
Re:Not impressed. (Score:4, Interesting)
No we aren't.
Right now we are at the Land Bridge from Asia to America and/or the Europe to America land bridge.
When we have 5 million people in space and getting ready to send men further we will be at the Lewis and Clark stage.
Re:Not impressed. (Score:2)
Didn't you see Space Truckers?? (Score:1, Informative)
Re:Not impressed. (Score:5, Funny)
Realistically... (Score:1)
You can do it, it's just I think duplicating the space shuttle or repurposing it is silly.
Re:Realistically... (Score:2)
Re:Not impressed. (Score:3, Interesting)
Some people will be willing to pay a little more so they dont crash into the floor every 30 seconds. when the plane changes direction. It would be cool to have a fiew hours of weightlessness and a full view of the earth. Uninhibited with computer graphic representation or borders lines. Or a pixaly monitor view. If it was designed right it could be a very relaxing vacation. Free from t
Re:Not impressed. (Score:1)
And SARS III kills humanity.
"Free from the problems of the earth, you can just flot there without stress on your body. "
Oh God, a new fetish, more depraved that furries or adult babies! Get into zero-G, zip you up in a specially made pink rescue ball -- viola! back to the womb for adult fetus fetishistes!
Re:Not impressed. (Score:5, Insightful)
These companies are setting the stepping stones that others will follow. I hope to the gods of space and exploration that they make it before I die.
As for your point #1, apparently the "need" that exists for such a trip does not outweigh the costs to get it set up. No one wants to make the investment. What can you do, other than give it a shot yourself?
Re:Not impressed. (Score:5, Funny)
Well, I was going to say, 'great view' or 'getting my astronaut wings' or 'exclusivity' or 'bragging rights' but how about:
zero-g sex?
:-)
Re:Not impressed. (Score:2)
zero-g sex?
I think you're a lot closer than you realize...
Re:Not impressed. (Score:1)
Re:Not impressed. (Score:2)
Re:Not impressed. (Score:2)
Re:Not impressed. (Score:1)
Ok
The trick is to demonstrate reliable, reusable, reasonably priced space transportation. What you do with it is up to you.
Me? I'd like to help build the first Lunar Settlement
Times article (Score:5, Informative)
Paul
Re:Times article (Score:2)
For Your Viewing Pleasure: (Score:5, Funny)
Fun With Babelfish! (Score:1, Funny)
10. "MOD that I to the top of Scotty"
9. new Starship indicated: Nx-31337
8. the company Re-would explore in an erroneous way same planets all the few months when
7. shares of the crew would require retitrer the boat with GNU/Enterprise
6. each time Kirk indicates anything, glare of fifty people on the bridge and
5. open shields of source repeat it the notation not of a so good captain of idea
4. completion of the
With a bouncy "C" (Score:2, Funny)
A whole new battlefield (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:A whole new battlefield (Score:5, Informative)
http://liftoff.msfc.nasa.gov/RealTime/JTrac
Re:A whole new battlefield (Score:2)
Re:A whole new battlefield (Score:2)
Re:A whole new battlefield (Score:5, Insightful)
Satellites are, in some ways, pretty fragile beasts. What do you need in the way of a concentrated radio blast to deafen a satellite? Or in the way of a laser to blind its sensors? Yes, I'm sure the military is taking these things into account, but its easier to escalate the ground-based technology than it is to retrofit something in space.
Cheaper space access may increase the worries, but a dedicated ground-based enemy could still damage a fair chunk of your space assets fairly cheaply. Of course, they would be bombed into the stone age immediately thereafter, but the damage woudl already be done.
Re:A whole new battlefield (Score:1, Interesting)
Heck, how hard is it to build a railgun that could shoot a bb into orbit once a minute? (errr maybe once a second would be preferable. Oh wait! Just build 60 of them!!)
Re:A whole new battlefield (Score:3, Interesting)
Not all satellites are owned by the USA government. What about commercial satellites, like telecommunications? How cheap would it be to damage a competitor's satellites, what are the risks of being caught, and what laws would apply?
Re:A whole new battlefield (Score:2)
Re:A whole new battlefield (Score:2)
Anyways, the coutries that could do something like this (US, Russia, China) will not, because they have too much too lose. Although the US uses satell
Need funding... go with the entertainment industry (Score:5, Interesting)
People like my self have been waiting for years for this to happen, something out there that would generate money to advance the space program... and I think we have a winner. Not only will it fund R&D into manned space vehicels, but will renew an interest in the space program in general.
Let's face it, the last moonshot i'm aware of was 30 years ago, and the shuttle has proven to be most inadquate for any sorta high orbit depoyment and recovery. The private sector could provide funding to make a *real* space program possible, rather like how Atari and Commodore actually got people to buy their products, cause it's fun!
Re: entertainment industry + space + geeks = (Score:4, Funny)
Tonight on Scrapheap Challenge: Two teams build and launch manned suborbital capsules - from what they can find on the scrapheap!
