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Medicine Science

Continued Rise In Autism Diagnoses Puzzles Researchers, Galvanizes Advocates 558

sciencehabit (1205606) writes "The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has raised eyebrows, and concern among current and prospective parents, with a new report documenting that the rate of autism spectrum disorder diagnosis in the United States jumped 30% between 2008 and 2010, from one in 88 to one in 68 children. CDC officials don't know, however, whether the startling increase is due to skyrocketing rates of the disorder or more sensitive screening, or a combination of both."
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Continued Rise In Autism Diagnoses Puzzles Researchers, Galvanizes Advocates

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  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday March 31, 2014 @05:03AM (#46619211)

    'Nuff Said

  • really? really. (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday March 31, 2014 @05:09AM (#46619225)

    about a century and a half ago, nobody ever heard about autism.
    you wouldn't be diagnosed an autist, but simply made to stand in a corner of the class with a dunce cap a lot.
    i can picture the headlines.

    autism discovered!

    sudden surge in number of autists baffles scientists!

    as we get better at diagnosing conditions like this, naturally there will be a rise in the number of positive diagnoses.

  • by Rosco P. Coltrane ( 209368 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @05:09AM (#46619227)

    I suspect a lot of diagnoses concern borderline cases, that would previously not have been counted as verified autism - so before, people would be classified as "odd" or "geeky" but not as someone who carries a mental disability.

    The same thing happened with depression. In the old days, depression was virtually unheard of, aside from extreme cases of people constantly trying to take their own lives. Nowadays, everybody and their dog gets depressed at some point during the year, and prescribed medicine.

  • by korbulon ( 2792438 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @05:12AM (#46619233)

    Not saying that all or even most of the diagnoses of autism are false positives, but when you're living in a world where human communities are dwindling and become more insular - so there is less direct social engagement, extended families are spread across continents - so this core social unit is less dynamic and extensive, and people spend more and more time in front of screens - at work and at home, this sort of result is not overly surprising. Shit, when did the first iPhone come out? Mid 2007? Coincidence? iThink not.

    Increased screening sensitivity is probably playing a big factor as well: "Tommy seems rather introverted and shuns the company of others. He also throws a huge tantrum when we take away the tablet with the toons on it. Probably autism." I'm not saying this is due to negligent parenting, but when there is an obvious diagnosis that fits the symptoms, why look any further? Again, these are the marginal cases which are sufficiently prevalent to cause this spike.

  • by Two99Point80 ( 542678 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @05:33AM (#46619287) Homepage
    There is much, much more to the process of professional evaluation and diagnosis than what you describe. The process is a whole lot more rigorous than idle speculation.
  • by Buck Feta ( 3531099 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @06:01AM (#46619385)
    The question is simply answered: diagnoses are more prevalent because the drugs to treat those patients now exists. It is not mere coincidence that the FDA approved the use of Risperdal in late 2006, and its generic, Risperidone, in late 2008. There were more than a few doctors who have made more than a few dollars from prescribing tis medication. Johnson & Johnson has to pay a $2.2 billion dollar fine [digitaljournal.com] for illegally marketing this drug through the use of kickbacks to doctors and pharmacists. So don't tell me the pharmaceutical isn't dirtier than a whore's whose-its. Everyone relax. Autism rates will decline when these drugs get a bad enough name. Then, a more expensive drug will be produced to treat a more common malady, and everyone will freak the fuck out again.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday March 31, 2014 @06:12AM (#46619415)

    Why are people so quick to say vaccines are connected? Wait until some weirdo declares that soap causes autism, and see how the world behaves even after the claim is debunked times over. Just like with vaccines. Enjoy the smell of the (literally) unwashed masses then.

  • by korbulon ( 2792438 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @06:16AM (#46619421)

    It's not a theory, it's a wild conjecture. Where is your evidence for a rise in misdiagnosis?

