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Science

Data Review Brings Major Setback In Higgs Boson Hunt 180

Velcroman1 writes "The quest for the elusive Higgs boson seemed over in April, when an unexpected result from an atom smasher seemed to herald the discovery of the famous particle — the last unproven piece of the physics puzzle and one of the great mysteries scientists face today. Scientists with the Tevatron particle accelerator at Chicago's Fermilab facility just released the results of a months-long effort by the lab's brightest minds to confirm the finding. What did they find? Nothing. 'We do not see the signal,' said Dmitri Denisov, staff scientist at Fermilab. 'If it existed, we would see it. But when we look at our data, we basically see nothing.'"
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Data Review Brings Major Setback In Higgs Boson Hunt

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  • What are the implications of such a particle not really existing in the first place? In terms of how we think our universe works?

    • by SimonTheSoundMan ( 1012395 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:25AM (#36402194)

      Religious people will say "We told you that God isn't a particle".

    • by Richard_at_work ( 517087 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:25AM (#36402200)

      If it exists where people are looking for it, it will confirm certain current theories. If it doesn't exist where people are looking, it damages certain current theories. If it doesn't exist at all, it calls for a complete rethink on many things.

      Basically, if the Higgs Boson exists where people think it does, it means our ideas about how the universe is constructed are well founded and once again science has provided evidence to back up its theories. If it doesn't, then that opens up doors for radical rethinks on those ideas, meaning possible new directions in which to go and new theories to seek evidence for.

    • by m50d ( 797211 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:35AM (#36402322) Homepage Journal
      The elegant standard model of particle physics only works because the particles don't have intrinsic mass (they get their mass from coupling to the higgs field). This allows a symmetry between the three "families" of particles (electron/muon/tau, neutrino/mu neutrino/tau neutrino, up/strange/top, down/charm/bottom etc.)

      So if there is no Higgs boson then we're certainly missing something. I'm not sure if it's possible for the Higgs field to exist and not carry particles; certainly you'd normally expect for particles to be able to form in a field. If there's no Higgs field then either some other mechanism gives particles mass (and I'm not aware of any real proposals) or the standard model is wrong (which it probably is wrong, but we're short on replacements). If the standard model collapses, that puts us back to having 20+ different "fundamental" particles, all discovered through experiment, with no real idea of how they're related or how many more are out there.

    • by Anonymous Coward on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:38AM (#36402360)

      First, to be clear: the Fermilab people haven't shown that the Higgs boson doesn't exist. They just didn't find it.

      If the LHC doesn't find it, then we can start saying it doesn't exist. That would pretty much invalidate the standard model [stackexchange.com] of particle physics, which is the currently best-accepted theory we have (because it gets most things right). If the standard model is wrong, it opens the door for other physical theories [stackexchange.com] to be considered. Right now we're not taking those other theories so seriously because they all get one thing or another wrong, but if the standard model is also wrong about the Higgs, then there's no particular reason to favor it over other theories that also get one or two things wrong.

    • by Mr_Huber ( 160160 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:56AM (#36402634) Homepage

      Currently, things weigh more than they should. The mass of a particle is a function of the kinetic energy of the particle and it's component parts, if any. If we run the numbers, we get good masses for some particles, not good masses for others. A proposed solution to this problem is the Higgs field, a nonzero field that permeates space. Anything coupling with this field gains additional mass through interaction with the field.

      Picture a person at a party. Normally, they are free to move through the party fairly easily. Now make that person famous. Admirers flock around, and the celebrity has trouble moving. Nonfamous people are particles that do not couple with the HIggs field. Celebrities are particles that do couple with the field, surrounded by a paparazzi of virtual Higgs particles.

      Nice theory. It fills a gap in the standard model and now the math all works. So now we have to find the particle. You need the mass of a particle to find it in an accelerator. Roughly (very roughly), you need to create collisions where the sum energy of the little explosion is about that of the particle in question, then watch a statistically large number of those to see if something matching your particle appears. If it does, it's off to Stockholm for dinner with the king. If not, it's back to the drawing boards.

      The problem is, the theory doesn't predict the mass of the particle. It doesn't even say if it is one particle, a family of similar particles or a family of different particles. So there's a wide spread of masses to examine. And all the masses are really high, far higher than any other existing accelerator could reach. So we have the new CERN experiment, slowly scanning the possible masses, looking for the particle.

