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Space United States Science

NASA Urged to Reconsider Shuttle Mission to HST 199

LMCBoy writes "Space.com reports today that the National Academies of Science has released its recommendation to NASA on the future of the Hubble Space Telescope. They conclude that 'NASA should take no actions that would preclude a space shuttle servicing mission to the Hubble Space Telescope.' They also say that none of the safety requirements of the CAIB report preclude a manned servicing mission to HST." Read on for more.

"The NAS recommendation would reverse NASA's previous position that a shuttle repair mission is ruled out for safety reasons. In the wake of strong criticisms of this decision, NASA has also been considering a robotic repair mission. The robotic mission would not risk human lives, but it relies on a number of bleeding-edge technologies that would have to be deployed on a very short timescale. HST's remaining gyroscopes are not expected to last beyond 2007."

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NASA Urged to Reconsider Shuttle Mission to HST

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  • Show me the money... (Score:5, Informative)

    by LostCluster ( 625375 ) * on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @02:17AM (#9694348)
    Safety concerns was the offical reason why they didn't want to service the Hubble, but this report most clearly is saying that's bunk.

    But what about the finacial concerns? I don't think NASA has the funding to allocate to a Hubble Repair mission... could the safety claims just have been a smokescreen to cover when the real reason was because they can't get the funding to do this?
  • Re:Shame (Score:3, Informative)

    by LMCBoy ( 185365 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @02:47AM (#9694462) Homepage Journal
    ahem [bbc.co.uk]. Well, one hundred anyway. In one fell swoop.
  • by xmas2003 ( 739875 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @02:52AM (#9694482) Homepage
    To be more exact, according to the NASA Hubble site [nasa.gov], it cost $1.5 Billion to build and put it up into orbit, and has an annual operating budget (including data analysis, etc.) of $230-250 million.

    And Hubble's second servicing mission [nasa.gov] cost $347 million plus another $448 million for the Shuttle flight - I believe that is in 1996 dollars.

    So as a taxpayer, for all that dough, how 'bout some new satellite pictures [komar.org] of my house! ;-)

  • by wass ( 72082 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @03:01AM (#9694518)
    I don't think NASA has the funding to allocate to a Hubble Repair mission

    Not really. NASA does have the money (assuming it's funding isn't further cut). But NASA administrator O'Keefe re-arranged the NASA priorities after Bush's claim for a Mars mission. The safety issue further added into this, but wasn't entirely a smokescreen.

    This is troubling because Bush appointed O'Keefe directly, and O'Keefe reports (or is supposed to, at least) back to Bush. More annoyingly is that O'Keefe single-handedly made the decision to cut the funding for Hubble Servicing Mission 4. He probably had advice from some panel or other, but in his email he stated the decision to cut or not to cut would be his alone.

    Luckily enough scientists and politicians acted out to fight O'Keefe's initial decision. Personally, I don't know if he decided to cut it just because of the Mars announcement or not, I think he just doesn't want any more astronaut deaths or serious accidents to occur under his watch. However, I think it's a shame to let NASA's scientific progress stagnate strictly due to safety issues.

    On the side note, the whole Mars thing seems bunk, when was the last time anybody even heard any other information about it? Maybe there'll be some more talk about Mars (talk is cheap) until November elections.

  • Re:Why NASA bugs me (Score:5, Informative)

    by el-spectre ( 668104 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @03:02AM (#9694521) Journal
    Whoa... since when are most scientists convinced that life likely came from Mars?

    It's possible, sure. Even proven that the planets have swapped rocks many times, but "most scientists" ?

    Personally, I'd find it quite spiffy if it turns out that life came from space originally... makes the mystery much more interesting.

  • by wass ( 72082 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @03:19AM (#9694567)
    Note - it's not NASA per se, but NASA administrators and bureaucrats that are leading this way. Most of the scientists and research staff actually support those science/research missions.

    On the flip side, some glitz and glamour is also needed to keep the public interested, which interests politicians and helps them direct more money at NASA. Remember, NASA has to convince the government that it needs to be funded. The sexy projects have public appeal, and have more influence in this regard.

    That's why nearly all NASA press-release packages have photos instead of spectral plots, even though astronomers probably use spectra more often than photos for most research. Photos are pretty and sexy, spectra look like boring stock-market plots.

    But anyway, luckily enough scientists are influencing some of the politicians as well to keep Hubble funded (and other good projects too). That's part of the breaks of being government funded - you have to be useful as well as interesting.

