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Supernovae May Not Be Standard Candles; Is Dark Energy All Wrong? 199

StartsWithABang writes: The accelerated expansion of the Universe — and hence, dark energy — was discovered by taking the well-understood phenomenon of type Ia supernovae and measuring them out to great distances. The results indicated that they were fainter than expected, and hence more distant, and hence the Universe's expansion must be accelerating. But new results have just come out, showing that supernovae may not be standard after all. Does this mean dark energy may not be real, or that it may just be slightly weaker than we previously thought?
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Supernovae May Not Be Standard Candles; Is Dark Energy All Wrong?

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  • Dark Energy (Score:2, Interesting)

    by Z00L00K ( 682162 )

    To me it seems to be used to explain the unexplainable, much like the aether of former times.

    • by Megol ( 3135005 )

      Then maybe you should try reading about it? It isn't a neo-aether.

      • by HiThere ( 15173 )

        What do *you* mean by aether that you can assert that Dark Energy isn't neo-aether? I think what he meant was a sketchy theory that didn't have any really solid evidence, but was widely accepted before being disproven. And that he was asserting that it would eventually be disproven.

        Your assertion that it isn't what he meant is questionable.

        • by Megol ( 3135005 )

          Both dark energy and dark matter have been verified in _several_ ways making those two very hard to replace by other mechanisms. Not impossible but anything pointing to another mechanism would be a proper paradigm shift, something that is extremely unlikely.

          TL;DR Both dark energy and dark matter have solid evidence and is very unlikely to be disproved.

          • by HiThere ( 15173 )

            I agree that the phenomena that the term Dark Energy is used to describe are real. The theory...not so much so. Is there even an agreed upon theory?

            FWIW, recently the "standard candle" of supernova brightness has been called into question, so the data may not mean what people have thought they meant.

    • a lot of what popular perception and popular press calls cosmology and astrophysics is pseudoscience

      string theory

      dark energy

      even the big bang theory, commonly accepted, was formulated by a belgian priest: it's basically genesis from the bible. someone stuck abrahamic religion in the middle of "science" and no one seems to question the shaky foundations. it's just put out there without doubt or question according to popular perception and popular press. there's a lot of ways the big bang theory can be wrong

      • Re:Dark Energy (Score:5, Insightful)

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 12, 2015 @09:43AM (#49457003)

        even the big bang theory, commonly accepted, was formulated by a belgian priest: it's basically genesis from the bible. someone stuck abrahamic religion in the middle of "science" and no one seems to question the shaky foundations.

        Unlike politics where you need to reject ideas because it came from an opposing group, science doesn't care where the idea comes from if it works. The foundations of the Big Bang theory is not its history, but general relativity and the observations that back up things like the FLRW metric. History is only indirectly important in science, in that it is a great pedagogical tool for showing how an idea developed, why some ideas worked and why others failed, for teaching students the process.

      • Re:Dark Energy (Score:4, Informative)

        by SuricouRaven ( 1897204 ) on Sunday April 12, 2015 @09:51AM (#49457023)

        We've got the hubble expansion and cosmic background. Both of which point strongly towards an expanding universe with a point-like origin. Cosmologists hotly debate a lot of the details, but their agreement on the fundamentals is near-unanimous.

        • by Kjella ( 173770 )

          Cosmologists hotly debate a lot of the details, but their agreement on the fundamentals is near-unanimous.

          Those who want to believe otherwise rarely let that get in their way, that we're still working out the minute details of complex interactions is an easy way to dismiss everything. See evolution, the climate, medicine, nutrition, ecosystems, pollution, almost everything that doesn't reduce down to a physics/chemistry experiment really.

        • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

          the expansion we see is simply a local phenomenon ("local" being many billions of light years across) like the crest and trough of waves on the open ocean. the CBE is a phenomenon that happened a long time ago "locally", and delineates the edge of what we can see

          that's just a theory

          but it's no worse of a theory than the idea that there is a big bang that encompasses the entire universe, not just what we can see

          why is the edge of what we can see = to the edge of everything, period?

          proof? the "proof" is a res

          • Because we can't ever observe or in any way interact with anything beyond our visual horizon. You can tell stories about what's "outside" all you want, but they're just stories. Until they have some impact, even just in principle, on the universe we can interact on, they're completely irrelevant.

