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Space Science

China Plans Moonbase 781

jfruhlinger writes: "According to this BBC news article, the Chinese government plans to put a human on the moon by 2010, with the long-term goal of 'set[ting] up a base on the moon and min[ing] its riches for the benefit of humanity.' The article seems to think that the program is more for the benefit of China's defense and aerospace industry. D'ya think they can pull it off?"
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China Plans Moonbase

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  • by gazbo ( 517111 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:27AM (#3549446)
    Moon unit alpha, or moon unit zappa?
  • by weird mehgny ( 549321 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:27AM (#3549447)
    They should switch to democracy instead!

    • Jeez, I guess they must have run out of room for their extensive chain of gulags and slave labor camps down here on Earth.
      • > Jeez, I guess they must have run out of room
        > for their extensive chain of gulags and
        > slave labor camps down here on Earth.

        Actually, the good 'ol US incarcerates a higher percentage of its population than red china.
        With our current trend of zero-tolerance and long mandatory sentences for non-violent drug offences we keep building more and more prisons and keep filling them up. LA's Twin Towers Correctional Facility is the world's largest prision. Lets not forget Guantanamo Bay where we refuse to honor the Geneva convention because the prisioners of our "War on Terrorism" are not prisioners of war according to the US.
    • They should switch to democracy instead!

      So that they can go around the world, making wars and killing people, and calling it "war against terrorism", and justifying all that with "we are democracy" phrase?

      I like them more as they are now. In their own yard.
    • They should switch to democracy instead!

      Maybe they're hoping that someone else will try it first.

  • But... (Score:2, Interesting)

    by Rope_a_Dope ( 522981 )
    Will the transmissions from the moon have the content from the Washington Post censored out?
  • by TheNecromancer ( 179644 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:30AM (#3549469)
    Our long-term goal is to set up a base on the Moon and mine its riches for the benefit of humanity.

    I guess the Chinese will have all the market share for selling green cheese to the world.
    • Funny, yes, but realistically, what riches are there to be mined on the moon? And if there are riches, they would have to be pretty valuable to justify throwing a rocket and a mining mission to the moon to collect them. ~my $.02
      • by dbrutus ( 71639 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @08:04AM (#3549668) Homepage
        Actually, 1kg of iron mined and made into satellite parts on the moon plus the difference in processing costs (to earth creation is equal in value to 1 kg of iron similarly processed on earth *plus* the value of the propulsion system cost differential to loft it into space. If you can live on the moon cheaply enough, things get rather valuable there simply because they are easier to loft into outer space.

        Even if the manufacturing costs are higher, the military position (uphill on the gravity well compared to earth) could only be beaten by orbital systems backed up by asteroid and orbital mining/manufacturing.
    • Delivery of the riches brings up an interesting point - the use of the Moon as a military base. It is relatively easy to start tossing large rocks that plunge to earth with high impact results. Aiming the things is a little delicate, however.

      Unfortunately, this is not the moral High Ground.

      I seem to recall something on this written by some science fiction author someplace. I am sure some military planners someplace are sweating over this right now.

      • The author is Heinlein. The book is The Moon is a Harsh Mistress.

        In the book, large rocks are encased in iron, and shot out of the moon's shallow gravity well with a rail gun to be caught by Earth's much stronger gravitational field. I am not a physicist, but I don't think it would take a very big rock to equal the destructive power of a nuclear weapon if it was dropped from just inside the Earth's gravity well.

        Incidentally, this is going to occur to the Dept. of Defense as well. If China actually makes progress, we (the US) are going to see a lot more money in NASA's budget very soon. I think this kind of thinking is what the original space race was all about.
  • by hs81 ( 62329 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:30AM (#3549472) Homepage
    I wonder what would happen if China offered the US participation in the program. It probably would not happen but if China is serious about benefiting the whole of mankind (?) they should consider such an offer.
    • by FreeUser ( 11483 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @08:38AM (#3549956)
      I wonder what would happen if China offered the US participation in the program. It probably would not happen but if China is serious about benefiting the whole of mankind (?) they should consider such an offer.