      If we don't find that particle, then we're back to square one, why are some particles heavier than predicted? For decades, we've assumed it was some sort of variant of the Higgs boson. But if that's not the case, it's back to the blackboard for more theories.

      In general, this is a problem for particle physics. Finding or not finding the particle will affect chemistry, biology and general astronomy not at all. It might or might not have an affect on cosmology, but that's hard to say without a particle to talk about. More interesting for cosmology is that while searching for the Higgs, the experiment might come across more esoteric things, such as evidence for supersymmetry. Evidence for supersymmetry would automatically generate the prime number one candidate for dark matter. And nailing down the properties of dark matter would give us another probe of the Big Bang.

      More information than you wanted probably, but I hope it helps.

      • Thanks. I think I grasp the rudiments of it now.

      • Picture a person at a party. Normally, they are free to move through the party fairly easily. Now make that person famous. Admirers flock around, and the celebrity has trouble moving. Nonfamous people are particles that do not couple with the HIggs field. Celebrities are particles that do couple with the field, surrounded by a paparazzi of virtual Higgs particles.

        Analogy of the Year candidate!

      • No mod points, so wanted to say thanks!

    • by cfc-12 ( 1195347 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @12:01PM (#36402706)
      It means the universe has disappeared and been replaced by something even more bizarre and inexplicable.
    • by Suiggy ( 1544213 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @04:38PM (#36406106)

      It means we have to look to alternative microscopic theories to explain gravity, such as emergent entropic gravity and the holographic principle.

  • by The Living Fractal ( 162153 ) <(moc.liamtoh) (ta) (rratnanab)> on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:18AM (#36402092) Homepage
    Sometimes not seeing what you expected is worth seeing in itself...
  • Budgets (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Baby Duck ( 176251 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:19AM (#36402096) Homepage
    I have a much cheaper device in my backyard that's good at finding nothing.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:21AM (#36402126)

    Good on them for trying and not looking for false positives. This is science, it's not easy or quick. I hope they stay encouraged and keep pushing human knowledge forward.

    Good job!

  • by Anonymous Coward on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:22AM (#36402128)

    Why do you suppose it is that whenever there's a science related story posted to slashdot, it's always followed by a link to foxnews with some hyperbolic title like "Heartbreaker: Major Setback in Quest for God Particle"?

    Maybe slashdot should start defriending some of its own bimbots.

  • And of course... (Score:2, Insightful)

    by savanik ( 1090193 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:22AM (#36402140)

    When they don't find it at Fermilab, and they don't find it at the LHC, they'll just say we haven't got enough power yet, and we need to build another one with even more power.

    The Higgs doesn't exist. The arguments for it sound just like the arguments of the 'ether' back in the 1900's. The standard model is wrong. Go back and fix it with pen and paper before spending a few trillion dollars trying to figure out why scientists can't do math.

    • by The Living Fractal ( 162153 ) <(moc.liamtoh) (ta) (rratnanab)> on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:25AM (#36402196) Homepage
      I disagree. Sometimes math fails (root: because we fail at math) and the only recourse is to smash things together to see what falls out.
    • by Anonymous Coward on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:26AM (#36402210)

      Ever the optimist.

    • by Richard_at_work ( 517087 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:28AM (#36402230)

      And of course you can provide evidence to back your assertion that the entire thing needs a rethink? Just from your comment, I'd rather give these scientists billions of dollars for the LHC than give you $10 for lunch.

      • by Artifakt ( 700173 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @03:38PM (#36405422)

        What would count as good evidence that the standard model has a big flaw in it? When people started thinking the epicycle model was wrong, it happened for several reasons (paraphrasing Thomas Kuhn for much of this):
                By Copernicus' time, 1) there were a lot of accumulated observations that no one had during the first few hundred years, and new tools made those latter observations more accurate. 2) The formulas to calculate epicycles grew more and more complex to account for those observations, and people could point to the history of the model to show what that trend implied for its future. People lost confidence that the next tweak would be the last. 3) the epicycle model still didn't predict some basic things, such as the exact start time of some planets appearing to precess, accurately enough.
                So, for 1), the standard model hasn't been around for hundreds of years. In the time it has been around, we have developed much more powerful accelerators, but we haven't invented a significantly new class of tools (such as the Galilean or Newtonian telescope, or reasonably accurate to a few seconds a day clocks, all of which came in as epicycle models were being rejected). Progress on the observational side has all been evolutionary, not revolutionary, so progress on the theoretical side will tend to mirror that, rightly or wrongly.
        For 2), The Higgs is one of a very few testable predictions which could add some math to the rest of the standard model. It makes the math a little more complex to include it, but by itself, it doesn't suggest that every 20 years or so, we will again have to add some more complexity. Evidence for condition 2) would have to come from more than just Higgs Boson research, i.e. finding some other unexplained particle that definitely isn't the Higgs to suggest we are seeing ever mounting complexity. A possible Higgs candidate slightly outside the projected ranges, or something which seemed mostly Higgslike but for some odd property (say, a cluster of related particles all with no spin or color, but slightly varying energies), wouldn't make most theoreticians rethink the whole model so much as try to tweak it a little.
        3) We could argue that 3) is being met, in the form of the gravity related incompatibilities of QM and General Relativity. If we still face that question in 100 or 200 years, more and more working scientists will regard it as a situation like 1), and arguments that the change needed is major will gradually gain traction.

