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Space Science

SpaceShipOne Flight Completed Successfully 998

knothead99 writes "CNN is reporting the successful liftoff of SpaceShipOne from a runway in the Mojave desert. Around 10:30 EDT the craft will reach an altitude of 50,000 feet and they'll separate from White Knight and ignite the rocket for space entry. More information can also be found at the Mojave Airport website" Update: 06/21 15:36 GMT by S : An MSNBC story confirms that SpaceShipOne 'glided safely back to Earth, landing back at the Mojave Airport' around 8.15AM PST.
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SpaceShipOne Flight Completed Successfully

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  • Question (Score:5, Insightful)

    by PrvtBurrito ( 557287 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @11:31AM (#9484669)
    So they made it. Congrats. Now how high would they have to go to enter orbit?
  • Re:Question (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Paulrothrock ( 685079 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @11:35AM (#9484724) Homepage Journal
    38 miles higher, and 18,000 mph downrange velocity. Roughly. Baby steps, man, baby steps.

    Best part, Rutan has admitted that SS1 is scalable, meaning it could become an orbital launch vehicle. Sweet.

  • Awesome (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Primotech ( 731340 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @11:37AM (#9484752) Homepage
    I cannot describe how truly happy I am to hear this news. It's a major accomplishment that many don't fully understand the significance of. This just about made my week.
  • This is a great day for man. I firmly believe that our future lies in some day getting off this Earth and spreading throughout space. As such, the accomplishment we have witnessed today was great. This heralds a new era of spaceflight, not one in which governments spend billions, but one in which small companies pay millions, to get into orbit. At this rate, in ten years, commercial space flight might be a reality - and space exploitation (and as a side-effect, human colonization of space) would occur. See any number of novels by Stephen Baxter for more details.
  • by Trogdorsey ( 739381 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @11:37AM (#9484767)
    This is great publicity for the X-Prize and what they are trying to accomplish. Just about every news site is covering this flight. CNN and FOXNews have it on their main page.
  • Re:Question (Score:5, Insightful)

    by AKAImBatman ( 238306 ) <akaimbatman@gmaYEATSil.com minus poet> on Monday June 21, 2004 @11:39AM (#9484790) Homepage Journal
    Yes, but couldn't they just go higher and fall into orbit?

    Attaining orbit is not a matter of height. It's a matter of going so fast that you continuously miss the Earth. The only reason why a space craft has to fly so high is that the thick atmosphere will slow it down.

  • ...commercial, for-profit ventures going into space, the sooner it will become accessible to the common man. Just not in any of our lifetimes.
  • clarification? (Score:2, Insightful)

    by ed.han ( 444783 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @11:39AM (#9484805) Journal
    isn't this dependent upon which type of orbit one wishes to establish?

    ed
  • Re:blow by blow (Score:5, Insightful)

    by RobertB-DC ( 622190 ) * on Monday June 21, 2004 @11:45AM (#9484888) Homepage Journal
    My favorite update [spaceflightnow.com] so far is this one:

    1250 GMT (8:50 a.m. EDT)

    The International Space Station will be flying high above Mojave at approximately the time SpaceShipOne is scheduled to launch. The Expedition 9 resident crew will attempt to photograph the launch and contrail.


    The ISS crew, likely to be remembered as caretakers of NASA's failed scheme, will be witness to the future of space exploration. Poetic, isn't it?

    It also occurs to me that if something bad happens to the Russian space program, the ISS crew may have to wait for Rutan's future orbital project, if they hope to get home at all...
  • Re:Question (Score:4, Insightful)

    by 0123456 ( 636235 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @11:47AM (#9484914)
    "it's not a matter of height, it's a matter of speed."

    It's both: you won't stay in orbit long at 100km, there's too much drag when you're travelling at 7+ km/s.
  • Re:Question (Score:4, Insightful)

    by JabberWokky ( 19442 ) <slashdot.com@timewarp.org> on Monday June 21, 2004 @11:54AM (#9485001) Homepage Journal
    Considering he has a reputation for breaking aeronautical records, and now aerospace records, it's plausable. I'd seen loads of pictures, but I never realized how *small* Spaceship One is... roughly (very roughly) comparable to the large white passenger van parked near the two ships during the taxi to the runway. This is certainly his "proof of concept", possibly simply aimed at getting investors toward a much more practical (read: Profit!!!) craft.

