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Busting the MythBusters' Yawn Experiment 397

markmcb writes "Most everyone knows and loves the MythBusters, two guys who attempt to set the story straight on things people just take for granted. Well, maybe everyone except Brandon Hansen, who has offered them a taste of their own medicine as he busts the MythBusters' improper use of statistics in their experiment to determine whether yawning is contagious. While the article maintains that the contagion of yawns is still a possibility, Hansen is clearly giving the MythBusters no credit for proving such a claim, 'not with a correlation coefficient of .045835.'"
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Busting the MythBusters' Yawn Experiment

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  • Well... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Dyeane ( 1011019 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @09:24PM (#18848461)
    If they find out, they may very well make an announcement on the show. Wouldn't be the first time.
  • by evwah ( 954864 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @09:27PM (#18848489)
    it always seems to me that their conclusions are specious. I can't think of any specific episodes right now but they over simplify the data, build elaborate setups that are prone to error, and use inadequate controls.

    not to mention that they always try to prove stupid crap like "a rolling stone gathers no moss". I'm waiting for them to try "the grass is always greener on the other side", or "it takes one to know one".
  • Precision? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Bill Walker ( 835082 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @09:29PM (#18848509)
    I dunno, the fact that he's willing to state the correlation coefficient so precisely makes me leary of his own statistical expertise.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 23, 2007 @09:32PM (#18848531)
    I'm often surprised at how many people take the MythBusters seriously. Their show is entertaining, but it's important to realize that neither Jamie nor Adam really have a scientific or engineering background. To think that they could "bust" a "myth" with any degree of certainty is laughable. But every so often I hear somebody use MythBusters as a reference, even intelligent people with at least some scientific background, like medical doctors and geologists.

    I'm all for watching their show for its entertainment value. But that's about it. I'd feel like a vagine if I were to use one of their "experiments" to back up my claims.

  • Science (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Turn-X Alphonse ( 789240 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @09:33PM (#18848543) Journal
    Science and entertainment do not play well together, it is mostly true because science requires real thought and watching TV basicly does not. If you attempt to put real science on TV today you will watch the other 6.9 million TV stations each gain 1 more viewer while you get a dust bowl rolling through. Maybe it's time we started to realize what the mass public want are crappy reality shows, cooking and some bullshit made to look information but that is infact 75% CGI or "docudrama".

    The above is why I wouldn't trust Mythbusters as far as I could throw them. The entire show screams entertainment rather than Science. Unfortunaely I can't find the name of a program that aired in the UK about 6 months ago. It took a team of 4 people to a deserted island and each week they had a task to complete each, they were only allowed to use what was on the island and what was given to them each week (as well as a tool set because, well no tools = screwed). They had to do things like make fireworks, record a song and various other "minor" things which required them to render down various things to achieve the chemicals they needed to complete each task. What they did and what it resulted in was very clearly labeled, having real science explained behind it.

    Saddly as I recall it basicly got replaced with some crappy school based soap opera where the kids say "innit" and the teachers fuck anything with two legs (including the kids as the current trailer at least implies). So after this long rant, I guess we just give up on science and go back to the discoery channel, maybe we can catch the 3 minutes of it that isn't Nazis or some form of sport!
  • by vertigoCiel ( 1070374 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @09:35PM (#18848563)
    In prime time television, Blowing Shit Up > Conducting Scientifically Sound experiments. That said, I love the show. My favorite is when they put an air-powered ejection seat inconspicuously into a normal car. And it worked!
  • Re:Well... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by nocomment ( 239368 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @09:39PM (#18848597) Homepage Journal
    I still wouldn't care if they did. I just like to watch them blow shit up. I'm not a fan of the show because of thorough statistical analysis.

  • by paiute ( 550198 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @09:47PM (#18848661)
    You do not report five significant figures derived from data with only two.
  • by maxume ( 22995 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @09:48PM (#18848667)
    If AC on full is better than windows down at low speed, AC on half is quite likely to be better than windows down at higher speed. It's a reasonable first test for a television show. It would have been nice if they tried it in a couple of different models though.
  • by maxume ( 22995 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @09:58PM (#18848735)
    They occasionally do stuff worth pointing at; they spend big piles of money on stupid shit, and often demonstrate that 'simple' approaches are worthless for doing this or that.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 23, 2007 @10:06PM (#18848805)
    My favourite example of the bogus statistics on Mythbusters was the buttered toast drop experiment. They dropped 10 slices of toast testing the 'dropper' and 7 of them landed 'T' side up (slice was unbuttered 'neutral' slice with a T in texta written on it). Their comment on this result of 7 out of 10? "It's not random enough" In order for it to be truly random for them, it had to be 5 out of 10.
  • by alshithead ( 981606 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @10:06PM (#18848809)
    They also tested tailgate up or down on a pickup truck for mpg. Up won and they fully explained why. I also really enjoyed the show that included bullets being shot into a pool including a big .50 cal. with the idea of being submerged could save your life if you're being shot at. I don't think you can completely pan them for a couple of specious results when overall their show is REALLY cool.
  • references (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 23, 2007 @10:17PM (#18848891)
    I like his references, too..