        • by khallow ( 566160 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @06:33PM (#36407176)

          When people started thinking the epicycle model was wrong

          You ignore that the epicycle model is asymptotically true. Enough corrections and any theory would be as true as any other theory. The problem was that the epicycle model was not parsimonious and there was a vastly simpler way to describe the dynamics of bodies acting under the influence of gravity.

          There's an opinion that the standard model and the variety of proposed corrections to it isn't parsimonious. But it's not based on scientific evidence.

    • by elsurexiste ( 1758620 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:28AM (#36402234) Journal
      Ok. I'll ask "Why?" to all your statements.
    • by sbrown123 ( 229895 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:31AM (#36402274) Homepage

      Europe put a lot of money in to the LHC. I don't think it was meant to find anything except certain pockets to fill with cash.

    • by bhagwad ( 1426855 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:31AM (#36402276) Homepage
      If anything, this just shows me the way science should work. An assertion is taken, tested impartially and if found wanting it's discarded without a second thought. No emotion, no hysterics. Just science.

      Your worries about a huge conspiracy are shall we say...a tad loony?
    • by m50d ( 797211 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:40AM (#36402384) Homepage Journal
      You know how they "fixed" the ether? It wasn't with pen and paper, it was by thinking about the implications, then doing the experiments (in particular, michaelson-morely), and then looking at the results. The same thing they're doing now with the Higgs.

      I don't think the Higgs exists either. But it's the best candidate explanation for observed phenomena. There is an upper limit on the mass of a standard model Higgs, and testing in the relevant range is reasonable; even if we don't find the Higgs, we'll likely find something interesting. Of course, if you have a better candidate model, then by all means make the predictions, publish them, and see whether they match what the LHC comes up with.

    • by BitHive ( 578094 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:48AM (#36402528) Homepage

      When you get a sec can you jot down that math for us, I have some friends who are physicists and it sounds like they could use your help.

    • by Anonymous Coward on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:55AM (#36402612)

      Actually not. Naively explained so you can understand it, the Higgs mechanism to work needs a Higgs mass between 114 GeV upwards to ~170 GeV. Outside of that region things don't work and it's safe to say you have to look for better ideas.

      The reason why physicist think the Higgs boson is there it's because 3/4th of the idea has already been discovered, the W^+ , W^- and Z bosons. What is left of the picture is that 1/4 which correspondes to the Higgs in the electroweak theory. If there is supersymmetry there might be 5 Higgs bosons which would make the discovery of each of them a little bit more difficult. But hopefuly feasable in the LHC.

      If you let me, I would give an analogy*. Think of you trying to solve a puzzle, a very complicated one indeed. After years of work you manage to assambly a consistent arrangement of all the pieces that not only fits, also gives a pretty picture. All there's to find a piece that you lost somewhere in the room to put it in it's place. At this point you are pretty confident that the chances of it not fitting are small, and that you got it right. But physicist don't take this for granted, they wan't to find the piece and prove it. And if it doesn't fit, don't worry, we will work on the puzzle again.

      *NOTE: If needed the image of the puzzle can be that of a car.

    • by Kjella ( 173770 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @12:08PM (#36402782) Homepage

      And what pray tell is the "right" math? There's kazillions of mathematical models, but only one that that actually fits reality - though simplifications can cover specific parts like Newtonian physics. You can't know if your model is accurate without testing. In fact, without observation you can't even guess at a model at all. That sometimes we think we know what's out there in the unknown is the rare exception to when we don't. If we're just going to sit around and think about it, we'll get no further than the philosophers do.