      It is good for humanity, regardless.

      If China is serious about this, maybe it will be get US Government off of its sorry ass, stop underfunding NASA, and start actually doing something to facilitate long term economic exploitation of space.

      If the US doesn't get off its ass, humans will still have finally gotten off their sorry asses and begun colonizing space. Once we have colonies independent of earth, the liklihood of our extinction goes way down. This is a Good Thing(tm), regardless of whether those humans come from the United States, China, or Timbuktu.

      If the Chinese manage to start another space race with the United States I will personally take my hat off to them, because apparently we (the United States, and the West in general) don't have the will, or the vision, to do it on our own, without competition from the Russians or someone else.

      Maybe the threat of having the Chinese sweep away all physical proof of the lunar moon landings (to promote the absurd myth that the landings were somehow fake ... as if they had modern special effects back in 1969) will be enough to at least send someone up to secure that historical site. :-)
    • What makes you think the US would be anything but a liability to China's efforts to establish a permanent presence on the moon? The US hasn't been able to mount a decent space program since Apollo and the last Apollo mission was 30 years ago!

      Why should China offer the "US" welfare just because we can't frigging reform our space program? IMNSHO it would be very very bad for the whole of mankind for China to offer the "US" participation it it's space program.

    • Well they may, but it won't be voluntary. As porus as the "security" network between here and China is, you can count on the Chinese using any and all US plans for such a base.


    • It's a surprise that nobody here mention the many attempts by the United States in blocking China to get into space.

      The thing started way back in the '50s, and throughout the Cold War, and even AFTER the Cold War has (supposingly) ended.

      Take the International Space Station (ISS) for example - why countries like Brazil and Japan are allowed to take part, while China isn't even part of it?

      The thing is that the US will NOT let China in taking part in ANY space program, not even those which are supposed to be PEACEFUL.

      Wonder why the article concern so much about China's plan for moonbase ? Of course, the only concern for the author is that China must NOT be allowed to go into space.

      All these while the Japs are encouraged to take part in space programs.

      Don't you think it's kinda double standards ?
      • Don't you think it's kinda double standards ?

        Only if you use a race based standard, like the theme of your poost.

        The USA blocks China mainly because of their overt statements that they want to destroy the US and some of our allies, like Taiwan.

        We had an embargo on Japan when they were saying similar things pre-WWII.

        Besides, even those efforts wained during the Clinton administration, with plenty of US payloads and US rocket technology launching from China for Irridium.

        Hope this helps you.
    • I wonder what would happen if China offered the US participation in the program. It probably would not happen but if China is serious about benefiting the whole of mankind (?) they should consider such an offer.

      I think it would probably be better for humanity if the Chinese didn't offer the US any involvement. After all, the US doesn't have much of a reputation at the moment for taking a global view. See Kyoto, oil in Alaska, the US pollution per capita figures, missile defence treaties etc. to see what I'm talking about.

  • hope (Score:3, Insightful)

    by isorox ( 205688 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:31AM (#3549477) Homepage Journal
    "Can they pull it off"

    I hope so. Perhaps this is the start of the second space race?
    • by SgtChaireBourne ( 457691 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @08:02AM (#3549652) Homepage
      This would be great if it became a second phase of the space race. It's also a better long term move than a space station. While a space station has a lot of advantages, a moon base has more long term growth potential. Among other things, the moon itself is in a pretty stable orbit and anything under the surface is sheltered from micrometors. Then with mining and manufacturing, you have a steady supply of building materials. An excellent place for observatories, low gravity manufacturing or as a step point to the rest of the solar system.

      Lets also hope it's governed by similar laws as Antarctica.

