Trace Levels of Lead Shown to Lower IQs 78
constantnormal writes "This government study explains a lot of things, from the American public's propensity to elect the worst candidates, to the decreasing fraction of students who bother to study the "hard" sciences, to the overwhelming power advertising holds over their apparently simple minds. I think it was all the leaded gasoline burned in this country prior to the 1970s.
Homer Simpson IS the archetypal American -- Thinking and Reasoning is just too doggoned difficult."
Homer Simpson IS the archetypal American -- Thinking and Reasoning is just too doggoned difficult."
Huh? (Score:1)
So I guess this means (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:bush? no. (Score:1)
I personal
Correlation != Causation (Score:5, Insightful)
While the researchers do say on a few occasions, correctly, that lead is a toxin which may be affecting children, it appears as if they correctly realize that their study is correlative and cannot be directly linked, therefore, to causation.
All studies that deal with correlation cannot be linked to causation because the experimenters do not have direct control over the independant variable, nor can they tell which variable is independant in some cases. While the researchers did control for a variety of things in this experiment (The study followed 172 children in the Rochester, N.Y., area whose blood lead was assessed at 6, 12, 18, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months, and who were tested for IQ at both 3 and 5 years of age. The researchers controlled for many other factors that contribute to a child's intellectual functioning, such as birth weight, mother's intelligence, income, education, and amount of stimulation in the home)... it appears that they did not account for lead exposure by location - the first thing I might suggest.
For instance, suppose that equal income housing varies greatly in Rochester, NY, and that certain children are growing up in worse or older neighborhoods than others? These worse neighborhoods might have a higher lead exposure than others, which might cause the subsequent decline more than the lead.
Obviously, the children must be getting lead exposure from somewhere - have they accounted for school district (lead piping or building location of a particular school)?
It's not that I don't believe in the study, I'd just be hesitant to scream causality.
Re:Correlation != Causation (Score:1)
Re:Correlation != Causation (Score:2)
Every time two things have a causal relationship there's a correlation between them. But if two things are correlated that doesn't mean there's a causal relationship between them.
Daniel
Re:Correlation != Causation (Score:2)
C, which no one knows about yet.
EXACTLY!
I've been trying to tell people for years that my drinking was not responsible for my ill health.
People were willing to listen to my explanation until I got to the part where I was hypothesizing that aliens were monitoring us drinkers and teleporting us aboard the ship at night for those operations.
causation already established! (Score:5, Informative)
No, the causation is well established.
The correlation in question has been known since the early 1960s and confirmed repeatedly in the medical literature. Because of this, lead was removed from the ingredients of paint and gasoline in the 1970s. The causation has been confirmed since at least the publication of this 1994 meta-analysis [nih.gov]:
The important results from the new research cited in the article is that the threshold of activity is much lower than had previously been understood.
Re:Correlation != Causation (Score:4, Insightful)
This is certainly true, but considering they also found that lead levels currently considered harmful lead to small additional IQ lowering it's pretty good evidence that we haven't found the floor where the exposure begins to have negative effects, further studies are needed at even lower exposure levels to try to find a safe level of lead in the blood. It might be lower than 1 microgram per deciliter which was this study's threshold, once we think we've found the floor we can do multiple studies to try to verify that level. I wouldn't recommend changing the EPA requirement until we really find the right level, but if I was considering a home renovation now I would certainly want to know about this study to try to avoid future cleanup costs if the marginal cost now was low enough.
I haven't kept up with this but when I last researched this problem the EPA was only requiring water systems to bring 70% of their customers to the current clean standard. If the 70% that are safe by today's standard are actually safe with respect to the actual floor then we should move quickly to make the other 30% safe since an extra 7 IQ points for 30-40% of the population would almost certainly boost tax revenues enough to pay for the conversion (It's probably more than 30% of the children simply because parents on average can't afford the safest housing. I'm also assuming the paint problem will be solved, there are already good notification systems for homeowners and decent ones for renters at least in larger metropolitan areas.)
Re:Correlation != Causation (Score:2)
So basically what you're saying is that stupidity causes lead poisoning?
(sorry, couldn't resist
Re:Correlation != Causation (Score:1)
Re:Correlation != Causation (Score:2)
Maybe that's because.... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Maybe that's because.... (Score:2)
I've always agreed with that, only stupid people eat paint. I guess the one thing is little kids who don't know any better.
Re:Maybe that's because.... (Score:2)
I remember in Preschool, I was -THREE-, mind you, and I thought the kids who were eating glue and paint were pretty stupid.
