"Over the past 30 years, Bueno de Mesquita has made thousands of predictions about hundreds of issues from geopolitics to personal problems. Overall, he claims, his hit rate is about 90 per cent. So how does he do it? What more, the CIA seems to be using this model to predict the outcome of political situations around the world!!". The original article from NewScientist (semi-walled, may need to register) is here: http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20527520.500-the-predictioneer-using-games-to-see-the-future.html?page=1"
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