    If NASA has been putting out steam rail engines, this is the first car, a precursor to the Model T of space. When the design is a couple iterations down the line, it will be ready for mass production.

    Freeways in the sky and weekend jaunts to the Moon are a matter of time, technology and will. The simple act of just *showing* that it can be done provides the critical and hard to get last part of that triad.

    --
    Evan

  • Re:I never thought (Score:2, Insightful)

    by petepac ( 194110 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @11:54AM (#9485002)
    I'm 53 and saw the start of the space race in the begining of the Sixties. When those missions started, we stopped everything at my school to watch them. I hope the schools follow this just as as mush as they did back then.

  • Re:Question (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Xilman ( 191715 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:00PM (#9485068) Homepage Journal
    Couldn't you orbit the earth at any altitude greater than the highest peak? Say 29,029 feet?

    Sure you can. You can orbit below that altitude too, as long as you choose an orbit which never intersects anything too hard. A near equatorial orbit lets you go round at a height just a bit higher than Kilimanjaro (you gotta have a safety margin, after all).

    The big problem is that the air is rather thick down there. This has two consequences. First the drag means you slow down so fast that you either hit something pretty hard pretty quickly unless your engines are working hard enough to counteract the drag. Second, the drag dissipates so much energy in such a small volume that it gets pretty damned hot very close to your vehicle. The shuttle was much higher when it burned up, and travelling significantly slower than orbital speed at 10km to boot.

    Paul

  • by Banner ( 17158 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:02PM (#9485084) Journal
    Remember, these are the people who said Columbia was traveling at 25 times the speed of light when it disintegrated.

    Again, Mach speed changes as a function of altitude! Mach is dependent on airpressure, the speed of sound changes with it.

    And CNN does not seem to employ anyone who understands science in the least.
  • Re:Question (Score:2, Insightful)

    by robbymet ( 732292 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:08PM (#9485151)
    It's actually a combination of speed and height, kinetic and potential energy - you can trade the two against each other. The Space Shuttle has everyone caught up in this idea that the vehicle itself has to make it to LEO, but why? If LEO is the target because that's the orbit you want for your satellite, then you only have to worry about getting the small weight (relative to the launch vehicle) of the satellite up to LEO.
    If you can carry a rocket up to the edge of space with a craft like SpaceShipOne, and launch it from there, it's a lot easier to get your satellite up to LEO. There's no reason to accelerate the whole plane up to that altitude/velocity! By taking advantage of this, the reusable part of the launch vehicle doesn't experience ridiculous temperatures on re-entry like the Shuttle and the vehicle has a significantly higher chance of repeated survival.

    I'm proud of Scaled! I've worked on designs like this and I didn't think the primes/politicians would ever let something like this be built! Good luck with Tier Two!
  • Hurray! (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Fjornir ( 516960 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:10PM (#9485168)
    Hope Eyrie

    Worlds grow old and suns grow cold
    And death we never can doubt.
    Time's cold wind, wailing down the past,
    Reminds us that all flesh is grass
    And history's lamps blow out.

    But the Eagle has landed; tell your children when.
    Time won't drive us down to dust again.
    Cycles turn while the far stars burn,
    And people and planets age.
    Life's crown passes to younger lands,
    Time brushes dust of hope from his hands
    And turns another page.

    But the Eagle has landed; tell your children when.
    Time won't drive us down to dust again.
    But we who feel the weight of the wheel
    When winter falls over our world
    Can hope for tomorrow and raise our eyes
    To a silver moon in the opened skies
    And a single flag unfurled.

    But the Eagle has landed; tell your children when.
    Time won't drive us down to dust again.
    We know well what Life can tell:
    If you would not perish, then grow.
    And today our fragile flesh and steel
    Have laid our hands on a vaster wheel
    With all of the stars to know

    That the Eagle has landed; tell your children when.
    Time won't drive us down to dust again.
    From all who tried out of history's tide,
    Salute for the team that won.
    And the old Earth smiles at her children's reach,
    The wave that carried us up the beach
    To reach for the shining sun.