Re: entertainment industry + space + geeks = (Score:2)
Entertainment industry doesn't have what it takes (Score:2)
Look at the people who are funding these projects - toy makers and game makers. People who are imaginative and playful.
Look at the people who are part of the entertainment industry. Rerun, rehashes and sequels. Beyond Jim Carrey, dreadfully serious.
I, for one, would not want space travel controlled by someone who had a contract with an RIAA or MPAA memb
Re:Need funding... go with the entertainment indus (Score:2)
Yes, and to really drive the point home, look at how fantastically successful Atari and Commodore have been, compared to IBM and Microsoft.
Re:Need funding... go with the entertainment indus (Score:2)
I am looking at how successful they *were*. In contrast to microsoft, there is NO contest... microsoft wins hands down. But Microsoft couldn't sell a home solution in 1981.
Apple, Commodore, Atari all sold home computers pre 1985 to a world that never experenced them before. The apple till has a massive userbase, dispite being an obsolete standard, but apple still makes computers. Atari as a corp got out of the gamming business, where C
Re:Need funding... go with the entertainment indus (Score:2)
I am looking at how successful they *were*. In contrast to microsoft, there is NO contest
Well, of course that's what you were talking about -- otherwise it would be just too weird. And yes, entertainment value often provides a large part of the initial impetus to get something off the ground. [*1]
But that doesn't mean that an entertainment-oriented approach will be more sucessful in the long run than the more serious/practical type of enterprise. If your point is just that it's what will spur the initi
If Fedex got in to the space game (Score:1, Funny)
Imagine this: NY USA to Sidney Australia via Shuttle. AKA Yesterday Delivery.
Re:If Fedex got in to the space game (Score:3, Funny)
Re:If Fedex got in to the space game (Score:1)
Especially the toilet water...
Quote from [2F13] Bart vs. Australia [snpp.com]
-- Hello, Joker, "Bart vs. Australia"
The room at the embassy where the family get to stay is luxurious.
Homer: Oh, yeah, this is the life! Boy, next summer can you commit some fraud in Orlando, Florida?
Bart: I'm way ahead of you, Dad.
Conover: [walking in] Kno-ock! Simpsons, I'd like you to meet our ambassador, the honorable Avril Ward.
Ward: Hello. Now, everything is all set for Bart's apology. Mr.
Here is an idea... (Score:5, Interesting)
I'm all for civilians building and launcing their own suborbital or orbital crafts, but it'll never recapture the thrill of the early spaceflights. Unless, off course, someone with money gets the same idea as I just got as I read the article:
The Gusmobile, better known as Gemeni [astronautix.com], is close to the perfect 'light spaceship'. All around the Gemini was considered the ultimate 'pilot's spacecraft', and it was also popular with engineers because of its extremely light weight. It ought to be possible with todays advances in electronics and metalurgy to build a replica - or better; a fleet of replicas - that are semiautomatic and reusable. Bring back the Rogallo wing (basicly a cross between a paraglider and a hangglider) it was intended to have in the first place to fasilitate GPS guided landings on dry land. Launch it with a semi-reusable rocket (first stage reusable, possible solid, second stage disposable).
Now here is the core of the idea; don't offer people just a ride with five or ten minutes of microgravity. Offer them some basic training to let them control the attitude of their craft during non-vital parts of the flight (vital parts should be guided by a onboard computer or from the ground), and offer them a day or a week in space. It won't be cheap, but it'll give people a change to really experience the thrill of spaceflight.
Off course, I don't have the money to realise this idea, and it probaly ain't that original anyhow. But I'll place it in the public domain - if anyone reading this wants to do it, you have my blessing and my best wishes.
Re:Here is an idea... (Score:1)
STS has a place and a use, but it's not being a Space Taxi.
Re:Here is an idea... (Score:5, Interesting)
Ahem [spaceref.com].That's what NASA are doing. They've been evaluating bringing back Apollo capsules, firstly a modified version to act as a lifeboat for the ISS, but then going on to use them to deliver astronauts to the ISS.
A panel investigated this in March and decided the idea had several merits, being cheaper than developing a new winged vehicle, and using tried and tested design.
(Not to mention I submitted this very news story to Slashdot a few days ago and it was rejected...)
Outstanding (Score:1)
Apollo Command Module and Service Module would be great for this.
Is the Apollo Landing Module next to come out of the garage?
Re:Here is an idea... (Score:3, Informative)
I'm not so sure about the wing, though; chutes are cheap, dumb, and reliable, and known to work. My ex-NASA buddy tells me the wing wasn't accurate enough to land on a specified bit of real estate, so they just
Re:Here is an idea... (Score:3, Insightful)
Chutes and waterlanding also menas you need a lot of vessels out on the water to pick it up, which will drive up the costs considerable.
Re:Here is an idea... (Score:1)
Any relation (Score:1)
main contender in the uk (Score:3, Informative)
the general opinion seems to be that steve bennett actually tries to shoot himself up into space on the top of one of his rockets it'll be the last we hear from him...
Re:main contender in the uk (Score:2)
Whilst he did seem a bit naive when he started, he certainly seems to be learning, and like any of the groups trying to do this stuff, he may well succeed at not dying.