    Oh, I don't know - maybe the fact that this study is based in the US, which has a track record of "over-diagnosing" mental health disorders in children, such as ADHD ( http://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/adhd... [cdc.gov], http://www.psychiatrictimes.co... [psychiatrictimes.com]).

    Fool me once, shame on ... shame on you. Fool me... You can't get fooled again!

  • Re:really? really. (Score:5, Insightful)

    by bickerdyke ( 670000 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @06:17AM (#46619425)

    Plus a number of parents that can't accept that their precious offspring simply may be plain stupid or lazy as any other kid.

    There HAS to be a reason and there HAS to be someone or something responsible for Li'l Joe standing in the corner with the dunce cap so often.

    And I guess that still leaves a bit of wiggle room for an actual increase of people ending up somewhere in the autistic spectrum.

  • by wonkey_monkey ( 2592601 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @06:29AM (#46619463) Homepage

    Maybe he's just sad that dogs get sad.

  • by Travis Mansbridge ( 830557 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @06:30AM (#46619471)
    One thing that is certain is that vaccines save the lives of hundreds of thousands of children every year. But by all means, forego them if you really don't want to "take the risk."
  • by DrXym ( 126579 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @07:21AM (#46619633)
    Why single out vaccination? Perhaps it's air pollution, or electro magnetic interference, or artificial light bulbs, or noise / vibration, or artificial fabrics, or radon gas, or a more sedentary lifestyle, or residual chemicals from dishwashing tablets, or the age that mothers get pregnant, or the stress of daily life on mother & child, or one of thousands of other things that might affect development of a child's brain in the womb or afterwards.

    Or maybe, just maybe it's a combination of factors, each bearing its own small risk and in conjunction increasing the rate. Or maybe it's simply better and more sensitive diagnoses of the condition.

    One thing is certain. The link between vaccination and autism has been extensively searched for and there isn't one.

  • by MrMickS ( 568778 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @07:33AM (#46619689) Homepage Journal

    The same thing happened with depression. In the old days, depression was virtually unheard of, aside from extreme cases of people constantly trying to take their own lives. Nowadays, everybody and their dog gets depressed at some point during the year, and prescribed medicine.

    How does this get modded as insightful? People feeling depressed and clinical depression are two very different things. Its easy to laugh off and make glib comments. It doesn't make them true though.

    When were these old days of which you speak? Winston Churchill, yes that one, suffered from depression which he called his "Black Dog". Greater access to healthcare, and better trained physicians, will always increased apparent incidence of mental conditions. Is it right that in previous times these people would suffer in silence?

  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday March 31, 2014 @07:42AM (#46619733)

    any fucking site that says' detoxify or anything related should ring alarm bells. it's fucking sham scams.

  • by DrXym ( 126579 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @07:43AM (#46619745)
    The scare over the MMR vaccine did serve one useful purpose - it mean scientists went to considerable trouble to establish if there was a link between that vaccine or any other and did not find one. And the journalist Brian Deer shone a spotlight on Andrew Wakefield's shoddy study, unethical practices, invasive procedures and his massive conflicts of interest and eventually he was struck off.

    Secondly, if there were a link, then we should expect to be able to observe it thanks to the activity of celebrity morons like Jenny McCarthy. If vaccination or the minute traces of an antimicrobial called thimerosal (a mercury compound) used in some vaccines were the cause of autism then surely it should observable in the rates of autism? After the scare, less people vaccinated and manufacturers removed thimerosal from childhood vaccines so there should have been an observable effect on autism rates. There wasn't.

  • Conflating (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Sockatume ( 732728 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @08:10AM (#46619861)

    Beware of conflating autism with autism spectrum disorders and asperger's syndrome. Classical, pre-2000s autism isn't a faddish behavioural disorder, it's the kind of debilitating condition that can require life-long professional care.