    For the Eagle has landed; tell your children when.
    Time won't drive us down to dust again.

    (c) 1975 Leslie Fish
  • Re:I never thought (Score:2, Insightful)

    by dAzED1 ( 33635 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:17PM (#9485238) Journal
    are you taking into consideration that "HORIZONTAL velocities" are easier to acheieve than vertical? Yes, he went straight up, then right back down. If he had gone straight up, leveled off, and applied the same amount of thrust...he'd have started going much faster. Also note that at that distance the getting-faster part is much easier to accomplish (less atmosphere and gravity to fight against, and all). Note that he even used enviro-friendl[y|ier] fuel....

    ALSO note that per the article itself, they said they're hoping on doing the *same flight* commercially within 10-15 years "affordably." I can freaking guarrantee you that my father in law, for example, would sell the shelby he has in his garage that he babies, and remortgage his house, even if it meant only 3 minutes of weightlessness - just to have broken the Space Barrier. Do NOT underestimate the lingering determination of the original Trekkies. It is NOT hype that this is big.

    If you compare the computing power of 20, or even just 10, years ago with that of today - its an amazing difference. If there are semi-regular trips to the space barrier on a commercial level, we will learn a TREMENDOUS amount. As humans (esp us Americans), we learn far more by doing than we do by theorizing. Just as we have chips in computers now that break theories of 20 years ago as far as what would be possible, the actual commoditization...of sorts...of space travel will also make it cheaper, faster, better, etc blah.

  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:19PM (#9485260)
    Note to editors: It's not like you didn't have advance notice of this. It's not like this isn't a huge story. SpacesShipOne successfully lifted off over an hour before this previewed on the front page. Step lively!

    Looks like you're getting sucked into the "get the scoop" game. That's one of those artificial games the news media have created to increase profits: Make people think that getting all news a split-second before anyone else is Very Important, then sell more by doing that.

    In reality, scoops are good for some news: when they affect stock prices in a surprising way, when there is imminent danger to the public, etc. But most news, like this one, doesn't affect you adversely if it's delivered some time after it occurs.

    If you're really into getting the scoop, you can visit major news media where most stories are pre-written for that reason. Here at Slashdot, we're pretty relaxed about such things. We like our news late, duped, with lots of typos and inaccuracies. But then, Slashdot is not really about "news" (the title is very much tongue-in-cheek), it's about the comments, moderation and trolls.

    -hadohk
  • by EvilStein ( 414640 ) <spamNO@SPAMpbp.net> on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:25PM (#9485338)
    We have people that can't manage to get across town without getting into an accident.

    Can you imagine soccer mom's private spacecraft, with her using one hand to hold the cell phone and the other to beat the kids? :P

    We still need to get aircraft to stop running into fixed objects.. and each other! :)
  • Re:nothing (Score:1, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:26PM (#9485341)
    oh, you lose ... so badly.
  • Re:Question (Score:3, Insightful)

    by tony_gardner ( 533494 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:26PM (#9485351) Homepage
    And you can calculate the extra energy that spaceshipone would have to expend to get to that orbit, as opposed to an altitude of 100km with no sidewards movement. It's 62 times the energy. So LEO is still a few stepa away.
  • Re:Question (Score:3, Insightful)

    by EvilTwinSkippy ( 112490 ) <yoda AT etoyoc DOT com> on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:28PM (#9485372) Homepage Journal
    The re-entry problem is pretty easy: a spray on heat shield that evaporates off during re-entry. It's cheap. It's reasonably light weight. It's a proven design.

    Spacecraft before the space shuttle used that to great effect. The space shuttle has more or less become a prime example of how NOT to do it. The ceramic shields were expensive, brittle, and (as it seems) prone to failure at the worst possible time.

    I think they were trying too too hard on the space shuttle to make it re-usable. Certainly the avionics computers and the seats were prime candidates to be re-used between flights. But I think if they had to do it again they'd make the engines and the heat shields disposable. Those two systems were responsible for more groundings, failures, and overall expense than anything else.

  • Re:I never thought (Score:1, Insightful)

    by maxpublic ( 450413 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:35PM (#9485465) Homepage
    I thought that the world was too caught up in war and and greed

    Greed is a good thing. Without greed there would be no SpaceShip One. Ponder that a second before you go off on some socialist rant about greed.