Plan Ahead (Score:5, Funny)
Carmack's Version will never fly (Score:3, Funny)
Adventure Markets and Their Limits (Score:5, Interesting)
However there is an especially insidious reason to believe this market will be quite limited this time around, compared even to the depression of the 1930's, and that is the nature of the individuals in whose hands the net assets are concentrated.
When Greenspan decided to depart from his gold standard by keeping interest rates high relative to gold during the crash [capmag.com] he in effect decided to concentrate net asset ownership [clanarchy.com] in the hands of people who don't necessarily have the best of characters [geocities.com] -- indeed they are far from the ideal of heroic capitalists [gold-eagle.com] so promoted by Alan Greenspan himself when he was a devotee of Ayn Rand's [usagold.com].
As I stated in a white paper posted to sci.space in 1992 [geocities.com] (resulting from having spent a few years doing politics in Washington to promote commercial incentives for space launch companies [geocities.com]):
Surprising then (Score:2)
Could it be that "capitalists" are people like just anybody else, and they are as prone as anybody to love adventure and new frontiers? Seems so to me.
Oh and btw, asset centralization is bunk - these new space entrepreneurs are very blatantly CREATING assets, namely suborbital hoppers, that simply would not exist otherwise. Capitalism isn't a zero-sum-game of money accumulation, but rather consists of creating wealth
Re:Surprising then (Score:2)
The fact that the current economic environment has not eliminated all capitalists of virtue is obviously a subtext although hardly to the point. They just need to be more realistic. I'm afraid a realistic appraisal of their markets is hard to do for the obvious reason that money is going to be part of their ego structure and it simply isn't true that all money is equal.
The illusions of allusions (Score:1)
I goving to the moon/space station (Score:1)
I wodent mind being one of the first ones to live on the moon ( i dont care what kind of work it wood involve, im gonna get there if it kills me in the proses)
Space Mutual funds (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Space Mutual funds (Score:1)
Well, that's a nice idea, but how many investors do you think would buy these shares to finance projects so extremely risky for returns? How long before there could be reasonable assessments of which projects had potential? Would there be enough money to go around? Which projects should get funded and which left to wither?
Re:Space Mutual funds (Score:2)
Conference Itself Had a Different Focus (Score:4, Informative)
Few people who presented at the conference have any doubt that they will be able to obtain their objectives. Many pointed out that financing is a hassle, but the single obstacle that everyone had collectively in mind was that of FAA licensing. No license, no launch. Period.
It does not matter if you launch from Florida, the ocean, or Australia. If you are a U.S. citizen, you must obtain a launch license from the FAA. Failure do so will land you fines and probably even jail time.
Now the good news. Obtaining a license is less complicated than many of us previously believed. As of yet, no licenses have been granted for civialian, manned, suborbital flights. XCOR is in the queue and pushing heavily; I believe that they will likely be the first to receive one, and more power to them. Meanwhile, groups like Armadillo Aerospace have recently begun the process, and I expect that they will be able to draft behind XCOR through the obvious portions of the licensing procedure.
The FAA itself has over 80 people dedicated to making civilian space access work. The delay is in determining how to properly balance the needs of the budding civilian space industry with the very serious safety needs of the people living down-range. This is very uncharted territory, and the FAA (AST) [faa.gov] is no hurry to reach any conclusions. The policy is literally being formed as the applicants complete the process since the laws as specified are not sufficiently complete. Anyone wishing to be part of this process is encouraged to attend the COMSTAC meeting on May 21st. [faa.gov] This is effectively a town-meeting for civilian space access.
The real bottleneck is the EPA (Environmental Protection Agency). All the groups who are seeking launch licenses are being held up on environmental impact issues. Plus, where you launch from will ultimately determine when you launch since the environmental impact studies for some sites are not complete. Launching from White Sands would be preferable to the Oklahoma "spaceport" as the White Sands studies were completed years ago.
If anyone has any questions about the conference, I'd be happy to reply them. Overall, I think many of the people at the conference will either die in the process or entirely fail to get off the ground. Someone will succeeded however and in a couple years, probably even me.
-HopeOS
idea: one-way tourism (Score:3, Funny)
Well, while mid-class people buy guns or special plastic bags (poor people use bridges and other free-of-charge methods), top class people look for something that can satisfy their ambitions at last seconds or minutes. But how about days or weeks or even months?
Eject such guys to the orbit or to the moon, where they can enjoy their last days-weeks-months before they are running of money and air. Or they fail down to burn in the athmosphere. Or just fail down and crash to the moon. I thing many multi rich people would like to enjoy such an end. People, who are still alive, will enjoy they payment. So, everybody would be happy.
Re:idea: one-way tourism (Score:1)
Re:idea: one-way tourism (Score:2)
Re:idea: one-way tourism (Score:1)
Re:idea: one-way tourism (PS about John Carmack.) (Score:1)
US Comerce Dept. Report on Private Suborbitals (Score:3, Informative)
Jon Acheson
Private space Prospecs (Score:1)