  • by erroneus ( 253617 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @08:19AM (#46619911) Homepage

    First of all, just going to say it again. The definition or classification "autism" is too broad. Different people under the classification have different ranges of impairment. It needs to be broken down. In one area, Asperger's, it once was and has since been blocked in with Autism Spectrum Disorder. Why? (perhaps part of the larger trend of tyring to label more people as "mentally incompetent" as a means of separating people from their rights?) I don't know.

    But instead of creating a broad classification and diagnosis, there needs to be increased study into variants and ranges of disability. Some people are just fine and are a bit awkward while others are completely incapable of taking care of themselves. It's inaccurate to simply put it all under that one umbrella and treat things under a "common core" and ultimately unhealthy to do so.

    But the complete and utter resistance to seeking out causes blows me away. If one in 68 children were missing limbs at birth, there would be an international outcry. But because the impairment isn't readily visible, people want to ignore it and especially many want to deny it even exists at all seeking to classify it as a "choice" or "behavior disorder." Those people seem to be incredibly selective of their understandings of the connections between the body and the mind. On one hand we all agree and understand that hormone and other chemical balances of the body and especially nutrition and the use of drugs have a profound effect on the mind. Yet at the same time, there is a set of people who want to believe something entirely different despite knowing what they surely already know. (We're magical spirit creatures inhabiting bodies... ignore the fact that taking chemicals can change how your spirit creature feels and acts. People seem immeasurably incapable of connecting the body and the mind.)

    Why aren't we investigating more? Why?!

    This problem definitely fits the definition of "epidemic" and yet somehow it doesn't warrant investigation and study? Is it because important business models will be threatened? I believe that will be of high likelihood. Some might think it's worse than that and I hope that's not it but there are documented and unclassified cases where out very own US government really and truly has done things to people -- horrible and terrible things. Sometimes it was intentionally and other times perhaps out of wilful ignorance. The question of intent is important, but we do have some basic facts we can at least point to:

    1. The rate is high and climbing still.
    2. The problem isn't being studied properly.

    That's enough for now. It needs to be proven or disproven. There's no need to go any deeper than that at this point.

  • by TeethWhitener ( 1625259 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @08:21AM (#46619925)
    Here's an exercise: count up how many of the posts above begin with "I'm not a mental health professional, but..." or "I don't have any scientific data to back this up, but..." followed by some theory about how autism is overdiagnosed/not real/etc. It's amazing how people will lambaste (rightfully) a woman--famous for showing her vagina and advertising electronic cigarettes--for claiming without evidence that vaccines cause autism, and yet turn around and promulgate some other ridiculous claim about autism, all while ignoring 1) the clinical evidence that exists, and 2) the interpretation of that evidence by those most qualified to interpret it. Pot, meet kettle.
  • by Theovon ( 109752 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @08:43AM (#46620061)

    Let’s see rising levels of mercury in fish, arsenic in rice, methylbromide in bread, adding fluoride [*] to drinking water ON PURPOSE, BPA in plastic food containers, volatile PBDE flame retardant in yout furniture, VCOs in your paint and building materials, trans fats. I can go on and on and on.

    Besides eating a diet excessively high in carbs and low in other nutrients, we’re poisoning the shit out of ourselves. And you’re surprised that some people aren’t handling it well?

    [*] Fluoridation is controvercial, the target of commie conspiracy theories, etc. In reality, it’s shown to have a substantial positive impact on tooth development in children, it’s dirt cheap, and kills many pathogens in water. However, it’s also strongly linked with lowered IQs and thyroid disease. It’s basically poison. If you’re smart, you’ll get a fluoride filter for your water and give your kids high doses of iodine instead, which has the same effect on teeth, the same disinfectant properties, and is an essential mineral.

  • by BlazingATrail ( 3112385 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @09:08AM (#46620243)
    Herd immunity starts to fail and those idiots that don't immunize start to affect those that can't be immunized such as pregnant women and babies. imo, you refuse to immunize you should be placed on No fly list, refused entry into school, government buildings etc. Treated like a leper, yes.. but you had the choice of a freely available cure.
  • by s0nicfreak ( 615390 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @09:12AM (#46620279) Journal
    Actually, the social and language use issues are gauged purely through in-person interaction; many Autistic people are adept at social interaction and language use via electronic means.