    • Re:hope (Score:2, Insightful)

      by drunkmonk ( 241978 )
      I damn well promise you they can pull it off, if as a nation they want to do it. Having lived and worked in China, I can say I have all the admiration in the world for their ability to do things the rest of the world thinks it is impossible for them to do.

      It won't be sexy or glitzy like the US space program, but it will sure be pragmatic and it was probably cost a whole lot less, too.

      It would be nice to see some political reforms, though...
    • Re:hope (Score:3, Funny)

      by nick-less ( 307628 )
      I hope so. Perhaps this is the start of the second space race?

      reminds me of an old joke: "Hey Mr. President, the chinese have painted the moon red!" "No Problem, send some of our guys up to write 'Coke' on it"
  • by Bookwyrm ( 3535 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:31AM (#3549479)
    It would not necessarily be a bad thing if the US government thought China might successfully build a moon base. Perhaps there would be more serious initiatives to encourage more space exploration and development on this side of the Pacific.

    Hey, it worked with Sputnik...
    • One Way Trip? (Score:5, Insightful)

      by phil reed ( 626 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @02:09PM (#3552689) Homepage
      You know, it just occured to me:


      It might be a whole lot easier to accomplish getting somebody to the moon to live if you didn't have to worry about getting them back. I'm willing to believe that the Chinese would send people up to the moon with supplies to attempt to set up a moon base, and keep sending them more stuff, but not worry about the return trip, at least not right away. Send 3 guys up with O2, food, water, and equipment to process lunar dust and rock to extract O2. Use the weight budget that would have been used for a return trip for more survival supplies. Send up resupply rockets. Once the people on the moon have had a chance to experiment on the lunar dust and get a better idea of what would work (perhaps dying in the process), send more people with better equipment. Keep sending people. Don't worry - those who died on the moon did so in the firm belief that they were paving the way for those who followed. They'd be heros on the ground.


      The dynamics are way different if you are willing to accept casulties.

      • Re:One Way Trip? (Score:3, Informative)

        by Disoculated ( 534967 )
        Close, but backwards. The correct way to do a mission like this would be to send the return capsule/craft/whatever before the staff gets there, so it's waiting and ready. Same thing with all the mining, O2, food, water, etc. Deliver the people when you know they'll have everything they need. Having them wait for the return capsule is a bit dramatic, but really not necessary.
  • by Hairy_Potter ( 219096 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:32AM (#3549489) Homepage
    think how expensive RAM will be if China shells Quemoy, Matsu and the rest of Taiwan from the moon (as they like to do from mainland China) [fas.org], shades of The Moon is a Harsh Mistress!

  • if this will bring more money to NASA?

    How could the USA stand by and let the chinese be the first to build a base on the moon? I'm sure the military would be interested if nothing else.
    • I don't think the moon's resources will justify the proposed Chinese effort, but it's a symptom of the failures of central planning (as if we needed another) that they're trying to dictate what the market will be, rather than letting it happen naturally.

      IOW, the US government should "stand by" and do nothing (whether they will resist the urge to waste taxe$ in space is another question). Let's look at how space-commerce (the voluntary, non-government-supported kind) is going in the real world, right now:

      So far, it's ALL rich people, and all "tourism." 100%! No exceptions!!

      This was to be expected, but think ten years (and maybe 100 orders of magnitude cheaper) down the road...Space-tourism is going to evolve toward one thing, and it's a thing that governments (of any sort) don't seem to want to consider:

      SEX tourism. Couples are going to want to have intercourse without gravity (and without annoying swimming pools, scuba gear, etc.). Many honeymooners will want to, uh...start out with a bang (sorry! Couldn't resist).

      This will happen naturally, I'm sure of it. Ultimately, all this sex will be the main thing supporting science up there, but no central planning bureaucrat (Chinese or US) will anticipate this, it'll just happen. I only wish that I could find some way to make money off my prediction when it comes to pass...
      JMR

      (My own opinions, nobody else seems to want them.)