    And if it still doesn't sink in, remember that it was an AMERICAN company motivated by GREED that pulled off this historic achievement. Not some SOCIALIST collective giving lip-service to 'the common good'.

    Max
  • by NoNeeeed ( 157503 ) * <slash&paulleader,co,uk> on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:38PM (#9485504)
    Lots of people have been asking about how SC can take SS-1 and turn it into something that can get people into LEO and beyond.

    One option is that perhaps they won't, and they will go back to the drawing board to come up with a totally new design. That doesn't seem right to me; Bert is a smart guy, and they have put a lot of resources and time into this, would they just throw it away.

    My thought is that they will scale things up and add another stage.

    In essence, what Burt has done is design a rocket where each stage is designed to suite it's part of the flight, and then return in one piece. At the moment they have a stage to get high in the atmosphere, and a stage to get into space, why not add a new stage to get you to LEO and beyond.

    If WK and SS-1 (SS-2?) were scaled up, is there any reason why a third stage couldn't piggy-back on SS-1 to 100km and then detach and boost into LEO. Both the previous stages would then land and wait for the return of the orbiter. Each would have it's own crew (or perhaps a really good auto-pilot).

    Basically you end up with the advantages of a multi-stage rocket (or the shuttle) but with completely reusable stages.

    Have I completely missed something? Would the seperation at 100km be too difficult? Would there be too much mass for it to be feasible?

    Paul

    p.s. Well done to everyone at Scaled. An amazing achievement, no matter what the "but I want a pony!" crowd might say. This has been one small step in the right direction, on a long journey.
  • by maxpublic ( 450413 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:38PM (#9485512) Homepage
    orbital flight becomes a much thornier problem that almost certainly won't be solved in a decade.

    Funny, just a couple of years back quite a few self-proclaimed pundits said the exact same thing about privately-funded ventures trying to do just what SpaceShip One accomplished today...along with a few officials at NASA, as well.

    Looks like they didn't have a clue what they were talking about, either.

    Max
  • by squarooticus ( 5092 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:44PM (#9485592) Homepage
    Because, of course, the government's 3% failure rate is much better than private industry could achieve.
  • by hey ( 83763 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:45PM (#9485605) Journal
    Pretty soon Coke or Nike will charter a flight to erect some dumb ad in space. What a great day!
  • Re:Question (Score:2, Insightful)

    by seafortn ( 543689 ) <reidkr@nOSpAm.yahoo.com> on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:46PM (#9485616)
    More Sorries:

    While your point #2 may be correct, #1 is (to quote you) "simply incorrect" - what physical explanation can you give to justify it? The poster is correct - "escape velocity" is just the velocity required for an object to escape Earth's gravitational field (in actuality, probably to arrive at a point where Earth's gravitational field is counterbalanced by other influences).

    There is no physical reason that a spacecraft (given an engine which can generate the required thrust) could NOT leave Earth at any velocity - from .1 m/s to 3X10^8-1 m/s - instead of criticising the parent poster, why don't you stop and think about what you're writing, or did you stop learning physics at the college freshman level?

    (disclaimer - if someone with a physics or aeronautical engineering degree beyond my B.S. can correct me, I welcome a better understanding of classical mechanics)
  • by Paul Bristow ( 118584 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:58PM (#9485773) Homepage
    Get the f*** out of the way. Let private enterprise take us into space. You are slowing down the human race.
  • by bburdette ( 556965 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:59PM (#9485787)
    If SpaceShipOne is Tier One, then will there be a Tier Two? If you can get to the edge of space by piggybacking a rocket on a jet aircraft, what about having another, smaller rocket on board to accelerate to orbital or escape velocity? So Tier 'Zero' gets you to 50000 feet (jet aircraft), Tier One gets you to the edge of space, and Tier Two goes on to orbit. That way you don't have to accelerate all of your Tier One stage to orbital velocity, only the orbiter. That means that you don't have to worry about making a SpaceShipOne that can withstand reentry or accelerate to mach 25 in space; just build it large enough to carry something that can.
  • Re:Predictions? (Score:1, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday June 21, 2004 @12:59PM (#9485790)
    How about this for REALISTIC predictions?