    reference 5 is an episode that won't air for 2 days (maybe he's from the future!)

    references 7 and 8 are forum posts (ref. 8 has just 2 replies)

    two references are news stories..

    these do not suggest a thorough exploration of the matter, but he cites them as if they are authoritative sources
  • Re:Well... (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Reaperducer ( 871695 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @10:23PM (#18848941)
    While the MythBusters is entertaining, it's not exactly science. It's closer to tabloid junk science. Rarely are there control groups for most of their "experiments," and there are many other transgressions.

    Sure, it's popular on /. because things go up in flames, but I think the show is giving a kids a bad idea of what science is. Won't they be disappointed when they get to college and have to follow strict scientific procedures instead of watching things to boom.
  • Re:Well... (Score:4, Insightful)

    by Overly Critical Guy ( 663429 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @10:29PM (#18849007)
    Hey, they're teaching kids to go out and prove things for themselves rather than believe them off the bat, and that's never a bad thing.
  • by Thexare Blademoon ( 1010891 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @10:55PM (#18849233)
    If you dislike people who post on Slashdot so much, does that mean you hate yourself?
  • by EmbeddedJanitor ( 597831 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @11:14PM (#18849403)
    Anyone who watches Mythbusters for scientific reasons should maybe start watching Startrek instead. This is all entrtainment, it has nothing to do with scientific accuracy.

  • Oy (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Billosaur ( 927319 ) * <wgrother@oELIOTptonline.net minus poet> on Monday April 23, 2007 @11:16PM (#18849413) Journal

    Look, to spare everyone the continued arguing over which statistical test to use at what probability level and the lack of proper control groups, let me say that MythBusters has never claimed to be a science show like Mr. Wizard. The guys are special effects designers for crying out loud! They are good at what they do, and while their scientific methodology and statistics may be a bit wonky at times, there are some experiments I've seen in peer-reviewed journals that aren't much better. Science education in the United States gets worse all the time, and if these guys can inject some life and curiosity into the current generation to get them interested in science, I applaud the effort.

  • by drewski3420 ( 969623 ) on Monday April 23, 2007 @11:34PM (#18849573)
    Er, aren't significant figures supposed to tell you to what degree a measurement is accurate?

    I mean, since there can't be any fractions of a person, if we know there are 50 people, we know that there are 50.0, 50.00, 50.000000000000 people, right?

    It doesn't seem like sig-figs is applicable here.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 23, 2007 @11:44PM (#18849675)
    Significant figures are overrated. For starters, they are based on two assumptions:
    • All measurements involved were consciously recorded with complete regard to the accuracy of the measuring device
    • The accuracy of the measuring device was actually known
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 23, 2007 @11:52PM (#18849769)
    A lot of the myths they investigate involve many complex variables. There's too many factors involved to accurately calculate "scientifically", and actually performing the test is far more conclusive.

    Sure some of the tests can't be done properly without unrealistically large amounts of effort and or money, but they do pretty damned good with what they've got most of the time. The episode where they defeated a bunch of security devices was pretty interesting. And the myth that someone can shatter a wine glass with their voice? They had a guy do it on TV, are you going to claim the results were worthless and didn't proving anything?

    I just laugh every time some know-it-all slashdotter comes here with their nose in the air looking down on the show thinking that it makes them look so much more knowledgable.
  • Re:Well... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by nametaken ( 610866 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @12:13AM (#18849977)
    I always laugh a little when people feel clever pointing out little problems with MB episodes. Anyone who thinks they're meant to be rigorous experiments is missing the whole point of the show. Mythbusters is like a YouTube series with a fun cast and a budget... and I love it that way. As Kari and Grant said on tour recently, they're often figuring this stuff out as they go... learning cool stuff as they shoot.

    Besides, I think most of us already know that the best ways to test most myths would be so boring it would never make TV in the first place.