Re:Maybe that's because.... (Score:1)
Babies eat everything. It is amazing what they are willing to stick in their mouth. I am surprised natural selection has not curbed this instinct. Perhaps there were less poisons laying around in the old days, although poisonous plants are something that have been around since antiquity.
I remember once I turned my back on my baby son for a few minutes and the next time I checked up on him, he was munching garden plants as if they were a salad.....well, I
Re:Maybe that's because.... (Score:1)
Very low levels of lead linked to IQ deficits (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Very low levels of lead linked to IQ deficits (Score:1)
Unfortunately, your premise is flawed and conclusion is too simplistic. First, we have to make clear which kind of IQ deficit is correlated with the lack of lead.
In the case of internal IQ deficit, we can safely blame lavish government for inappropriate fiscal lead policy, which borrows lead in the open market to finance expensive and non-productive lead-gushing sector. Thus, in the proce
leaded gas? (Score:1)
Re:leaded gas? (Score:2)
Re:leaded gas? (Score:1)
Hmmm, maybe lead ruins geek's social skills instead.
I also wonder if I would like OOP if exposed to less lead, breastfed, etc? Yanneverknow
Re:leaded gas? (Score:1)
But where did you grow up? Kids growing up in poor urban areas typically get much more exposure.
And of course, we might be even smarter geeks if it wasn't for lead exposure.
Lead in the pipes... (Score:1)
Turns out that because the plumbing on site is quite old, the copper fittings are starting to 'leak' lead. Lead is a component of copper.
Now all the dorm sinks have a sign that says:
If the water has not been run for 6 hours or more it is recommended that you run cold water for 2
Re:Lead in the pipes... (Score:1)
The pipes are not lead. The problem really is from the copper.
Re:Lead in the pipes... (Score:2)
Re:Lead in the pipes... (Score:2)
I said copper twice, when I meant to say brass. I was even thinking the word brass, so I don't know where copper came from; having a bit of an attention deficit day I guess.
Lead is added to the brass to make it easier to machine. The brass fittings are the problem.
Again, sorry for the confusion.
Re:Lead in the pipes... (Score:2)
Or too much exposure to lead.
Re:Lead in the pipes... (Score:1)
The Effect of Lead on Democracies (Score:3, Funny)
Even worse, they even re-elect them [whitehouse.gov]!
Re: (Score:1)
Re:The Effect of Lead on Democracies (Score:1)
Re:The Effect of Lead on Democracies (Score:2)
Not necessarily. You've still got a chance to do the right thing with Bush Junior. ;-)
Or you may think that spending $70 billion, when you're running a deficit, to remove weapons of mass destruction from a regime that doesn't appear to have had any (found yet anyway), is exercising good leadership. The choice is yours!
Re:The Effect of Lead on Democracies (Score:1)
Bell Curve (Score:1, Interesting)
Yes, yes, this will draw flames. I think some people might like to have a honest discussion about t
Re:Bell Curve (Score:2, Insightful)
I'm sorry, but given your asserted (and not backed up by reference) averages of 85 and 100, you cannot possibly arrive at an average of 100 for the entire population, as is required?
It's interesting how an IQ test can be meaningless and racist
IQ tests are never racist. Only people are.
Re:Bell Curve (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Bell Curve (Score:2)
Please provide references. I think you pulled that one out of someplace dark and damp.
What a world (Score:3, Insightful)
I mean, the need to be a victim is *wildly* out of control. Yes, it's not impossible that the IQ tests were designed to produce lower scores for blacks. It's also quite possible that the average black score simply happens to b
Wow. Nice Header (Score:4, Insightful)
#1:Insults an entire Continent,
#2:Insults said continents ability to comprehend politics/science, and
#3:Emphatically states that said continents inahbitants are unable to refuse the siren song of Madison avenue.
Ordinarily, I try to avoid vulgarity, trolling, and plain being offtopic, but F@!$ you too Constantnormal [slashdot.org]
And Michael, I'm not one of these cats that criticises you all the time, but damn. In this case, you might have wanted to think this one over before posting.
Re:Wow. Nice Header (Score:2, Insightful)
But let's look at this just a bit further and see if there isn't something to it.
One point -- please don't confuse the United States with Canada and Mexico. Canada seems to do quite well when compared to us on a per capita basis, and Mexico is still growing out of being a third-world nation, and makes for a not really meaningful comparison to the US.
Your #1 gripe
Might as well go all the way off topic (Score:3, Interesting)
You referred to the U.S. as America. America is a continent. There are several governments upon this continent, one of which is the United States of America. My phrasing was quite precise.