  • Re:uh.... (Score:4, Informative)

    by mbrother ( 739193 ) <mbrother.uwyo@edu> on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @03:20AM (#9694572) Homepage
    No, StealthX20, we DON'T have ground-based telescopes that can do the things that Hubble can do. The no brainer is the ultraviolet, which cannot pass through Earth's atmosphere. There are more tasks, that depend on high-spatial resolution, that some ground-based telescopes can approach, but not match, at least not in all respects. The astronomical community would like to keep Hubble operating until its replacement is launched, but without a servicing mission that is unlikely, and hundreds of millions of dollars have already been spent on new instruments to increase Hubble's capacity. That money will be wasted.
  • Re:Why NASA bugs me (Score:2, Informative)

    by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @03:28AM (#9694598)
    Here is one relevant link: Life on Earth could have come from a Mars rock [space.com] Also check out NASA's Astrobiology Institute [nasa.gov]. Parent may have overstated the concensus on this issue, but he/she was certainly not incorrect that such theories are believed by quite a few people.
  • by kyknos.org ( 643709 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @03:31AM (#9694609) Homepage
    Hubble is not only NASA project. It is ESA/NASA cooperation project.
  • by gilroy ( 155262 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @03:48AM (#9694664) Homepage Journal
    Blockquoth the poster:

    OOOOOHHHHH... A whole 8 years of inflation... That could be 1/100th of 1% more in todays dollars...

    OK, I'm a child of the late 1970s, so I hear you when you scoff at recent rates of inflation. But according to the inflation calculator [inflationdata.com], something that cost $1 in 1996 would cost about $1.21 right now. That's not really negligible.
  • Re:Shame (Score:5, Informative)

    by hcdejong ( 561314 ) <hobbes@nOspam.xmsnet.nl> on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @04:30AM (#9694792)
    I suspect Hubble's CCD's can't really be compared to the ones in a digital camera.
    From that same page: "They can see objects that are 1,000 million times fainter than the naked eye can see. "
    For one thing, Hubble's cameras are cooled (can't find their temperature, but IIRC it's far below zero) to reduce noise. Also, the CCD design is bound to be different. This [mailbag.com] gives an idea of what's involved.
  • by amightywind ( 691887 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @08:26AM (#9695486) Journal

    What a shame it would be to spend all that money putting Hubble up there and then not servicing it because of budget cuts. That would be like spending $20,000 on a new car and then deciding a few years later that you can't afford to take it in for an oil change. It's already up there, they might as well service it.

    Hubble is in the 14th year of a 10 year mission. The decision to service hubble is no different than deciding to put a new engine in an old car with 200,000 miles, with the added twist that there is a 1 in 50 chance that a 7 person crew would die doing it. The reason NASA O'Keefe has decided not to service Hubble with the shuttle is that it is judged to be unsafe given the Columbia review board's recommendations. Namely, the shuttle should have access to the safe haven of the ISS if it is to keep flying. This story adds nothing new to the debate. Hubble's replacement is on the way. Perhaps its leisurely schedule of the James Webb Telescope can be accelerated.

  • by Phelan ( 30485 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @09:28AM (#9695977)
    Well you know
    56,000 miles is pretty impressive, but 160k miles it is not. So the Shuttle still has a couple of magnitudes advantage over our x-prize favorites.
  • Re:Shame (Score:3, Informative)

    by eriko ( 35554 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @09:46AM (#9696158) Homepage
    And the WFPC2 was installed in 1993, and was built about 1991. How many kilopixles did your digital camera have back then.

    The Advanced Camera for Surveys, built between 1996 and 1999, was installed in 2000. It has a 4096x4096 pixel detector.

    Where was your 16 megapixel camera in 1999?

    The replacement for the WFPC2, the Wide Field Camera 3 (WFC), will also have a 4096x4096 detector, along with a 10Mpix IR detector. Both of these sensors are of much higher quality than a consumer CCD.
  • by Cujo ( 19106 ) * on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @10:09AM (#9696415) Homepage Journal

    For that sort of observatory, schedule is not a top priority. Nor was it for Hubble. Performance is so critical (and so difficult), that it's ready when it's ready - you just hope you can keep a lid on costs.

  • by J05H ( 5625 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @10:31AM (#9696612)
    Yes, but the Hubble upgrades are like taking that 128k Macintosh and putting in a water-cooled dual G5 and a new LCD display. The newer cameras on Hubble, the WFPC3 and the NICMOS (i think), have proven worlds better than their predecessor instruments, literally. Hubble wasn't meant to be upgraded like that, but the engineers have figured out how to do it anyway. Think of the Hubble as a platform, not a single instrument.