    There is a severely autistic girl who was thought to be completely incapable of social interaction and language use... until she went over to a computer and starting typing on it. Basically she was seen as severaly retarded based on in-person interaction, but with the use of electronics to communicate, she is now in gifted classes http://carlysvoice.com/home/ab... [carlysvoice.com]
  • by Pope ( 17780 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @09:23AM (#46620369)

    Have you ever considered that perhaps Autism is an evolution of humans, rather than a thing which will "fuck" us?

    LMAO, you don't know how evolution works, do you? What possible advantage could autism provide, when it renders most afflicted persons unsociable and awkward and therefore highly unlikely to pass on their genes?

  • by canadian_right ( 410687 ) <alexander.russell@telus.net> on Monday March 31, 2014 @10:05AM (#46620775) Homepage

    You've never actually met an autistic person have you? It is NOT an advantage in 99.99999% of cases, A few people with mild cases can live normal lives, but this is the exception. Most autistic people cannot live on their own and require close supervision 24x7. Most people, even saintly social workers, find it extremely unrewarding, frustrating, and generally unbearable working with autistic people.

    Autism is a horrible affliction.

  • by s0nicfreak ( 615390 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @11:00AM (#46621317) Journal

    Who buys the phone and installs the app?

    He does. Before he moves out he uses a computer his parents bought for him, to buy the phone. Or the parents give him the phone. He then pays for the food and rent via a work-from-home job that requires little/no human interaction. Maybe programming apps to help people like himself. Maybe he needs some help marketing them, maybe his parents or a sibling or someone he's never met does that part.
    Sure, he can't live on his own if he's just thrown out into the world right after he's born. But NO ONE CAN. EVERYONE has to be helped out and handed things by their parents and/or society to start out. But once the correct tools are given, they can live on their own. For some people, the right tools are as simple public schooling and directions to the employment office. Some people also need a wheelchair. Some people need different tools entirely.

  • by korbulon ( 2792438 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @11:21AM (#46621611)

    Since when did not knowing anything about a subject ever stop someone on Slashdot from having a strong opinion about it? Shit, if that were true, the comments sections would look like downtown Detroit.

    Autism is not ever diagnosed because a kid has tantrums or is nerdy etc. The professionals know what they are doing.

    Yeah, I'm going to take issue with this. I'm sorry about your daughter, but are you saying that professionals are somehow infallible, always getting it right? Come on!

    You're right, I have no real expertise in the matter; however, as an ignorant schlub this won't stop me from forming an educated guess about it; and in the light of this study I will conjecture that one of the following is happening:

    * Rates of autism have not changed in recent history, but the the diagnostic measures have - this may be due to improvement in methods, greater awareness in the mental health community, but possibly because - for whatever reason - doctors are more disposed to incorrectly diagnosing autism. It's not like this has never happened (http://www.ucdmc.ucdavis.edu/welcome/features/2013-2014/01/20140108_autism-22Q.html).

    * Rates of autism are indeed on the rise, though a direct mechanism has yet to be discovered. This would be alarming to say the least.

    I'm skeptical about the second case, because - Jenny McCarthy aside - no one has established a clear link connecting autism to anything. Most evidence points to problems arising during prenatal development (http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1307491), but as to what causes that, no one knows.

  • Re:really? really. (Score:5, Insightful)

    by ColdWetDog ( 752185 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @11:46AM (#46621893) Homepage

    You realize that 'normal' people invariably have symptoms or findings found in syndromes or diseases. The discovery of which prompts the 'second year medical student syndrome'. At least in the US, the second year of medical school is when you start studying the pathology of disease and learn about all of these funny named syndromes and problems. Invariably at least one or two resonates with the reader and they feel instantly afflicted. This prompts further study (which is good) and further worry (which isn't).

