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Space

NASA Considers Privatizing Space Shuttles 307

panopticon was among the many who submitted a BBC story talking about NASA considering privatizing the space shuttles as a cost saving measure since those pesky shuttles cost $400M every time we throw one up into orbit. The article really doesn't say much beyond that.
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NASA Considers Privatizing Space Shuttles

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  • Privatize them! (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Debillitatus ( 532722 ) <devillel2&hotmail,com> on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @11:56AM (#2532807) Journal
    Why not? The Russians sent up that guy (Tito?) and had a massive infusion of capital into their space program. The Russians, of course, need money more than Americans, but everyone can use it.

    This is a good move in the right direction. As soon as someone works out a business plan that allows them to make a profit off of flying to the moon, Mars, etc., there will be all kinds of stuff in space. And this will of course drive costs down, just through volume and through increased R&D budgets. if this all goes according to plan, maybe one day there will be a permanent Lunar settlement with regular shuttles. This would be sweet...

  • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @11:59AM (#2532823)
    Seriously, it will force NASA to reexamine the priorities of its missions, and only send up the most important experiments. NASA will be stronger as a result.

    Innovation is a byproduct of scarcity. Think about it.

    --
    Spaz!
  • by sharkticon ( 312992 ) on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @12:00PM (#2532830)

    How did it ever get to the point where one of our greatest and proudest institutions needs to privitize one of their greatest resources in order to keep going? Americans everywhere should be ashamed at this rape of our space program, once the envy of the world.

    No other country in the world comes close to the US in terms of economic might, and yet it is near-third-world nations like China that are now expanding their space programs as we are selling off ours. Hell, they're even talking about putting men on the moon, something we did once and then got bored with. As a nation we have the attention span of a four year-old child, and about as much forward-thinking. We'd much rather forget about the future (and everything else) and concentrate on our televisions and big honking SUVs, despite the fact that our initial lead in the space race could have been leveraged into an unassailable one.

    No, this is just another symptom of the long, slow decline of the US into a narcissistic corporate paradise as the rest of the world forges on ahead of us into the future. It seems the only people here with any kind of enthusiasm are the ones that want to control your lives; everyone would rather let them get on with and have removed the intolerable burden of decision making.

  • by LaNMaN2000 ( 173615 ) on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @12:08PM (#2532866) Homepage
    Not only will privitization of shuttle launch and maintenance help reduce costs for NASA (and give them more money to devote to other projects and the completion of the ISS), but it will be one more step towards the commercialization of space. Now, any company will be able to purchase space on the shuttle for satellites or even human cargo :-).

    Remember how many people (including many /.ers) were critical of the government's desire to open the Internet to commerce; now, few would argue that we have all benefitted from that decision. The barrier to entry (or exit, in this case!) is so high, for space flight, that an independent company would never be able to develop the type of technology that NASA has developed for the shuttle; it simply would not be ecnomically feasible for them to pour so much money into R&D. By giving them the ability to resell NASA technology in exchange for lowering the cost of shuttle launches, the government will be entering an arrangement that is mutually beneficial and could help form an industry.

    My only requirement for the company given the contract is that it have its headquarters in the U.S., because of security concerns and a respect for our national pride.
  • by Debillitatus ( 532722 ) <devillel2&hotmail,com> on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @12:11PM (#2532889) Journal
    How did it ever get to the point where one of our greatest and proudest institutions needs to privitize one of their greatest resources in order to keep going? Americans everywhere should be ashamed at this rape of our space program, once the envy of the world.

    You talk about this as if it were a horrible thing. What exactly is the problem here? It seems to me that the main reason to have the government involved in the space race in the first place is that it was such a big enterprise that it was completely out of the scope of any type of private investor. Now that the technology has progressed to a certain point, it becomes cheap enough for a corporation to get into the game.

    Two analogies: First, the simpler case of space travel, simply putting stuff into orbit. Think about it: as recently as 1957 (?), we were completely and totally amazed that the Russians could put something the size of a soccer ball into orbit for a couple of revolutions. Now, every little broadcasting company can put an intricate satellitein orbit which does any number of things. Unless you're claiming that the fact that we have private satellite communications is bad, this change to privatization of satellites has been very good for everyone.

    Another example: transAtlantic boats. Columbus had to go begging to the government of Spain to get funding to send the first couple of boats over here,and they were putting them over here at the rate of about one every 2-3 years... But the mid-16th century, colonization was in private hands (in England and France, at least), and I'm sure you'll agree that transatlantic commerce got "a little better" as a result. Unless, again, you're arguing that Europe should still be sending boats over here at the rate of one every year or so...

  • by Linux_ho ( 205887 ) on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @12:13PM (#2532896) Homepage
    Anyone who read Richard Feynman's report on the Challenger explosion knows the Shuttle design process was flawed from the beginning. Exhaustive testing of material tolerances and other bottom-up procedures used in modern aircraft design were ignored in the Shuttle design process.

    It costs so much for every flight because they basically have to rebuild the engine after every run. Parts that were not designed to wear fall apart or develop stress fractures in a single run.