          • by Prune ( 557140 )
            I propose a new slashdot moderation option: -1 Crackpot. This guy's almost as bad as "Uncle Al" Schwartz.
        • by Livius ( 318358 )

          No-one is questioning expansion;this is about rate of expansion.

      • Re:Dark Energy (Score:5, Insightful)

        by Bengie ( 1121981 ) on Sunday April 12, 2015 @09:52AM (#49457033)
        Dark Energy is not a cheat, it is a placeholder. Assuming our measurements are correct, which the discussion of standard candles is challenging, some unknown source of energy is causing our Universe to expand, and that takes a lot of energy. It takes so much energy, that this energy needs to represent 80% of the Universe's total energy.

        Unless you plan on challenging the First Law of Thermodynamics.
        • nothing you said contradicts anything i said

          you seem to be reacting to the use of my term "cheat sheet," which is a turn of phrase that you are placing extra meaning into that i did not imply. you are reacting to that extra assumed meaning

          because from where i am sitting, we are in perfect agreement

          so i apologize for using an inexact phrase

        • The first law of thermo dynamics simply says the the total energy in a system is constant.

          I can not see how that is relevant to your standpoint or the discussion.

          • by Bengie ( 1121981 )
            Maybe because without Dark Energy, what we're observing would require energy being created. In other words, to ignore that the energy must already exist, means you accept that the energy is magically being created. We know there is extra energy, but we assume it has already existed. Saying "Dark Energy" does not exist is ludicrous, the only question remaining is "what is it?".
        • Re:Dark Energy (Score:4, Informative)

          by buchner.johannes ( 1139593 ) on Sunday April 12, 2015 @01:24PM (#49457973) Homepage Journal

          Dark energy can also be measured from the CMB radiation, through the angular size of anisotropies and through baryonic acoustic oscillations in the large scale structure.
          And the constraints from these *independent* probes are consistent with the results from supernovae, all pointing to the presence of an acceleration of the universe at late times. It is not so that we rely on a single tool here!
          Also, TFA states that their finding that a different class of supernova is dominant at high redshift does not attack the presence of dark energy, only its exact value (of energy density).

        • Doesn't the entire concept of Dark Energy challenge the 1st Law? If space is expanding at a constant rate through time (and I believe the available observations suggest it is), then the energy fueling that expansion must itself be constantly increasing to fill the increasing amount of space. Otherwise we'd see an exponential decay in acceleration as a finite amount of expansion energy became increasingly diffuse.

          • by Bengie ( 1121981 )
            I think it's because space has an average energy of zero, so creating space can be done without consuming energy, but still requires energy to exist in order for it to happen. I could be entirely wrong.
            • Well, that's one of those place where we *know* our theories are broken - General Relativity requires that the energy in empty space is exactly zero, while Quantum Mechanics requires that it be positive.

              There's also the fact that, even ignoring expansion energy (which must be created along with the new space to keep the expansion rate constant), you also increase the gravitational potential energy of the universe: insert a little extra space between Earth and the Sun and you push both slightly out of each o

      • I sort of agree with the above, up to a point.

        I have a very simple view of physics, which works well enough since I'm not involved in any of its messy internals. It goes like this:

        Physics is similar to Calvin Ball, in that you make up the rules as you go along. But unlike Calvin Ball, all but one of the rules is malleable; all but one rule can be changed at any time.

        The one absolute, unchangeable rule is that every other rule in physics has to allow every mechanism that any engineer successfully builds t

        • i like that

          i response with a quote from the great mystical philosopher donald rumsfeld (i'm joking... about him being great or a philosopher, the quote is real, and a good quote, to give him credit):

          There are known knowns; there are things we know we know.

          We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know.

          But there are also unknown unknowns – the ones we don't know we don't know.

          http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T... [wikipedia.org]

          the simple point is the big bang theory can

          • Thank you very much for the Donald Rumsfeld quote. I was trying to remember it the other day and while I had the sense of it right, I was not as succinct as Rumsfeld and my memory kept offering Oppenheimer as the author even though I was sure that wasn't right. So naturally Google was no help.