As to your second complaint, what does your problem with current events in iraq have to do with lead poisoning? State your political views in a comment or article about politics. Would you write a header merging your displeasure with Iraq in
Canadians call U.S. people "Americans" (Score:2)
This is certainly a side-effect of the cultural imperialism, superpower status, and now our abject military dominance.
Technically, America comprises two continents. I wouldn't be suprised if every other American country calls U.S.A. "America" and people here "Americans." That's just the way it is.
Re:Canadians call U.S. people "Americans" (Score:2)
Yes, all states in the Americas are of the Americas, but, so far as I know, the US is the only country that uses the word "America" in its name, "the United States of America." That being a wordy phrase to invoke each time you want to insult the bastards for whichever, you can, therefore, choose from among the following *shortened* versions of the country's name:
United
Re:Might as well go all the way off topic (Score:2)
I thought he made that link very clear. Basically his reasoning was that the lead poisoning must have corroded peoples IQ to the point where they can't seem to manage the war correctly. If it wasn't the lead, then what else was it that caused the apparent lack of IQ.
"As far as your typical rant against capitalism and our suckering for Advertising, I don't know what you're talking about pal. I don't own a dell, and I don't
Re:Might as well go all the way off topic (Score:2)
I didn't say that decision making was related to IQ - I was just saying that it is hardly a bizarre notion.that they are correlated.
I would be interested if you find that study?
I can see how it might break down at extremes - sometimes people with high IQ's can be a bit eccentric, but it seems counter-intuitive to me. As for the toolbox analogy - I wouldn't trust someone with an empty toolbox to build something for me
Re:Wow. Nice Header (Score:2)
JOHN DOE!! Ha!
(for those that don't know, the tv show "John Doe" is about an amnesiac who woke up one day and pretty much knows everything except who he is. It's a pretty good show; he uses his massive intellect to help the police solve crimes, while trying to discover who he is. Ok, my summary does the show no justice whatsoever, but at least I enjoy watching
Re:Wow. Nice Header (Score:2)
Equating lead pipes with foreign policy makes absolutely no sense.
There is a case to be made that the US is on the decline. The export of all non-food industry, the piss-poor quality of education are examples of alarming issues that nobody is addressing.
If you want to write about that, go ahead. But don't hide your agenda in a misleading article about plumbing.
Re:Wow. Nice Header (Score:2)
The U.S has the most universities in the world and the most prestigious/highest quality ones.
And..here's a causation vs. correlation difference for you...to illustrate the point.
People are not stupid if they disagree with you. I find that most protesters/ranters fail to see this.
Re:Wow. Nice Header (Score:2)
Lead may have some effect, I don't dispute that. Your error is trying to make this into some sort of "this is why Americans are stupid" argument. I don't think anyon
Wow. (Score:2)
This study is on 172 children. It's a tiny study. Repeat after me: Correlation does not mean causuation. This does not take into account a myriad of socioeconomic factors.
Where do you usually have more lead plumbing? In older neighborhoods. Who lives in older neighborhoods quite often?
Lower income people!
Without the e
Re:Wow. (Score:2)
And 125 grains of lead in the head... (Score:4, Funny)
Re:And 125 grains of lead in the head... (Score:2)
Indeed (Score:1)
As someone who choose not to study the "hard" sciences because I thought they were easy and boring (no offense inteded to those who do, however) I am a little annoyed at the implication that social science is somehow better suited to stupid people.
If you bothered to study "soft" sciences you'd realize the degree of depth of understanding possible is far greater than is capable in science. The most interesting and intelligent p
Re:Indeed (Score:1)
Urban kids (Score:2, Insightful)
Europe is stil using leaded gasoline as frequently as unleaded - the catalysts did not realy caught on (it was poisoning the exhaust catalysts that was decisive in conversion from leaded to unleaded ga
It's a good thing (Score:2)
Isn't Lead a Vegetable? (Score:1)
Oh wait, whiny liberals that's me. I wonder where we can get organically grown Lead.
Leaded gasoline still prevalent in europe. (Score:2)
No, I don't think this is the case. But I'm a little tired of the US always taking flak for being behind the times on everything, when the reality is we're quite a bit ahead on many issues. As an example, The US is ahead of many Eur
Reminds me of Tommy Boy (Score:1)
Tommy: Ha ha ha, why?
Yeah, Americans are dumb. (Score:3, Interesting)
Yeah, we suck.
Of course, we are the only ones in the world who have low IQs like this. No other country was ever stupid enough to use leaded gasoline prior to the 1970's or lead plumbing. Only we are that dumb.