  • This can only be a good thing, regardless of whether the Chinese Government ultimately succeeds. As I said in a bit more detail here [atomicmpc.com.au],

    'China's moon mining plan is perhaps one of the best things that could have happened as far as space exploration is concerned. The world's primary space organisation, NASA, is constantly having its budget chipped away by the US government. Hopefully, China's future successes in space missions will force the US, and other countries, back into research and development of technologies needed for space flight and colonization such as nuclear propulsion, terraforming and techniques for mining resources on off-earth locations such as the moon and asteroid belts.'

    Who knows - three hundred years from now, our decendents could look back on this day and say 'thanks to China pushing the world into a new space race, we managed to develop the technologies that allowed us to get off that overcrowded and overpolluted chuck of rock that we called Earth, before it killed us all off for good.'
  • by jfruhlinger ( 470035 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:39AM (#3549521) Homepage
    One thing of interest in all this that isn't mentioned in the BBC story: as of the mid 1990s, anyway, the official position of the People's Republic of China was that the Apollo program was faked (or at least that it "hadn't been proved true"). My junior year of college (1994-95), I had a roommate who was a grad student in Astronomy. There was a big conference on planetary science at our school, with several scientists from the PRC in attendence. Apparently everything had to be carefully orchestrated so that these scientists wouldn't have to attend any talks in which the US moon landings were a given, since they'd be politically required to stand up and dispute it or they'd be in trouble back home! She (my roommate) says that they (the scientists) didn't actually belive this hokum, but that the conference organizers didn't want to endanger their careers/lives.

    I'm not sure how this idea got intot he PRC leadership -- senile Chairman Mao watching Capricorn One too many times? Unless the PRC has changed its tune, we may be witness to the odd and embarassing spectacle of the Chinese claiming to be the first on the moon...

    jf
    • Many of the arguments against us being on the moon are that it is impossible for people to survive the trip, etc. So, if THEY can get there, wouldn't that mean it IS possible, and contradict many of the reasons people claim that the Apollo missions were faked?
    • Who knows, perhaps once their base is established their first half-dozen long-range sorties will be garbage runsto the old Apollo sites, "to eliminate counterrevolutionary evidence."

      My own personal hope once upon a time was to someday walk on the elevated boardwalks around the Apollo 11 landing site and see Armstrong and Aldrin's footprints. Don't think it's going to happen, not even for my kids, maybe for my grandkids...
  • by texchanchan ( 471739 ) <ccrowley@NosPAm.gmail.com> on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:40AM (#3549532)
    The Americans sent men to the moon using 1960s technology. The very thought of this makes my blood run cold. However, it worked.

    I'd say any sufficiently determined organization with enough money to sink into the project could build a moon base.

    Another factor: They'll find it easy to recruit enthusiasts from all over the world. Imagine a brain drain toward China.
  • by randomErr ( 172078 ) <ervin,kosch&gmail,com> on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:42AM (#3549545) Journal
    Can they get someone to and back from the moon by 2010 - Hell yes. They have at least a million young men who are willing to risk thier lives for a chance at glory and honor.

    Will they do it before we do? - A resounding 'Hell yes'. They don't have to go through all the red tape that we've made for ourselves. IF the goverment says we are going to do it they will do it.

    Will they establish a STABLE moon base by 2010 - Hell no. There will be too many countries trying to sabatoge those ambitions(present country included) for both political and security reasons.

    I learned where the word sabatoge came from by watching Star Trek movies.
  • what minerals they want to mine there ?
    AFAIK the moon is of the same material as earth, making it mainly a large rock of silicondioxide and iron.
    Interesting stuff like uran/gold/etc. should be too rare to mine it commercially (high expenses for transport !).
    • Exactly. What's up there, that you can't get easier here? Basalt and quartz are plentiful enough here. What could you do with a lot of silicon, vacuum, and free solar energy?