  • Re:Well... (Score:1, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @12:25AM (#18850099)
    Exactly they are not scientists they are movie special effects guys. Still they do certainly try their best to get it right (as long as it makes good TV)and as has been shown with several of their episodes where they revisit past myths they are willing to admit when they are wrong.
  • Re:Well... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by cyphercell ( 843398 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @12:28AM (#18850133) Homepage Journal

    Mythbusters is no different than Bill Nye, Mr. Wizard or who ever the hell came first. They use the same basic methods for all of their problems. There are some differences though:

    1. Budget (much higher, but it doesn't always meet the problem at hand)
    2. Problems (completely open ended)
    3. Math (same level as most jr. high - high school science, however, sometimes severely short for the issue at hand - see 2)
    4. End result is not known. (again see 2)
    5. Time (they have time constraints - see 1-4)

    When I was ten I know I'd much rather watch two guys drive two semis into a small economy car rather than watch Mr. Wizard mix baking soda and vinegar again and again. Mythbusters rocks, because it is exactly what the 10+ set is capable of and it also shows them the constraints of their knowledge because the Mythbusters actually do discredit themselves on the show, you'll hear them say things like "I think you're way off base with your method" or "I'm really happy with the results" and if you hear that from the old guy in the beret it's usually because it was an effective (or ineffective as the case may be) low-level experiment. It's a simple formula:

    1. Find a problem.
    2. Conduct an experiment.
    3. Measure the results (for better or worse)!
    4. Blow something up!!
    5. Profit!!!

    Now I'm not saying that all of their experiments are 100% right for all levels of science, I'm just suggesting that they are about as good as you get with pre-algebra to algebra level math. And that isn't that bad, after all that's where we get things like the lever, steam engine, plumbing, and a lot of other cool crap (like higher math). I remember building a trebuchet for a lower level physics class (10*?), they mostly sucked but we did the algebra (Newtonian mechanics) some of us got A's, most of us didn't, but when we were done we had learned a little (by trial and error) about trajectories and conflicting forces, not to mention recording our results. It wasn't in vain, it was a nice precursor for things to come. Between Mythbusters and American Idol I'd easily rather have my kids watch Mythbusters even if they're wrong 80% of the time.

    I'm not apologizing for the Mythbusters in the least.

  • by SilentChris ( 452960 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @12:38AM (#18850229) Homepage
    I've been reading through the comments and I'm fairly alarmed by how many people think Mythbusters isn't worthwhile based solely on scientific merit.

    Look, the show never said it was teaching people about science. Adam and Jaime themselves have said many times they're more entertainment than science. They're special effects people by trade, not scientists. They build things and blow shit up. It's what they enjoy doing. You can even see it on Jaime's face when they're doing myths that don't involve blowing things up (e.g. Adam building a wind tunnel for the penny drop myth).

    When the show first started, there wasn't even mention of science. They looked at urban legends such as rocket car and getting airborne in a lawnchair. The show was about the stories themselves, not the methods. Only in about season 2 or so did they start including things like "controls" and "variables" (probably by Discovery's request), but they never lost sight of the fact that they're a TV show, and television (by and large) is meant to entertain.

    But that leads to an interesting question: even if they DID follow proper scientific method, how do you even apply that to some of the myths they examine? For example, they did a myth where a hillbilly chased a raccoon into a sewer pipe, decided to throw gas down it, attempted to fill the thing with fire to kill the raccoon and was purportedly "shot out". How on earth do you test that scientifically? Nowhere in the myth does it says how big the pipe was, how much gasoline was used, etc. Nowhere does it mention if he was stuck (which is important, as they found the man could only be shot out of he was wrapped in a sabot). All they have is a fun story to go off of.

    If nothing else, Mythbusters gets people interested in the process of examining life, not teaching how to use proper scientific method. If their only accomplishment is making people critically question things that are usually taken at face value, they'll have succeeded in my mind.
  • You're forgetting that we can assume the maximum possible measurement based on the scale included with the measuring device. Sig figs takes into account a wealth of information about the difficulty of reading a scale after it runs out of marks.

    You're making the assumption that either we cannot measure anything to the precision guarenteed by a scale, or that we can measure past the precision guarenteed by a scale. In either case you'd be wrong. In the former case, you'd even be suggesting that measurement is useless.

    Also, if you're in a laboratory setting collecting data for a scholarly work, you'd better damn well be collecting data to the maximum precision allowable by your instrument. What would be the point of the science if you didn't go as far as you could in obtaining a precise measurement?

    Calling it a myth is pushing it.
  • by brunes69 ( 86786 ) <slashdot.keirstead@org> on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @06:54AM (#18852559)
    It doesn't matter what the MPG of the cars were as long as it's the exact same car and year for comparison.

    What was stupid is how small their sample was - they were planing on driving a whole tank off but then said that would take too long so they sucked it down to a gallon in each car or something. Which I don't think is a fair test; how do you know if the AC performs better as it runs longer or something?