            Sometimes its better to not know something than to know it wrong...

      • even the big bang theory, commonly accepted, was formulated by a belgian priest: i

        And newton was practically a religious fundamentalist, Algebra was invented by a muslim cleric (Al-Gebra!) and so on.

        The reason we are fairly confident about the big bang is because we have [i]very strong evidence[/i] for it, namely the microwave radio background which more or less lets us *look at* the big bang, or at least its aftermath, and a whole slew of other observations, including the fact the universe seems to be red

    • To me it seems to be used to explain the unexplainable, much like the aether of former times.

      It's exactly what it is. To scientists, "dark energy" is a placeholder, a spot where they say "We don't know".

      In cosmology, the placeholder is pretty important in allowing them to continue working, and not just shrugging their shoulders and stopping.

      So just like aether and Phlogiston,(the best word ever invented) the placeholders are stepping stones. When we discover whatever it is, it probably won't be called dark matter, and "dark matter" the name will be placed in the cosmology dustbin along with the

      • It's exactly what it is. To scientists, "dark energy" is a placeholder, a spot where they say "We don't know".

        That description isn't really accurate, since dark matter and dark energy add important corrective factors to many models, and many scientists spend lots of time trying to model more things involving them... They thus are moch more formalized and manipulated than most " placeholders."

        In cosmology, the placeholder is pretty important in allowing them to continue working, and not just shrugging their shoulders and stopping.

        I agree to some extent....

        So just like aether and Phlogiston,(the best word ever invented) the placeholders are stepping stones. When we discover whatever it is, it probably won't be called dark matter, and "dark matter" the name will be placed in the cosmology dustbin along with the other old theories

        Yeah, this goes off the rails a bit. I'd hardly call things like aether and phlogiston "stepping stones" -- they may have been initially, but they became over theorized and explanatory elements in the

        • I'd hardly call things like aether and phlogiston "stepping stones" -- they may have been initially, but they became over theorized and explanatory elements in their own right, and they ultimately led to a lot of wasted theorizing and going down blind alleys looking for explanations for things that weren't perhaps even real problems.

          But that is what is happening with dark energy. It is being used as corrective factors to make other parts of physics work out, in much the same way that adding more epicycles was used by pre-Cupernicus astronomers to make the motions of the celestial bodies work out.

          The core problem here seems to be that the "laws" of thermodynamics are wrong. There is probably some reformulation of those that would make dark energy and dark matter disappear in the same way Cupernicus made all the epicycles disappear. Tha

          • There is probably some reformulation of those that would make dark energy and dark matter disappear in the same way Cupernicus made all the epicycles disappear.

            Random history of science note -- what you say about Copernicus is a myth and a complete misunderstanding of his theory, which basically required just as many epicycles as geocentric models at the time.

            Copernicus -- and Galileo later on -- insisted on circular orbits, which still required plenty of epicycles and didn't actually simplify the math as much as the myths claim.

            It was Kepler and his elliptical orbits (which Galileo rejected) that actually got rid of the need for epicycles permanently. Once o

        • It's exactly what it is. To scientists, "dark energy" is a placeholder, a spot where they say "We don't know".

          That description isn't really accurate, since dark matter and dark energy add important corrective factors to many models, and many scientists spend lots of time trying to model more things involving them... They thus are moch more formalized and manipulated than most " placeholders."

          I call that placeholders, something we don't quite know about that is used to make the theory fit. It isn't a problem, and it's how cosmology moves forward. Most of it fits, but there's this "little anomaly."

          So just like aether and Phlogiston,(the best word ever invented) the placeholders are stepping stones. When we discover whatever it is, it probably won't be called dark matter, and "dark matter" the name will be placed in the cosmology dustbin along with the other old theories

          Yeah, this goes off the rails a bit. I'd hardly call things like aether and phlogiston "stepping stones" -- they may have been initially, but they became over theorized and explanatory elements in their own right, and they ultimately led to a lot of wasted theorizing and going down blind alleys looking for explanations for things that weren't perhaps even real problems.

