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Earth Space

Weird Orbits of Distant Objects Can Be Explained Without Invoking a 'Planet Nine' (space.com) 61

schwit1 shares a report from Space.com: The weirdly clustered orbits of some far-flung bodies in our solar system can be explained without invoking a big, undiscovered "Planet Nine," a new study suggests. The shepherding gravitational pull could come from many fellow trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs) rather than a single massive world, according to the research. "If you remove Planet Nine from the model, and instead allow for lots of small objects scattered across a wide area, collective attractions between those objects could just as easily account for the eccentric orbits we see in some TNOs," study lead author Antranik Sefilian, a doctoral student in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics at Cambridge University in England, said in a statement.

The duo's modeling work suggests that the strength-in-numbers explanation does indeed work -- if the mass of the Kuiper Belt, the ring of bodies beyond Neptune, is a few to 10 times that of Earth. This is a pretty big "if," given that most estimates peg the Kuiper Belt's mass at less than 10 percent that of Earth (and one recent study put the figure at 0.02 Earth masses). But other solar systems are known to harbor massive disks of material in their outer reaches, Sefilian and Touma noted. And our failure to spot one around our own sun doesn't mean it doesn't exist, they stressed.
The new study has been accepted for publication in the Astronomical Journal.
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Weird Orbits of Distant Objects Can Be Explained Without Invoking a 'Planet Nine'

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  • Planet Nine? (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 24, 2019 @03:52AM (#58013278)

    But we already know where Pluto is!

  • That Planet X, Nibiru, *doesn't* exist? Well where are the lizard people coming from if not there? Check and mate.
    • by dryriver ( 1010635 ) on Thursday January 24, 2019 @07:01AM (#58013656)
      The news in 2018 was all "There's a Planet X, there's a Planet X". Fast forward to January 21 2019. Two Cambridge PhD's claim "it may be a ring of smaller" objects. Now the news is all "There is no Planet X, there is not Planet X." Nobody has been able to observe either a 9th Planet or a ring of smaller objects yet. So basically, nobody knows whether there is a 9th Planet out there or not. Everybody's speculating. (Btw, Nibiru sounds like a Linux distro =)
      • by Freischutz ( 4776131 ) on Thursday January 24, 2019 @07:44AM (#58013716)

        The news in 2018 was all "There's a Planet X, there's a Planet X". Fast forward to January 21 2019. Two Cambridge PhD's claim "it may be a ring of smaller" objects. Now the news is all "There is no Planet X, there is not Planet X." Nobody has been able to observe either a 9th Planet or a ring of smaller objects yet. So basically, nobody knows whether there is a 9th Planet out there or not. Everybody's speculating. (Btw, Nibiru sounds like a Linux distro =)

        No, the news used to be that a Planet X about 10 times the mass of Earth could explain the strange orbits of some of these Trans Neptunian Objects. Now the news is that a ring of smaller objects could also explain the strange orbits of these same TNOs. It just gives scientists something else to look for. That is how science works, people come up with educated guesses (hypotheses) to explain a phenomenon and then try to confirm or disprove them through observation and experiment. This is just science working properly, so no need to get your underwear all tied up into a knot over it.

        • No, the news used to be that a Planet X about 10 times the mass of Earth could explain the strange orbits of some of these Trans Neptunian Objects.

          Yes, but that was an idiotic idea because we could actually find it if it were that large. And it was an idiotic idea to report that idiotic idea, because it led to the surge of dipshits who believe in Nibiru, etc. The same guy I can't just avoid has told me three times now about how this planet is actually passing through Earth's orbit, how NASA has orbited a "sun simulator" that hides the actual sun, blah blah fucking blah. And you tell him that even amateur astronomers would notice the effects that would

          • >Yes, but that was an idiotic idea because we could actually find it if it were that large

            Hardly - the thing could easily be on a highly elliptical long-period orbit, in which case we might only see it near it's closest approach, which could currently be hundreds or thousands of years away. Or we might not be able to see it at all, if it's surface was unusually dark.

            • >Yes, but that was an idiotic idea because we could actually find it if it were that large

              Hardly - the thing could easily be on a highly elliptical long-period orbit, in which case we might only see it near it's closest approach,

              Except it has to be closer than that to do the things it's claimed that it's doing...