      What you might get from the moon:
      - Astronomical observations (especially on far side)
      - First class secrecy (on far side)
      - Solar power?
      - Fair vacuum, easily accessed
      - Prestige
      - High ground, drop rocks on anybody you don't like (Heinlein)

    • If you're using the moon as a military base to loft rocks at the earth, I would expect that earthly deposits of all that stuff would become available very quickly. Call it a strategic investment.
  • by LinuxGrrl ( 123916 )
    Perhaps it doesn't matter if they can pull it off. If it's sufficiently plausible that they might, it might provoke the US Gov and NASA to perform the necessary digital extraction procedure on their own space programme. After all, look what they achieved when they were chasing the Soviets. :-)

  • If this guy has anything to do with it

    http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/generalscien ce/laser_moon_010810-1.html [space.com]

    shame physics always gets in the way of great ideas

  • Go China! (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Deosyne ( 92713 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:51AM (#3549594)
    I don't give a damn who pulls this sort of thing anymore, as long as I get to see it in my lifetime. I'm sick of waiting for cool things to become profitable before actually being done. I can't believe that the ISS is still being built, although it has had some very close shaves in the US Congress over the past few years, all because of fucking money. What's so difficult about kicking the secretary's personal assistant's secretary's page off of the government payroll, stopping the spending on idiotic pork projects and $6,000 curtains (thanks Asscroft), and just using the tax money to do things that our decendents will look back at and say, "Bitchin'?"
    • Re:Go China! (Score:4, Insightful)

      by dbrutus ( 71639 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @08:30AM (#3549884) Homepage
      If you want to pay for the cool things that are unprofitable, be my guest but what you were really asking for is for all of us to pay for your personal entertainment. No thanks.

    • Re:Go China! (Score:3, Insightful)

      You're missing the point. The reason most western governments aren't massively funding space exploration is because they are (by and large) run by a democracy that is forced to listen to the people - and right now, the attitude of the people is screw space, we have bigger problems, like 3rd world debt, growing the economy and reducing our dependance on oil.

      As far as I'm concerned, it's a shame but exploring space is something my kids will have to do.

      • Re:Go China! (Score:3, Insightful)

        The reason most western governments aren't massively funding space exploration is because they are (by and large) run by a democracy that is forced to listen to the people

        Not even "by and large"; western governments are run by people supposedly chosen to represent the millions, but in reality represent only themselves, basing their decisions to a great, great extent on what will help them maintain their exalted, feted position when the next election rolls around. The population thinks the representatives are voting based on what "the people" want. It's a comfortable illusion, and an ultimately dangerous one.

        right now, the attitude of the people is screw space, we have bigger problems, like 3rd world debt, growing the economy and reducing our dependance on oil.

        Except I don't think a lot of people in the U.S. pay much mind to third world debt, and fewer think about how to really deal with it and the root causes of that debt. I hear a lot of 'Net chatter from people who simply want to reduce our dependence on foreign oil, demeaning alternative power sources as "greenie stuff that gave us California's power mess."

        As far as I'm concerned, it's a shame but exploring space is something my kids will have to do.

        Something tells me even your kids won't be doing it. It will be kids in Beijing that will be exploring space, because the West is resting on its laurels, too busy solidifying its economic and political empire and keeping the masses content and mollified to worry about little things like "exploration" and "pure science".

        Ironically, much of the West's technological power today came as a result of the space race. I wonder if the same thing is about to happen in China. I wonder if another freedom movement will come with it - one that might succeed.
  • by myc ( 105406 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @07:55AM (#3549612)
    don't the Chinese have the right idea? That is to say, we hear a lot about how the Americans want to send a manned mission to Mars, but its unclear to me that the Americans have sufficient real-world experience in long term manned deep space missions. To first establish a long term base on the moon would go a long way towards gaining that experience. It's only 3 days away, as opposed to several years for Mars. Just a thought. Comments?
  • Wait a minute, if China is the 3rd country to successfully put a human in orbit, doesn't that make the score Communism 2, Democracy 1?
  • And you thought property values were high in Hong Kong!