    10 years: A couple companies are pursuing spaceflight, spending billions. Cost of sending up vehicles are much higher than the cost of a ticket.

    20 years: No commercial spaceflights currently underway, except occasional flights into low-orbit. Investors, disgusted with the lack of any tangible financial reward, have pulled out completely. Realization that only a government with no expectation of profit has the financial resources to escape Earth's orbit. NASAs return to the Moon is delayed due to enormous budget deficits and a hundred million retired baby boomers who want their social security checks.

    50 years: Global shortages of hydrocarbons haved led to widespread war and increased defense spending, with the net result that all space exploration not related to military supremacy (i.e. military satellites) has been cancelled.
  • lift technology (Score:2, Insightful)

    by daraf ( 739813 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:03PM (#9485833)
    It'll be interesting to see the implications of this and future private spaceflight from a national security point of view. Spacelift technology is remarkably similar to that of intercontinental ballistic missiles. Many existing lift vehicles, such as the Titan [fas.org] and Delta [fas.org] family, have their roots in modified ICBMs.
  • by bpetal ( 267446 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:07PM (#9485864)
    I like the way it's reported here [aljazeera.net]!

    Once the rocket's fuel was spent, SpaceShipOne kept going up for about three minutes to reach 104km, a height at which it lost speed like a spent bullet.

    haha! "like a spent bullet"... Only the Arab world would use such an analogy so freely. :)
  • by feargal ( 99776 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:08PM (#9485876) Homepage
    He seems to 'crave' publicity with his projects.

    Of all the X-Prize competitors, Scaled Composites have been the most media-shy. He receives lots of publicity for his projects because they are pretty, innovative, and successful.

    Also I heard on Cnn interview of Rutan that he didn't develop this rocket with the X prize in mind.

    They have spent more than double the prize money developing Tier One. They'd have to be pretty stupid to be in it just to win the X-Prize. While it would be nice to recoup $10m by winning the prize, they will continue their developement whether they win or not. (Mass fatalities excluded.)

    Just another contest bought out by the richest guy.

    Yes. That was the point. Encourage the private sector to invest in commercial space travel by rewarding the smart investor with $10m.

    Really. I'm sure you can find out more on CNN.
  • by 0123456 ( 636235 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:12PM (#9485905)
    'Nevertheless, I can't see the justification for this kind of thing while people starve right here on Earth.'

    I take it that you donate every single penny of your disposable income to those starving people, rather than waste it on frivolous uses like internet access, beer and vacations?

    No, didn't think so.
  • by phr1 ( 211689 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:18PM (#9485985)
    I mean, the guy flew a plane real real high. It went up, it came back down almost immediately. Others have done that too, maybe not quite as high. Yeah, it's a milestone in the sense of a box on a list that one can check off. But what's the immediate practical consequence? Not much.

    Spaceflight gets interesting when you can actually put stuff into orbit. So that once it goes up, it stays up without using more fuel. That means you have to get the rocket flying at close to Mach 25. Then once you've gotten up to Mach 25, if you want to land again, you've got to slow back down to zero, which means getting rid of a heck of a lot of kinetic energy. That's why the Space Shuttle needs those notorious problematic thermal tiles, to dissipate the ferocious amount of heat created by that slowdown. Think your car's brakes get hot driving down a mountain? Try it from orbit.

    SpaceShip One's propaganda made it sound like they'd beaten NASA by developing better reentry technology that didn't need thermal tiles. In reality, they didn't need thermal tiles because they never reached anywhere near orbital speed, so they didn't have all that heat to dissipate. If they ever build an orbital craft, they'll have to deal with reentry heat just like everyone else has.

    SpaceShip One is about as close to that as the Wright Brothers flyer is to a jet airliner. The amount of technical development (and expenditure) needed to get a reusable vehicle in orbit makes what's been done so far look pretty trivial. Space Ship One got about as far into space as the Redstone rockets of the 1950's.

    I don't mean to belittle the accomplishment but it shouldn't be overestimated either. It's a step, an important step, but a baby step, there are a lot more to go.