              • by Immerman ( 2627577 ) on Thursday January 24, 2019 @04:09PM (#58016356)

                Not so. The proposed planet nine to explain the unlikely clustering of TNOs would have a period in the 10,000-20,000 year range https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

                By Kepler's Law (T^2 proportional to R^3), that would put it's semi-major axis at between 464 to 737 AU, and its apogee could be almost twice that.(semimajor axis is the average of apogee and perigee)

                Assuming it basically looks like Pluto scaled up 11-23x (to the estimated 2-4x the Earth's diameter) Would mean it's angular diameter would be between (11x)*40AU/737AU = 0.6x and (23x)*40/464 = 2.0x the size, for an angular area between 0.36x and 4.0x Pluto, and a corresponding effective brightness between 0.6*(40/737)^2= 0.2% and 4.0*(40/464)^2=3% as bright as Pluto. Assuming a circular orbit - it might be far smaller and dimmer at apogee.

                Easy to overlook. Especially since it would move only 0.02 to 0.04 degrees per year. Or potentially much less it it's near apogee.

      • by Sique ( 173459 )
        The news in 2018 was: "We can explain the weird orbits of some known Kuiper Belt objects if we assume a planet ten times the size of the Earth."

        And the news now is: "We can explain the weird orbits of some known Kuiper Belt objects if we assume that all the Kuiper Belt objects taken together have ten times the mass of the Earth."

        Nowhere was the news of any existance or non-existance of a Planet X.

        And maybe the news in 2024 will be: "We found a mathematical model of the dynamics of the Kuiper Belt that

        • Except of course that a lot of mainstream news outlets reported Cambridge University's latest speculation as "Plant X Debunked" or "There is no 9th planet" or "There never was a Planet X". So a THEORY that there may not be a 9th planet has been reported as FACT that there is in fact no Planet X at all. Is this science? Plugging a few numbers into a mathematical model at Cambridge, immediately talking to journalists about it, and then making millions of average people open a newspaper and think - possibly er
          • by Sique ( 173459 )

            "there probably is no 9th planet at all"

            That's exactly the result we are talking about. Apparently, we don't need to assume a 9th planet to explain what we know right now.

            And until new discoveries and measurements pop up, that will be what we know so far.

            • So you don't KNOW with any certainty that this new alternative theory is any better than the OLD theory. But its good science for dozens of newspapers to write "Planet X Debunked - there never was a Planet X!"??? WTF kind of science is that? What if an actual 9th planet DOES turn out to exist, rather than a ring of smaller objects?
              • by Sique ( 173459 )
                Newspapers aren't Science. Newspapers are newspapers. And they don't report Science is it is, they report about Science or whatever the journalist (who is no specialist in the topic) understood.

                So yes, there are sensationalist headlines. That doesn't invalidate the Science the newspapers are writing about. It might invalidate the way it was reported by people who weren't involved in the original research. If you are interested, most newspapers are referring to the publications they got their information f

    • What are you talking about? They are coming from inside the hollow earth, or moon, I forget which, whatever, illuminati.
    • No it is Mondas, If you look at it with a telescope it will be the earth, but upside down. Because it is so far away from the sun, all the life forms have put their body into cybernetic suites, to survive. And large high powered flashlights on their heads use to vaporize what gets in their way... On earth it would just kill someone.

  • Wouldn't this just increase the chances of a Kuiper Belt planetoid if the total mass of Kuiper Belt objects was 10x that of Earth?
  • by dasunt ( 249686 ) on Thursday January 24, 2019 @10:48AM (#58014308)

    Currently, based on the sizes of the minor planets we have found beyond Neptune, as well as our chance of finding objects, one can extrapolate to a good possibility that we are missing something that is planet sized.

    If the mass of the Kuiper belt is far higher than expected, that makes it seem more likely that there is an undiscovered planet out there.

    I know this study is specifically about the hypothetical "Planet Nine", used to explain the clustering of some Sednoids. And its alternative explanation for that clustering may be correct. But overall, it seems to suggest that there's a unknown mechanism for adding more mass to the far outer reaches of the solar system.

  • Wouldn't a large number of small object in the Kuiper Belt essentially form a spherical shell with roughly uniformly distributed mass?

    http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.g... [gsu.edu]

    Given that, the net gravity and gravitational influence within would be zero so it wouldn't explain anything inside it...

    I guess the question is, are the strange orbits inside or outside of the "shell".

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