    Ideally, I would like to see several Hubble clones in solar orbit - capable of acting individually or as a very-long baseline interferometer.

    Josh
  • by LMCBoy ( 185365 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @10:32AM (#9696617) Homepage Journal
    The risk to Hubble on a manned mission is fairly low. The risk to Hubble by entrusting it to an untested and today uninvented and yet-to-be-engineered robot is very high.

    I agree with your general thread (that a manned repair mission is preferable because it has a higher probability of success), but to be fair, the robot is not yet-to-be-engineered. It exists, and it works. It was built by the Canadarm guys. It was meant to go up to ISS for remote work outside thespace station, but the HST guys kind of stole it from Greenbelt and moved it down to Cape Canaveral...
  • by gilroy ( 155262 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @10:37AM (#9696675) Homepage Journal
    Blockquoth the poster:

    Of course, the cost of space missions hasn't gone down like computer hardware did, but still one wonders if a better and more advanced space telescope couldn't be built at the same price a maintenance mission to Hubble would cost.

    Since most of the expense is in the launch -- and that would be comparable for a new satellite -- the answer is No. But more importantly, there is a replacement for the Hubble in the pipeline (the James Webb [nasa.gov] Telescope) but it is not scheduled for launch until 2011. Given the precariousness of NASA's launch capability, politicals will, and funding, one has to regard that as a soft date.

    Meanwhile, if they don't service Hubble, it will have to be de-orbited. (Note that even just deorbiting the thing will cost about $300 million [space.com], which is around 60% of the cost of the proposed service mission -- not counting any hypothetical replacement.) Unserviced, Hubble will fail in 2007 or 2008. That leaves at least 3 years where there will not be an orbiting telescope with the breadth and coverage afforded by Hubble.

    (What's three years? Well, for one thing, we might miss a supernova in the Milky Way. They should happen around once a century but none have been seen in the Milky Way since 1600 or so. It would be almost criminal to have such an event happen during a window when we couldn't observe it from orbit. We could have to wait another few centuries for the next chance.)
  • by PierceLabs ( 549351 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @11:05AM (#9696946)
    The James Web telescope is not a replacement for Hubble. They both don't have the same capabilities, lenses, or spectrum view. While JWT will be able to see further and fainter objects, it spectrum variety is smaller.
  • Re:Funding (lack of) (Score:3, Informative)

    by SB9876 ( 723368 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @11:50AM (#9697394)
    The problem, though is that there is very little research that is being done or can be done on the ISS. Currently, about 5% of the astronaut time is devoted to science. Take a look at the ISS science web page (you'll have to dig, it's buried - I think NASA is embarassed to show it) sometime, it's pathetic. One of the 'science' experiments is having the astronauts take digital camera pictures of the Earth through the windows, I kid you not.

    The NSF did a study of the ISS a few years back and concluded that the station was utterly useless for science. Most of the things NASA claimed ISS would do can be done better on the ground and the rest were impossible because of the limitations in the station design. Since then, the ISS science capability has decreased even more.

    Long duration human studies are nice but we already have lots of data from Mir for that. While newer studies are nice, it hadly seems worth the exorbitant price tag required to get that data.
  • by Kiryat Malachi ( 177258 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @11:59AM (#9697484) Journal
    Both of those would be very impressive, but I suspect you meant to say 100km and 600km.

    Anyway. Sub orbital is a lot easier than orbital flight, is the real answer.
  • by bruce_garrett ( 657963 ) on Wednesday July 14, 2004 @12:44PM (#9697957) Homepage
    Hubble is in the wrong place - it is inoperable for half the time, since the earth blocks its view as it orbits...

    Huh? There is an hourglass shaped segment of the universe that Hubble can observe all the time, and careful scheduling can take care of a portion of the rest (it's that dance between the plane of hubble's orbit around the earth, and the plane of earth's orbit around the sun). This is not just a problem with Hubble, but with any space based telescope (until we can manage to put something into interstellar space anyway...). Even in a Lagrange point there will be times when some parts of the universe just won't be observable, when the sun, moon, or earth are in the way.

    There is scheduling software that, factors all the orbital mechanics, and insures Hubble's time is as well used as it can possibly be. Not a moment of its time is wasted if it can be humanly avoided. Not only is its time expensive, it is intensely sought after by astronomers.

Solutions are obvious if one only has the optical power to observe them over the horizon. -- K.A. Arsdall

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