  • Re:Early shutdown? (Score:3, Insightful)

    by YU Nicks NE Way ( 129084 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:23PM (#9486041)
    No -- it's good engineering. If you know that something can fail in ordinary usage, you drive it to collapse during testing to determine whether you can recover, and, if so, how to do that. It's like randomly triggering out of memory situations in your code -- no, you don't ever want to run out of memory, but it's always possible that you will. Best to find out what's going to happen when you're testing instead of when you're live.
  • by MrBlackBand ( 715820 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:27PM (#9486088)
    My life has been affected by explorers that came to this country (USA), and by those who have gone into space. Both war/killing and exploration provide an idiology for rustling up resources to get a common goal accomplished, but I kinda prefer the latter.

    You do realize, I hope, that the European explorers who came to the "New World" did more than their fair share of killing?

    Kurt Vonnegut said it best in "Breakfast of Champions":

    "For example, teachers of children in the United States of America wrote this date on the blackboard again and again, and asked the children to memorize it with pride and joy:

    1492

    The teachers told the children that this was when the continent was discovered by human beings. Actually, millions of human beings were already living full and imaginative lives on the continent in 1492. That was simply the year in which sea pirates began to cheat and rob and kill them."

  • by cOdEgUru ( 181536 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:44PM (#9486250) Homepage Journal
    If we forget this moment..

    What a tragedy it will be, to squander what we have achieved today.

    What a tragedy it will be for all of us to destroy earth with out ever setting foot on another planet in the name of space exploration.

    What a tragedy it will be for us to wither away and die, our gaze constant at the dwindling light in the horizon, watching all that we could have discovered and knowing all that we missed.

    What a tragedy it will be for our sons and daughters who look upon us to set an example, who look upon us to lead and instead find us fighting in the name of God

    What a tragedy that other civilizations, alien to ours, will oneday reflect upon what we were capable of, but miserably failed.
  • by pw1972 ( 686596 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:46PM (#9486269)
    If we followed that socialist attitude, technology and everything that has prospered from it would be back in the stone age. Unfortunately socialism fails because of the 2nd law of thermodynamics! Everything tends towards the lowest state of energy. So if we were in a socialist economy, we'd be doing the bare minimum to get by and nothing more. There would be no incentive to work harder and laziness would ensue.
  • Re:Chase planes? (Score:1, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:56PM (#9486358)
    Correct, they look for damage, plus do visual inspections of flight control surfaces, landing gear etc. They can also do checklist runs with the test pilot when the shit hits the fan (it can be a little distracting to the test pilot when his "baby" is on fire and falling apart). They also circle the smoking hole should something go terribly wrong, so the "recovery" team knows where to go. Plus, they provide a second pair of eyes for the debrief when things go to shit. But, in the end, mostly they take really cool photos, and provide moral support for the poor bastard who is tied to the controlled explosion!
  • by Mordaximus ( 566304 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @01:58PM (#9486368)
    "IMO the most historic event since 9/11."

    I share your sentiment about the success of the flight, but I'm puzzled by the comparison. There have been many historic events, both in the US and abroad, that are at least in the same topic from which to draw comparison...

    How about STS-107 - more recent, very historic. And although it was tragic, at least in the end good has come of it.

    Or how about all of the Mars exploration? Or mankinds unified and rekindled interest in space? All more recent, more relevant and equally as historic. Not to mention, more positive!
  • Re:Predictions? (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Auton ( 783109 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @02:44PM (#9486874)
    From 1927 (Lindbergh's first flight across the Atlantic) to 1937, air transportation developed from tiny cottage industries to a major niche, including regular transatlantic service. I would say regular orbital flights by 2014 is not impossible. In fact, I think it'll happen sooner.

    Cars took all of 15 years to gain widespread popularity. Henry Ford would tell you that. The Ford T appeared in 1908, some 12 years after the very first real cars appeared (1896). It was a cultural phenomenon by 1910. Similarly, aircraft, the first controllable type appearing in 1903, were in use for a whole slew of purposes by 1920 - not the least of which having been as weapons in WWI.

    Mars has a value as, at least, a forward base for mining the asteroid belt. A single asteroid can contain enough paladium, platinum, silver and gold to make the entire return trip worthwhile several times over. Also, there will be a market for off-world colonization, just as there was a market for transatlantic colonization (an area most US-located readers should be familiar with), for much the same reasons.