    What you described is pretty much everyone who doesn't go on to be a used car salesman or a politician. Figuring out the ins and outs of social contact is hard for most humans. People afflicted with autism / aspbergers are really hard stopped to the edge of human contact. Yes, at a molecular level, some of us who don't deal with the social graces as well as others probably have some similarities, but pretty much all of health and disease lies along a continuum, We often make fairly arbitrary distinctions because it helps pigeon hole things and humans like to do that... But it's not always representative of the issue.

  • by BVis ( 267028 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @12:29PM (#46622463)

    It couldnt be anything wrong with vaccinations. Someone important said it wasnt and of course Medicine knows what it is doing and has all the answers.

    Read the comments to find out how long it'd be before one of these people showed up.

    Science/medicine freely admits it doesn't have all the answers (at least that's the ideal). The only evidence that vaccines cause autism is one study [wikipedia.org] done in 1998 that was so horribly flawed that not only did The Lancet issue a full retraction in 2010, the doctor who led the group that authored the paper lost his medical license. The sample size was 12 children, nowhere near the size required to generate statistically significant results. In layman's terms, it was complete and utter bullshit promoted by someone who had undeclared conflicts of interest, and got drummed out of the medical profession for his actions. (Insanely enough, the paper itself never claimed a link between autism and the MMR vaccine, yet that's how the media/idiots took it.)

    Of course, you don't care about any of that. You want to blame something other than random chance for your child being autistic. There is no credible scientific evidence that you people will listen to or consider; you just toss it out as a giant conspiracy, because chemtrails or lizard people or something.

    Ask yourself what would make you abandon your belief that the MMR vaccine is linked to autism. If the answer is "nothing", you're a grade-A moronic zealot who has decided to believe in a simple answer instead of thinking. I am sorry your son is autistic. What's your excuse?

  • by lgw ( 121541 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @01:31PM (#46623069) Journal

    The important thing for people to understand about real, correctly diagnosed, psychiatric conditions it that they're physical in nature; they're due to chemical problems in the brain. You can no more overcome them with willpower than you can "walk off" a broken leg.

    For all we like to think of the mind as being software, the fact is that brain chemistry has deep and profound effects on how we think. Our ability to "steer" our thought processes, to focus or stop obsessing, to synthesize our conscious perception of the world around us from actual sense data and not from fiction, all that sort of thing requires specific neuron chemistry. If the raw materials aren't there, the brain goes off the rails in pretty extreme ways.

  • by BVis ( 267028 ) on Monday March 31, 2014 @02:52PM (#46623961)

    Interesting - you seem to be saying that the doctor lost his medical license (a pretty egregious penalty for a flawed study) because the media misinterpreted it. That seems pretty odd, but I don't really know the story, and far be it from me to be thrown in with the lizard people like you have done to the GP.

    That's not what I was saying at all. I was saying that the study was such junk that he lost his medical license. Had it merely been the media misinterpreting a paper, that would not have happened; if journals retracted every study that the media misinterpreted, there'd be no point in their continued existence.

    I wasn't tossing anyone in with the lizard people. I was using that as an example of a totally unsupported hysterical conspiracy theory.

    I don't think anything is being dismissed as not possible. I think things are being dismissed because there isn't a shred of credible evidence to support them. There is no credible evidence that vaccines/food supplies/whatever cause autism. (You could say that there's no credible evidence that they DON'T cause autism, but then you'd be an idiot, as you can't prove a negative.)

    an anomalous rise in autism has nothing to do with the lifestyle they promote.

    It's far more likely that there isn't any more autism than there used to be, it's just more diagnosed now than it had been in the past.

    We know that the standard bureaucratic processes often fail the public from stories like Lorenzo's oil, the Dallas Buyer's Club, and we are just starting to recognize that the people warning about wheat gluten may not be crackpots after all.

    And when there are double-blind, peer-reviewed studies that stand up to scrutiny on those matters, then talk to me. Until then, the plural of anecdote is still not data.

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