      • by Artifakt ( 700173 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @03:51PM (#36405588)

        You really can't know that there's even a single mathematical model that fits reality. Yes, it looks that way so far, but it's a starting axiom of science that there will be one and only one. It would be a very odd universe indeed if there were zero or more than one, but science doesn't reason its way to proving there is only one, science starts from that as a default assumption. Reasoning this to be true is a matter of philosophy, which can argue from axioms completely outside of science that math is not just pragmatically useful but fundamentally a requirement of all true science.

        • by Kjella ( 173770 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @05:15PM (#36406492) Homepage

          As long as there's some sanity in what applies where, disjoint models would be put into one. That's how it works without a theory of everything, we have models for the various forces that in their limited scope seem correct. And there's nothing saying the laws of the universe must be constant either in time or in space, just that there's some form of pattern we can describe. And I would say there's at least a partial pattern or we'd not have all the models we do have. Even probabilities like quantum mechanics and isotope half-lifes can be modeled.

    • What I'd like to know (and it may be known, but what I know about this is from following it on Slashdot :-) is whether there exists (in theory at least) a disconfirming experiment for the Higgs Boson. Or is the only way to "prove" it doesn't exist is just to never find it.

    • by John Hasler ( 414242 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @12:38PM (#36403206) Homepage

      When they don't find it at Fermilab, and they don't find it at the LHC, they'll just say we haven't got enough power yet, and we need to build another one with even more power.

      1) The Standard Model predicts that the Higgs will be found within a specific energy range. The LHC is powerful enough to explore that entire range. Therefor if the LHC does not find the Higgs it does not exist.

      2) Finding the Higgs is not the purpose of the LHC. It's merely one experiment.

    • by starwed ( 735423 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @02:58PM (#36404974)
      It's a fucking embarrassment to slashdot that this troll is modded "insightful."
    • by khallow ( 566160 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @06:29PM (#36407138)

      The standard model is wrong. Go back and fix it with pen and paper before spending a few trillion dollars trying to figure out why scientists can't do math.

      And how do you know there's an problem with the standard model?

  • by Nyall ( 646782 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:29AM (#36402244) Homepage

    Floating point precision is slightly different between powerpc (64 bits and fused multiply and accumulate instructions) and x86 (80 bit internal results)

  • by Charliemopps ( 1157495 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:43AM (#36402436)
    "So what was it, anyway? Something completely unknown and unexpected, Denisov said, which is what prompted Fermilab to drop everything and assign its top scientists to uncover an unfortunate truth: Someone forgot to carry a zero."
  • Um guys (Score:3, Funny)

    by voss ( 52565 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:47AM (#36402520)

    "I'm pretty confident that towards the end of 2012 we will have an answer to the Shakespeare question for the Higgs boson, to be, or not to be?" Rolf-Dieter Heuer, director general of CERN, said at Britain's Royal Society."

    Id be perfectly okay if you wait until 2013 to get your answers. Its not that I believe all these December 22,2012 things its just that
    some idiot who forgot to carry their zero might be stupid enough to rush something and accidentally cause some sort of catastrophe. Lets all just
    shut down all the accelerators on December 14th,2012 and give everyone a holiday until January 7th, 2013.

  • Not the Higgs (Score:5, Informative)

    by wuzzeb ( 216420 ) <wuzzeb@y[ ]o.com ['aho' in gap]> on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:48AM (#36402538)

    Sorry, the summary and title is just plain incorrect. This announcement has nothing to do with the Higgs.

    A few months ago, CDF claimed that they detected a new particle which could not be the higgs, but was speculated to be a new particle. As explained here [science20.com], it wasn't possible for the new particle to be the Higgs.

    Today DZERO announced that they did not see any signal where CDF claimed to see one. So one of the two projects has an error in their analysis.

    More info orig [science20.com], new announcement [science20.com], DZERO refutes [science20.com], another source [columbia.edu], even another source [blogspot.com]

    • by bflong ( 107195 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @12:14PM (#36402866)

      Will someone with mod points please mod the parent up?
      Only Fox News is trying to connect this with the Higgs... the bastion of science reporting that they are.

    • by timeOday ( 582209 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @12:54PM (#36403458)

      Today DZERO announced that they did not see any signal where CDF claimed to see one. So one of the two projects has an error in their analysis.