          You just described exactly what dark matter has become. Dark matter as a word has become something that isn't actually "matter" in the way we think about matter. It's something else, but it's dark matter. Is it dark? Is is matter? Does it matter? It's now a thing.

          The issue with "placeholders" is that they turn a set of unexplained observations into a THING -- they reify or hypostatize it.

          Which is exactly what has happened to da

          • I think you spent so much time looking for something to disagree with me about that you missed the point that we're darn close to exactly agreeing.

            I find your interpretation of my post odd given that I *explicitly* noted that "I agree with you to some extent." I do agree with a lot of what you said, and I wasn't really looking to disagree.

            That said, to me your term "stepping stones" implies a stepwise progression going in the right direction, as when one uses stepping stones to cross a creek or something -- that term usually indicates something that is used to progress toward a goal. My point is that these "placeholders" can also function as imped

        • by Livius ( 318358 )

          I'd hardly call things like aether and phlogiston "stepping stones" -- they may have been initially

          That would be the 'stepping' part in the definition of "stepping stones".

    • To me it seems to be used to explain the unexplainable, much like the aether of former times.

      The aether was a pretty reasonable postulation given the observations of the time.

      It got disproved. Dark energy might. Or might not.

      • by tnk1 ( 899206 )

        More specifically, we would be looking to disprove the *need* for a placeholder like Dark Matter or Dark Energy, and not the existence of any one possible candidate.

        All we have now are a bunch of requirements for "something" which will make observations match existing theories/models. Some have taken that need one step further and suggested some candidates which could fulfill the requirements for the "something".

        That said, no one has been able to strictly prove that the need for the required matter/energy

    • much like the aether

      ...and gravity, it is a model that fits our observations. [tufts.edu]

    • Re:Dark Energy (Score:5, Insightful)

      by thrich81 ( 1357561 ) on Sunday April 12, 2015 @11:26AM (#49457427)

      The neutrino was in the same state for a while -- a hypothesized, unobserved entity needed to make the equations balance. Now we have three different neutrinos plus their antiparticles.

    • by Livius ( 318358 )

      much like the aether of former times.

      It *is* the aether of former times, minus the materials sciences metaphors.

      Everyone agrees there's *something* in the 'vacuum' - why not call it aether?

    • Nope.

      Weak evidence necessarily leads to weak conclusions which are more likely to be wrong.

      In this field such weak conclusions are the *strongest* available and thus the ones most discussed.

      This is common and acceptable in the fields that are harder to study such as anthro, psycho and thero physico. Everybody who is credible in those fields understands this and probably finds it more exciting than a field with "less" to discover.

      Reporters on the other hand just report whatever shit they think is click bait
  • Imagine a planet with one nerd on it. Every second, the planet and the nerd individually double in size. Because of this, the nerd feels a downward pull because he's expanding downward toward the planet and the planet's expanding upward toward the nerd. This theory is yet unconfirmed; AFAIK it cannot be proved because we possibly live in that world.

    "Dark Energy" could just be a different way of thinking about gravity, much like the previous paragraph could be how our real universe works.

    • Ohh, the math on that is way over my head.
    • by TheCarp ( 96830 )

      I would think this case would be easy to distinguish from others. Basically if matter itself were expanding the way we often talk about space as, yes I could see this constant expansion pressure looking a lot like gravity but, anything on the surface that was expanding would also be moving further away from anything next to it, so if you built a structure, the walls of the structure would suffer increasing internal stress from the expansion AND its corners would be pulled away from eachother by the ground e

    • by Bengie ( 1121981 )
      Dark Energy is just the least crazy idea. One of those reasons is that assuming our standard candles are still valid, objects are moving away from us faster than light, which is impossible with currently accepted solid theory. The only way to get this to happen is to allow space itself to expand, which is where Dark Energy comes in. Expanding space takes energy, a very calculatable amount.

      If I had to choose between Dark Energy and expanding space or not expanding space and object moving through space fast
    • by PPH ( 736903 )

      If Dark Energy turns out to be a placeholder for a revision to the model for gravity, it could be explained by some smart physicist sitting in his office tweaking the model to fit observations.