    As to Mars, I think living inside a bubble is far better than you make it out to be. Mars has pressure, which reduces the need for bulky space suits to move about, and allows aircraft, gravity which allows vehicles to move effectively around, and most importantly: Lots of room. It apparently has water, also, if you're willing to work for it A geodesic dome can be built almost arbitrarily big, also, allowing for breathable atmosphere covering a whole city, as well as a controlled climate. Terraforming (for which the ideas are already appearing; so much for 500 years...) is not by a long stretch a necessity for comfortable habitation on another world.

    I think the prospects for the future are far better than the naysayers would have them be. Looking back at previous pioneering works, I'd say this one will likely follow a similar pattern. That makes this century a very interesting one to live in.
  • by Einer2 ( 665985 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @02:48PM (#9486940)
    ...

    At this point, I think it's pretty safe to assume that anybody who reads Slashdot knows at least the basic history of the Apollo program. As such, there's really no reason for anyone to continually add footnotes about it, and so it's equally safe to assume anyone who harps on the lack of said footnotes is only doing so to try to score cheap debate points.

    Also, I disagree with the assumption that future orbital flights will be substantially cheaper just because launches with Spaceship One were cheaper. No major space program has ever had a reason to compete in this niche (manned reuseable suborbital vehicles), so the field was still wide open for someone to come in with a good idea. By contrast, there have been a lot of people exploring options for cheap reuseable orbital flight with no results, so someone coming into the field from private industry will need either an equal investment of sweat equity or an extremely unconventional bright idea that all the experts would have missed.

  • by Arcturax ( 454188 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @03:30PM (#9487487)
    He proved it could be done. No matter what becomes of Space Ship One, this is a crowning achievement and could pave the way for further advancement.

    Any research like this is well worth doing, even if the end benefits are not immediate.
  • by michajoe ( 124916 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @03:40PM (#9487648)
    Something i don't understand about a quote from Rutan:
    and how pleased I am that we have a ship that cannot only go to space but it is the first time that a winged-vehicle -- that can make this beautiful landing on a runway -- can make a care-free reentry. That is an enormous thing for safety
    What's with the care-free reentry? I would think that the level care-free-ness is directly proportional to one's speed and angle. I'm sure once you get to orbit and have the required speed to actually stay in orbit for a while, your reentry will lose a whole lot of that "care-free" thing. No?
  • by Einer2 ( 665985 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @04:41PM (#9488410)
    It's a bit harder to accelerate to 17000 MPH than to 3000 MPH (the peak velocity of Spaceship One, according to CNN). You also have to liberally coat the thing with heat insulation, though I could probably be convinced that they're solving that problem with new composite materials.

    Of course, it'd be nice if someone actually demonstrated that these composites existed. All I ask is for one chemist who works in that general field to give a rough estimate of the percentage weight savings we're likely to see with new materials over, say, the Space Shuttle's insulation system.

    Oh, and the reason I invoked decade is because the parent post specifically said "in ten years", not from any particular knowledge or assumed knowledge on my part. I'm just trying to get across to people, with limited success, that orbital spaceflight is hard and all the suborbital teams don't appear to have even started dealing with the issues that make it hard.

  • by vanyel ( 28049 ) * on Monday June 21, 2004 @05:42PM (#9489038) Journal
    What's this bit in the CNN page about?
    On landing, Melvill told of a loud bang he heard during the flight. He said it appeared to have been part of the composite airframe buckling near the rocket nozzle. However, the slight indention in SpaceShipOne's exterior did not appear to have jeopardized the craft's performance.
    It may not have affected this flight, but it sounds like it came close to doing so, and should certainly impact the ability to do a quick repeat, I would think!
  • X Prize (Score:2, Insightful)

    by bondjamesbond ( 99019 ) on Monday June 21, 2004 @06:02PM (#9489211) Journal
    Just give Scaled the X Prize and get it over with. If those other companies try this, they'll probably have loss of life and ruin the spirit of the whole, wonderful thing that Scaled is doing.

"Ninety percent of baseball is half mental." -- Yogi Berra

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