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Math Science

For the First Time, Research Reveals Crows Use Statistical Logic (arstechnica.com) 40

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Ars Technica: [R]esearchers from the University of Tubingen found for the first time that crows can perform statistical reasoning. These results can help scientists better understand the evolution of intelligence (and may give us a better appreciation of what's going on in our backyard). [...] Dr. Melissa Johnston, a Humboldt Fellow at the University of Tubingen, certainly appreciated the specialness of these creatures, as she and her colleagues have been studying these animals for several years. "In our lab, it has been shown that crows have sophisticated numerical competence, demonstrate abstract thinking, and show careful consideration during decision-making," she said. In her most recent experiment, Johnston and her team pushed these abilities to a new extreme, testing statistical reasoning.

To do this, Johnston and her team began by training two crows to peck at various images on touchscreens to earn food treats. From this simple routine of peck-then-treat, the researchers significantly raised the stakes. "We introduce the concept of probabilities, such as that not every peck to an image will result in a reward," Johnston elaborated. "This is where the crows learn the unique pairings between the image on the screen and the likelihood of obtaining a reward." The crows quickly learned to associate each of the images with a different reward probability. In the experiment, the two crows had to choose between two of these images, each corresponding to a different reward probability. "Crows were tasked with learning rather abstract quantities (i.e., not whole numbers), associating them with abstract symbols, and then applying that combination of information in a reward maximizing way," Johnston said. Over 10 days of training and 5,000 trials, the researchers found that the two crows continued to pick the higher probability of reward, showing their ability to use statistical inference.

Pushing the crows even further, Johnston and her team waited a whole month before testing the crows again. Even after a month without training, the crows remembered the reward probabilities and could pick the highest number every time. Johnston and her team were excited that the crows could apply statistical reasoning in almost any setting to ensure their reward. "Working with the birds every day is very rewarding! They are very responsive animals, so I enjoy spending time with them," added Johnston.
The findings have been published in the journal Current Biology.
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For the First Time, Research Reveals Crows Use Statistical Logic

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  • Not exactly (Score:5, Funny)

    by illogicalpremise ( 1720634 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @12:07AM (#63849990)

    It's really only 7.2 out of 10 crows based on a survey of 400 crows.

  • Birds are so smart it is amazing. When you realize their brain is so small= incredible really. Like young children.
    • I had a budgie who just died a few months ago at the age of 14. (Now I have a new one.)

      My previous bird always knew what time it was. To the minute.

      He was also a rock and roll dancer. If the music had the right beat he would do The Twist or the Lambeth Walk, and he could do both as well as anyone I've ever seen. If he didn't feel like dancing you'd see him tapping a toe on his perch in time with the music.

  • by cstacy ( 534252 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @12:49AM (#63850050)

    It sounds like they trained the crows to know that when you peck on image #1, you never get a reward, but pecking on #2 or #3 sometimes gets a reward. There is no evidence or logic in that to support the wild cliam that the crows are doing "statistical reasoning" and saying the crows are doing "calculations" based on "fractional numbers". Only that crows have apparently trained the scientists to do such calculations.

    It is already well known that birds can do some counting, of the "1,2,3,many" variety. Parrots and Corvids being the smartest ones we're aware of. Like Pepperberg's parrot Alex [wikipedia.org].

    Speaking of pecking at images, over at the lab where Alex the African Grey lived the last part of his life, they gave him a touch-screen (peck-screen) to a custom web browser which they called "Inter-pet Explorer". Just for (them to watch) him to surf the web.

    • by KAdamM ( 2996395 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @01:10AM (#63850102)
      Probabilities of getting a reward were from 10% to 90% in 10% steps. The crows were first trained with one symbol only, and then presented with a choice between two options. And they would pick the optimal option (i.e. the one with higher probability) more often. The average was about 70%, but it raises with the difference between the reward probability of the two options. For differences above 40 points (i.e. 60% vs. 20% choice) it was almost 100%. They even tried to teach them different set of symbols, showing them, during the training, the worse choice more often then the better one. Even in that scenario the crows learned which is better to choose. So it is really like understanding and ordering stimulus with their fractional success rate. It is much more sophisticated thinking than 1,2,3, many. I wonder how well humans would perform in such an experiment.
      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        by cstacy ( 534252 )

        The crows are not crunching numbers, which was the claim. They're merely associating rewards with pictures. They remember which pictures work best. That's not "calculating". I wouldn't even call it "reasoning". It's no surprise that crows (or any animal I can think of) can remember a dozen or more things, and which of those things is usually good or bad.

        • by KAdamM ( 2996395 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @03:18AM (#63850228)
          That is a common issue with scientific research, when people read only comments to a summary of a summary of a popular-science version of a article. The original one never claimed the crows know numbers. Please read at least the linked highlights or abstract of the original paper. All it says is:

          Statistical inference, the ability to use limited information to draw conclusions about the likelihood of an event, is critical for decision-making during uncertainty. The ability to make statistical inferences was thought to be a uniquely human skill requiring verbal instruction and mathematical reasoning[1]. (...) The crows showed behavioral distance and size effects when judging reward values, indicating that the crows represented probabilities as abstract magnitudes. When controlling for absolute reward frequency, crows still made reward-maximizing choices, which is the signature of true statistical inference. (...)

        • by wfj2fd ( 4643467 )
          Not certain of the experiment design, but it's likely that there was some additional scenarios that can actually tease out certain types of reasoning. E.g.,
          • They are shown up to 10 images one by one.
          • They get to pick 2 images, given a reward each time they pick (but stopping after the second pick).
          • Image X shows up 95% of the time and gets them a reward of size 1, image Y shows up 5% of the time and gets them a reward of size 10.