    Joe
  • Is this the next step for weapons testing?

    China overflow error, moving to the moon.
  • Since any good American will tell you, the Moon belongs to us, this guarentees we'll work on a moonbase of our own.

    If its one thing Amercan's can't stand, its communists on our Moon!

  • by Lumpy ( 12016 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @08:06AM (#3549675) Homepage
    It's funny though, is it just talk like the russians did in the 60's and 70's? or are they serious. The united states doesnt have the balls to try something so ambitious. Hell we dont even have the capability to make a rocket as powerful as the saturn 5 anymore. (capability as in nasa's abilities and our government body having enough leaders not looking at the prostate in their own rears first hand..) Hell we made the stupid decisiot to choose a vaporware shuttle replacement over a working prototype.. and now the new shuttle program is now dead..

    sorry but the US as a leader in space research is dead... put a fork in us as we are done.
  • If they do land on the moon, they'll find the Brits have been there since the seventies, with a moonbase populated by gorgeous women in mauve wigs that shoot down UFO's.

    Garg
  • They set us up the base?
    • No, no, no...

      We let them build the base then when their government collapses, because we all know that communism cannot work. Just so we can then say

      ALL YOUR BASE ARE BELONG TO US...
  • by cswiii ( 11061 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @08:12AM (#3549732)
    ...if 1.5 billion people say they say they are gonna do it, they will.

    Be it in business, life, current affairs -- whatever the situation. It's almost ingrained into the Chinese worldview. This has been shown time and time again, through the projects that have been completed and/or worked upon, in China. The Great Wall and The Three Rivers Gorge are the first two obvious examples that come to mind; the manmade Kunming Lake [wiw.org] elicits the same thoughts, as well.

    Now, I'm not saying these tasks are/were not costly, both in terms of dollars and human lives, nor am I saying that many (especially current) Chinese projects are without corruption and/or controversy.

    Rather, what I am pointing out is the historical Chinese trend of "progress" against odds. I don't really want to use the term "determination", because there is certainly the very real possibility that people work on these things against their will. Yet in any case, foreigners who've worked there on corporate projects for a while will tell you that, when working with a Chinese corporation, while they may promise you something seemingly outrageous... but short of a few exceptions, they won't promise you something they can't/won't complete.

    The aforementioned exceptions are, however, predictably tied to corruption, where unwilling corporate heads -- or even middle management -- can very easily tie up a project with red tape, unless there's a little cash to "oil the wheels". If China's going to build a moon base, this corrupt undercurrent, in my opinion, is the most likely stumbling block. (As an aside this goes for the 2008 Olympics, too. After just getting back from Beijing a few weeks ago, I will be most amazed if they solve, at least to a large degree, the pollution problem, as they have promised.)

    In most cases, however, while a project may take 10, 20, or two hundred years, the Chinese have historically tended to accomplish any goal that they've set out to do.

    Again, it's all in the mindset... a "slow but steady" one, at that. Westerners tend to think in short, digestible timeframes. "Project ABC has to be completed in X months." The Chinese, on the other hand, look at things across a much, much larger timetable. What's a hundred years, when you've been around for several-thousand, already?

    Granted, in a modern world, this opens the door to corruption and inefficiency... but how many of those "really cool projects", on which you've spent countless hours at work, have gotten tossed into the circular file because they were deemed too costly or too time-inefficient by the corporate heads?

    So they say they'll have a moon base? I really don't doubt it. It may not happen in my lifetime, or yours... but it will probably happen, nevertheless.
  • Slow tubby, your not on the moon yet
  • by Neck_of_the_Woods ( 305788 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @08:31AM (#3549892) Journal
    You mean they fell for that backlot footage of us landing on the moon?