      If Dark Energy is an acutal force, there may very well be a particle associated with it. And we can discover this particle given a large enough collider (and by implication the funds to build and operate it). If I were an physicist, I know which argument I'd support in order to ensure job security.

    • That the sun that planet orbits doesn't get closer and closer would be a pretty good indication that the "everthing is doubling in size" explanation for "gravity".

  • by ecotax ( 303198 ) on Sunday April 12, 2015 @09:33AM (#49456973)

    According to Ethan Siegel [medium.com], dark energy isn't written off, we just know a bit more about it.

  • by StupendousMan ( 69768 ) on Sunday April 12, 2015 @09:59AM (#49457069) Homepage

    The summary has a link to a paywalled article (silly Ethan). The full article is freely available to all on the arXiv preprint server:

          http://arxiv.org/abs/1408.1706 [arxiv.org]

    I'm peripherally involved with the supernova field, though I study only the nearby examples. There has been for years the understanding that IF a difference should arise between the nearby events that we can study well, and the distant events which appear dimly and vaguely, AND if we did not realize that such a difference existed, THEN we could reach incorrect conclusions.

    Scientists in the field have worried about this for years. It's not a sudden new realization.

    It's very pleasant to see that a space telescope -- SWIFT -- which was built to study one type of object (gamma ray bursts) has turned out to provide vital information on a different type (supernovae). Since it is in space, it can detect ultraviolet light, and so show us that some nearby supernovae emit different amounts of ultraviolet light, even though they appear similar in the optical region. This UV difference hints at differences in chemical composition between supernovae, which may indeed be significant when we try to study very distant events with other telescopes.

    Fortunately, light from those distant events is redshifted into the optical regime, so we can use very large ground-based telescopes to see the same UV light and compare it to the nearby events.

    It's a very interesting field to follow: things change on timescales of 3-5 years. And yes, we are more aware of the uncertainties in the business than some news articles might imply.

    • > There has been for years the understanding that IF a difference should arise between the nearby events that we can study well, and the distant events which appear dimly and vaguely, AND if we did not realize that such a difference existed, THEN we could reach incorrect conclusions.

      Thank you for being so clear. I hope that your colleagues appreciate the rigor of your thinking.

      I've actually become suspicious, as an educated layman, about the other underlying assumptions that may confuse our cosmological

  • by PaulMattSutter ( 3905379 ) on Sunday April 12, 2015 @10:01AM (#49457081) Homepage

    *If* this result holds up, it doesn't sink dark energy - it will only be a small correction to the measured value using this particular probe. We have multiple, independent measurements of the existence of dark energy, from the early-universe Cosmic Microwave Background, to the late-universe feature in the galaxy distribution called the Baryon Acoustic Oscillation. In fact, for quite a few years supernova haven't been the principle method of measuring dark energy, because we've suspected issues such as this.

    *If* this result hold up, and corrected measurements of dark energy from supernovae are in tension is all other measurements, then that will be interesting and require further study. However, despite having the confirmation of the existence of dark energy for several years, we haven't measured its exact properties very well yet. These corrections will probably shift things around inside known error bars.

    For all the aether-claimers: we don't know what dark energy is. We've observed an acceleration to the expansion of the universe and called it "dark energy". This is a name given to an observed phenomena. The Nobel Prize was awarded to the original supernovae groups because it has been *repeatedly, independently* verified, using completely different sets of cosmological probes. This is like observing and measuring the observational reality of gravity without having a theory to explain it, but that doesn't mean that gravity doesn't exist.

  • Maybe the Dark Side isn't winning.
  • Headline: Supernovae May Not Be Standard Candles; Is Dark Energy All Wrong?
    Summary: Does this mean dark energy may not be real, or that it may just be slightly weaker than we previously thought?
    Articles: It is slightly weaker than we previously thought. Not significantly though.

  • Dark matter aka matter that doesn't interact with other matter or most radiation and simply causes gravity is unlikely but plausible. Dark energy, energy that doesn't interact with matter but does interact with matter to accelerate it outward doesn't even make sense at a basic level. I thought expansion was based on the dopplar effect on wavelengths of light from all stars. Since when was it based on supernovae?

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