      Maybe the first party happened to observe a set of statistically anomalous events, which didn't re-occur when the second party looked into it. Like if I visited the desert for one day and it happened to rain, I might say, "we have reason to suspect this may be a wet climate," but as more people spent more days there trying to replicate my findings they would find this is not the case. That is not necessarily indicative of a mistake on anybody's part.

      • by hitmark ( 640295 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @01:30PM (#36403872) Journal

        Well in this case it is not so much direct observation as trying to sort thru a whole lot of detected particles. Kinda like deciding to find one specific jigsaw piece in the box by sorting thru snapshots of the content of the box being tossed across the room. And while doing that they notice what looks like a 5th corner piece in what should be a square puzzle.

    • by renhwa ( 2254034 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @03:16PM (#36405188)
      This comment should be emphasized. The summary and title are way off the mark.
      1. This was not a data "review," but rather an entirely new analysis. Fermilab has two experiments that study proton-antiproton collisions, named CDF and D0. CDF published the original paper, and then D0 tried to verify their claims. Reproducibility of results is a tenet of science; having multiple ~independent experiments at Fermilab allows results from one experiment to be verified at another. This story demonstrates exactly why we need independent verification to be confident in a result.
      2. This is not a setback. The CDF bump was unexpected and quite exciting, but not vital to the progress or science, nor anybody's daily business in the particle physics world.
      3. This never had anything to do with the Higgs. Generally, people have not been regarding the CDF bump as a possible Higgs signal, but rather an indication of something new.

      See D0's paper [fnal.gov]. And...let's stay away from FoxNews for science writing.
  • by JimWise ( 1804930 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @11:49AM (#36402550)

    I don't know why it is always referred to as "The elusive Higgs boson" when Einstein was able to so clearly point to its existence decades ago:
    Einstein proving that the Higgs boson can be found anywhere [tumblr.com]

  • by jma34 ( 591871 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @12:34PM (#36403162)

    Let's get things straightened out. About a month ago the CDF experiment at the Tevatron at Fermilab found a "bump" in their data. It was statistically significant and was unexplained. This "bump" cannot be the Higgs boson from The Standard Model because it has the completely wrong cross-section. This was a fully public result from the CDF experiment.

    About the same time there was a "leaked" abstract from an internal note from the ATLAS experiment at the LHC which claimed to have a signal for a Higgs boson. This was never a public or published result.

    Now today we have an announcement from the D0 experiment at the Tevatron that they looked into the CDF bump and see nothing. This isn't a set back for the Higgs since it was never about the Higgs. The ATLAS leaked abstract has never been confirmed even by ATLAS so lets not get our underpants in a knot. Lets also not conflate the two since they don't have anything to do with each other.

  • by paiute ( 550198 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @01:15PM (#36403710)

    The Higgs, the Theory of Everything, the End Times - all on hold again, apparently:

    http://www.scribd.com/doc/19550880/GUT-The-Grand-Unified-Theory-A-oneact-play-with-seven-blackouts [scribd.com]

  • by wcrowe ( 94389 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @01:37PM (#36403932)

    If it were easy it wouldn't be worth doing.

  • by Ukab the Great ( 87152 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @01:41PM (#36403984)

    They didn't fail to find the Higgs-Boson; they succeeded in discovering a way that the universe does not work.

  • by Have Brain Will Rent ( 1031664 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @01:49PM (#36404076)
    The summary *could* mention that "an atom smasher" was the LHC at CERN... for some reason we need to know that the lab checking the data was Fermilab, that Fermilab has the Tevatron particle accelerator and that Fermilab is in Chicago but we don't need to know the name, location or equipment of the lab conducting the actual experiment.

    Hint: It's ok to acknowledge that important stuff happens outside the US.
  • If I remember some stuff I read a couple of months back, this bump on the tail of this particular distribution was seen in data taken at the CDF detector but *not* at D-Zero, which is a similar, complimentary detector on the other side of Fermilab's collider ring. So I suppose this isn't that big of a surprise. And now one supposes that LHC is back to being the only game in town for the Higgs.

    Sad in a way. Does this mean Fermilab will be ramped down and decommissioned before long?

  • by Lawrence_Bird ( 67278 ) on Friday June 10, 2011 @04:49PM (#36406206) Homepage
    The CDF result had nothing to do with Higgs and to claim the D0 analysis somehow affects the search is not only misleading but flat out wrong. If this is anything at all it is a leptophobic Z'

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