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Submission + - The predictioneer: Using games to see the future (

parallel_prankster writes: Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a professor of politics at New York University and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University in California. In his new book, The Predictioneer (The Predictioneer's Game in the US), he describes a computer model based on game theory which — and others — claim can predict the future with remarkable accuracy. The primary website link also has a game page where he provides an online version of the game and information on how to play.
"Over the past 30 years, Bueno de Mesquita has made thousands of predictions about hundreds of issues from geopolitics to personal problems. Overall, he claims, his hit rate is about 90 per cent. So how does he do it? What more, the CIA seems to be using this model to predict the outcome of political situations around the world!!". The original article from NewScientist (semi-walled, may need to register) is here:

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The predictioneer: Using games to see the future

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