          Optimal play here is to pick Y if seen then wait until another Y or the 10th

        • by crunchygranola ( 1954152 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @10:43AM (#63850934)

          First, there is no claim in the paper that crows are "crunching numbers". Second, the title here is actually quite accurate "uses statistical logic" as reasoning about outcomes from an understanding of probable outcomes is indeed "statistical logic". But you get a lot farther out on a limb with "I wouldn't even call it "reasoning"" as you are basing this rejection on a gross mischaracterization of what the researchers successfully demonstrated. No, it was not just picking "good and bad things".

          Reasoning about probabilities is likely a highly evolved feature of natural neural systems generally to maximize the probability of survival.

    • [joke?]Had I a pet crow, I'd teach her to solve Captchas for me.[/joke?]
    • "Working with the birds every day is very rewarding! They are very responsive animals, so I enjoy spending time with them"

      Confirmation bias.

      Can you say that, children? I knew you could!

      • Yeah. Animal behavioral researchers always get the best data from animals that are uncooperative and difficult to work with. Sure.

  • Crows (Score:4, Funny)

    by RitchCraft ( 6454710 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @01:05AM (#63850092)

    They freak me out. You can just tell by the way they look at you that they are working out methods of world domination. I encountered many of these creepy beasts while working on my grandfather's farm as a kid. They still haunt my dreams to this day ... ahhh! Great, now I'm going to be up all night.

    • Re:Crows (Score:5, Interesting)

      by dsgrntlxmply ( 610492 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @01:22AM (#63850116)
      They drop walnuts in my driveway and nearby road intersections, to be cracked by cars. I don't even mind much when they awaken me at dawn with a noisy war that can go on for 45 minutes. They are strange and awesome.
      • They are trying to puncture the tires and cause mass destruction! LOL They have you fooled with their "skills" of using passing cars to eat walnuts. That "noisy war" you hear ... actually battle plans for when the domination finally occurs. They are all getting up to speed on the plans.

      • Of course they are strage and awesome! Their parents were dinosaurs, you know...
      • They did give a capabilities demonstration one morning when I went out in bare feet without eyeglasses to pick up the newspaper. Re: dinosaurs, hold a formerly cute and fluffy duckling up to the light after it has gone through first molt. The face is still duckling, but the body is pterodactyl.
  • by Kamineko ( 851857 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @02:55AM (#63850198)

    They learned it in Common Caw.

  • Seriously, they're safe crackers and cat burglars. Really really, I've seen crows sneak like a guilty human child far into a place where humans were dwelling, stole a bag of sunflower seeds, and shared it with their other corvid buddies.
  • by codeButcher ( 223668 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @04:27AM (#63850310)

    For the next experiment, maybe they should give some crow-sized guitars and drum sets to these counting crows and see if they make rock music.

  • Welcome our new crow overlords.
  • by Deaddy ( 1090107 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @07:11AM (#63850502)

    Crows are amazing in all sorts of ways, like how you can train them to bring you items of interest (e.g. money) in exchange for reward or how some species have been observed tumbling down roofs to induce some kind of altered state. But "statistical logic" is kinda given just by the nature of neuronal networks, be it natural or artificial. It's the basis of its functionality and also the reason for all sorts of biases and malfunctions we develop, such as superstition and just learning correlations instead of causations.
    It's nice to see some quantification of the granularity to which crows are able discern different probabilities, though.

    On the other hand, the paper nicely demonstrates how long it takes to move away science from the very human-centric worldview of the darkages, where people would not even dare to attribute a modicum of intelligence to non-human lifeforms, even when we already do (or at least should) know such things for decades from basically petri dish experiements.

    • by john83 ( 923470 )

      I don't much like scoffing at a paper I have only skimmed in an area I know next to nothing about, but I have questions before I'd pay any attention to this result.

      Surely every predator learns to do this kind of "statistical reasoning"? Hunting in some areas gives better return than in others. Foraging animals similarly with other foods. Every house dog I've ever known had an instinctive knowledge of which adult to beg for scraps from at the table for combinations of far more than two people, too.

      "In the ex

  • E.g., your eyes being able to distinguish spatial relationships in determining a jump doesn't mean you know geometry.
    • by HiThere ( 15173 )

      Yes, it's reasoning. It's not logic, but it's reasoning. Logic is the one that has to do with words and names and such things. (From the Greek logos. Reason is from a Latin word meaning [approx.] ratio.)

      • The implication of both is a conscious deliberative process rather than direct perception of relationships. So I'm just wondering which they think is going on.
  • My dog keeps failing precalculus.

  • "Crows were tasked with learning rather abstract quantities (i.e., not whole numbers)..."

    I guarantee you they havent grasped fractional numbers just because they figured out the likelihood of something happening

  • by Walt Dismal ( 534799 ) on Friday September 15, 2023 @12:09PM (#63851184)
    In exciting news, our new chatbots use an army of offshore crows at keyboards to provide great value in customer service responses. Peck 1 to talk with a representative, peck 2 for English, peck 3 for Crowvish.
  • by groobly ( 6155920 )

    Crows are very smart. All learning is statistical. That they do "statistical logic" is nonsense. Most humans don't, either.

  • Of course, anything they do as a group is murder.

  • Have you ever watched a murder of crows ? It's almost as if all the different calls they make mean something. I've noticed a crow has a muster call. At my house sometimes I hear what I think is the "muster" call and I would hear replies from other crows in the distance. Eventually the crows that were responding will perch on the tree where the bird that started the muster call is perched.. There would be some chatter and they would fly offf. The call that I think is a "muster" call is used all th

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