    Also it'd dumb that they had the AC running full blast as that's not a realistic scenario - once the cabin got cool enough people would turn the temp to a more normal level and the compressor would kick off more often making it even better.

  • by Jussi K. Kojootti ( 646145 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @07:45AM (#18852837)

    Water does not stop bullets no matter how you slice the Method.
    You keep saying that. Do intend to imply that the Mythbusters episode is faked? It pretty clearly shows that some bullets at some velocities seem to have serious problems going through the surface...

    Speaking of that: You seem to have some misunderstanding of their conclusions: They specifically stated that high-velocity weapons seemed to have problems penetrating the surface, not that 3 feet of water will keep you safe from any gun.

    Their testing seemed pretty good to me (not exactly scientific, but enough to warrant the claim "supersonic bullets in general do not seem to be effective after a few feet in water"), and you have so far provided zero evidence to the contrary. Come on, why just say "there are other arguments as well" -- if you know about some evidence, please link to it and don't just weasel out...

  • by frietbsd ( 943773 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @07:52AM (#18852901)
    My problem with this kind of entertainment is that it pretends to be science. Discovery channel profiles itself as a scientific TV channel, but then mostly puts out shows on building cars/motorbikes. The mythbusters supposed to be the science component of this channel. Don't get me wrong, it is a nice show to watch. But to have these two as representatives of the science community? Statistics are amidst the most abused science subject. It doesn't surprise me that mythbusters would abuse it as well. Apparently some of the crowd here don't care so much about truthfinding. But i think it is rather annoying when they are mangling up science. Basicly, their science is not that superior to the science they are trying to bust. I would like discovery to drop the everest climbing, bike building programs, and put in some science.
  • Re:Well... (Score:2, Insightful)

    by finarfinjge ( 612748 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @08:28AM (#18853213)
    I'm guessing you don't have children in the age range of 8 to 14 years old. For them this show is great. Particularly that (majority) group that normally hates all things math and science. With respect to your second last statement, I think An Inconvenient Truth presents bad pseudo science as science too. And that show certainly never tried to give the impression that it was only entertainment. Finally, most scientific theories I am familiar with require that they be true every time. If one can show the theory fails once, you have proven it inconsistent. So, nothing wrong with generalising from one instance. To DISPROVE, one only needs one instance. It is only in proof that one must be universal.

    Cheers

    JE
  • Re:Well... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by shadwstalkr ( 111149 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @08:36AM (#18853285) Homepage
    Maybe we should be teaching kids how to do science in school instead of letting the Discovery channel do it. Mythbusters can inspire kids to be passionate about science, and I think that's about all we can expect from a TV show.
  • by davewalden ( 1028118 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @09:03AM (#18853589)
    Anyone with half a brain knows that statistics can be twisted to say what you want.
  • by SQLGuru ( 980662 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @09:13AM (#18853729) Homepage Journal
    64.7% of all statistics are made up on the fly.....

    Layne
  • Re:Well... (Score:3, Insightful)

    by dosquatch ( 924618 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @09:49AM (#18854263) Journal

    It's only a good thing if they're first taught how to think critically and how to prove things. Too much of people "going out and proving things for themselves" involves three steps;
    <trim>

    It all depends on what your question is. "Do things always fall down?" is quite a different question than "Why do things always fall down?" Describing the nature of gravity is an entirely different field than describing its effects. There is a lot more math and laboratory rigor in designing and proving cold fusion than there is in launching a car off of a large mound of dirt to see if it would still be drivable*. There is also a lot less of the process that would make for compelling television. The drive, though, the desire for understanding, is not so different between the two.

    * And, I dare say, as special effects artists, the Mythbusters are probably uniquely qualified to speak with authority on the viability of ballistic automobiles.

  • Re:Well... (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Skater ( 41976 ) on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @10:59AM (#18855277) Homepage Journal
    I just wish they wouldn't use "CAUTION! SCIENCE CONTENT!" like it's torture to have to talk about science. That and their occasional butchering of statistics are the only things I don't like about the show.
  • by RyuuzakiTetsuya ( 195424 ) <taikiNO@SPAMcox.net> on Tuesday April 24, 2007 @12:05PM (#18856331)
    Yeah, but they document their methods pretty well, what with a camera crew following them around. Except in cases where they could reveal something like the formula to build volatile chemicals. Which is understandable.

    Isn't the real crux of science documentation and repeatability? I mean, if someone comes by examines their methods, and finds out that they did it wrong and can show it, isn't that proof that they're acting in the spirit of science?

Waste not, get your budget cut next year.

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