  • Sad... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by X.25 ( 255792 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @08:36AM (#3549939)
    If the title was "US to build Moon base", 90% of the discussions would be related to technical issues, and similar things.

    When the title is "China to build Moon base", 90% of the discussions are related to 'communists', 'stealing technology', 'human rights'. I presume, most of the people have never been to China.

    Couldn't people stop 'stealing technology' stories for a moment (think US would have nukes if they haven't *stolen* German scientist and research?), and talk about feasibility of this project, no matter who does it.

    There are so many sites dealing with politics - don't turn Slashdot into another one.
  • D'ya think they can pull it off?

    Let's see, the US pulled off landing a man on the moon in 7 1/2 years. China has years of technological growth since then, and more manpower (and more resources?) then the US did at that time. The state of the art for propultion is far beyond what it was back in the day US landed on the moon.

    Sounds like a piece of cake.

    To start mining would take a much reduced cost per kg to lift, most likely heavily reusable spacecraft. Getting it down doesn't have to be the same way - read Robert Heinlein's "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress" for ideas, which also converts into a nice big weapon. Gotta love standing at the top of a deep gravity well.

    I think this is not only possible, but probable. And potentially scary for nations that don't play nicely with China. Once to the moon, elsewhere is next. Population pressure unlike anywhere but India may provide a good motivation to think long term about spaceflight. Or maybe I'm wrong.

    But there is no reason the Chinese can not succeed if they want to.

    =Blue(23)
  • I think it's should be obvious that China would do this for national prestige - can anyone name a country that wouldn't? - and it's attendant military benefits. Whether they will succede in the given time frame is another question altogether. 2010 is an extremely near date even though the technology to get there is not rocket science (pun intended) any more. The chinese seem to be buying up a lot of already developed Russian technology and have the will to do this adventure, but given that China seems to have difficulties developing it's own *reliable* high tech (J10 fighter for example, Long March crashes for another) I have the feeling that if this does indeed go forward, it will more likely be around 2015 to 2020.
  • I don't know if the Chinese are capable of doing this (if they are, more power to them), but I realy hope this re-ignites the space race. Good competition is something NASA really needs to get the Federal dollar, and with the soviet program no longer in contention, we've seen the funds cut drastically.

    If this puts space back into the public eye, then it's a Good Thing (tm) through and through.

  • My god, Vonnegut was right.

  • by gdyas ( 240438 ) on Monday May 20, 2002 @10:44AM (#3551011) Homepage

    As always, the essential question is why. Prestige only gets you so far. Notice that after mankind proved it could be done in 1969 - 1974, we just plain stopped. Know why? We'd gotten all the scientific information we could reasonably have gotten, it was very dangerous, and very expensive. So now we have to ask why and look for deeper responses, an actual purpose to flying out into space. What possibly could be done on the moon that couldn't be done right here, or perhaps on our money pit noisemaker, the Int'l Space Station (ISS)? I strongly suspect the answer is nothing.

    Speaking in a larger, world exploration of space sense, couldn't we get more scientific gain by sending out many, many more satellites equipped with finely engineered sensors? I know our human nature makes us feel that if there's not a biped there we haven't really experienced it, but putting a base on the moon, landing on mars, doing deep space exploration, etc - these are all things that become exponentially cheaper if we decide to send machines instead of people to do it.

    Before we went to the moon it held an air of mystery for us. But when we got there we found it was just a big dusty gray rock, and so our fascination was with ourselves with succeeding in getting there, not with the destination itself. People who dream of moonbases fail to realize that it'll never happen. It's like going to a far-away island - anything you need you have to bring with you. Food, housing, any and all equipment to do anything - it's ridiculous and there's no reason for it. We'll also never practice interstellar travel, or likely even get beyond Mars & Venus as humans, mainly due to the gamma ray problem. And will it be worth it? For science, yes. But not for any practical purpose.

Solutions are obvious if one only has the optical power to observe them over the horizon. -- K.A. Arsdall

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