    I would support privatization 100% if they would give Boeing or Lockheed a contract to redesign the shuttle based on what we have learned from the current design and its flaws. NASA bureaucratic BS was responsible for allowing many of those flaws to exist. Feynman asked, "Do NASA managers even TALK to the engineers they're managing?" Privatization of maintaining the existing fleet wouldn't save nearly as much money as a new design would.
  • This was our idea (Score:2, Insightful)

    by FrankBough ( 173822 ) on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @12:29PM (#2532971) Homepage
    Weren't we talking about this the other day in the context of the ISS. Not exactly, maybe, but it all goes to the same end.

    If you take this out of the hands of the government then you can reduce the amount of interference it gets. By all means we should support government interference (in the public interest, of course) during development, but when a technology is well established it should run OK. Leaving it in government hands lays it open to streams of politicians who just can't resist fiddling.

    Let's face it - there already is competition in this market. That's why the Russian rockets and Arianes and so on are getting so much of the launch traffic. That's also why people are thinking of building new launch [space.com] facilities [space.com] commercially.

    Maybe if there is a profit motive behind it for someone, the shuttle will realise its original objective of being a low-cost launch vehicle.

    more on the original story here [space.com], BTW
  • Re:Inherent flaws (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Fjord ( 99230 ) on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @12:31PM (#2532983) Homepage Journal
    In case you "could care less" about this, I would be quick to remind you that its your tax money (if you're indeed a US citizen) and this could potentially save quite a bit of it.

    I thought the point is that it isn't our tax money. Instead, the launches will be privatized and the companies who use the services to lauch satellites etc will have to pay the full price. They will then take the risks involved in choosing one bidder over another, and the private organizations will come up with novel ways of increasing their payload/cost efficiency in oreder to maximize their profits or compete effectivly.

    I'm not 100% certain that this is a good approach, however.It very difficult for me to understand the economic game plan of the current executive in this country. Subsidizing launches is good for the economy in the way that lower interest rates and tax cuts are good for the economy. It seems like they are pulling with one hand while pushing with the other. Then there is just the factor that spinning off a new industry while the economy is receeding just doesn't seem smart to me. If these were boom times, then I'd be all for it.
  • Research (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Man of E ( 531031 ) <i.have@no.email.com> on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @12:32PM (#2532986)
    I have nothing against the private sector per se, but I agree that in this case it might not be a good idea.
    A lot of the R&D that happens on board the shuttle is quite subsidized, and I'm afraid that corporations are not going to be as friendly to researchers. What that means is that possibly some research projects won't be able to afford execution in space. We may somehow lose out on valuable basic research, which would be a shame.
    Perhaps the government could continue subsidizing research done on corporate spacecraft, through some extension of the NSF, or so.
  • by sql*kitten ( 1359 ) on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @12:40PM (#2533022)
    The reason no one bought them then, and the reason no one will buy them now, is the horrid expense of launching & reusing them - for example, on return to Earth, the Space Shuttle Main Engines are pulled, shipped to California, rebuilt to spec, and tested for ~75% of their design lifetime - any deviation during this test period results in the engine being scrapped. The Shuttle is an old design, and it wasn't efficient when it was new. Or consider the Solid Rocket Boosters, which actually cost more to retrieve and reuse than disposable boosters would.

    Quite. NASA, and it's budgets, are intensely political. The Shuttle camp were enormously influential, helped no doubt by political lobbying and kickbacks from key contractors and vendors, and hamstrung the various SSTO projects, which had the potential for cost effective shuttling between the ground and near-Earth orbits.

    The solution is to move all space activity into the private sector. Break up NASA and sell it off if anyone wants it, in an open auction. By all means keep a Federal agency to certify space vehicles as safe to launch (if launches are on US territory), but all the activity carried out in the private sector. If there's a business case for it, we'll have a man on Mars decades before NASA's bureacrats have even filled in the paperwork for that mission.
  • Re: bad idea (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Phil-14 ( 1277 ) on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @01:33PM (#2533297)

    I think the plan is they sell it to the usual
    suspect cost-plus contractors they work with already
    like Boeing or LockMart and then buy back the shuttle
    launches from them. This isn't going to save any
    money, it's just an accounting trick.



    It isn't even real privatization. It'll still
    remain a government run and funded program after
    it's done.

  • by code_rage ( 130128 ) on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @01:36PM (#2533307)
    A few years ago, there were several smallish companies working on commercial launchers: Beal Aerospace, Kistler, & Roton come to mind. The big hogs were feeding at the trough (LockMart's X-33).

    Of these projects, only Kistler is still standing.

    Meanwhile, the joint TRW / LMT / Alenia "AstroLink" project has quietly died. This project was to bring advanced broadband technologies into reality, building a constellation of communications satellites. The decision to terminate this project must be seen as an entirely rational one, in light of falling prices in global telecom capacity.

    NASA's Space Shuttle, contrary to public opinion, is not the reason that access to space is expensive. In fact, the Shuttle is not even a market consideration because no commercial entity has the slightest bit of interest in launching payloads on Shuttle.

    I'm not sure what will be accomplished by spinning Shuttle off to private enterprise. Here are some hypotheses:
    1. Establishes a budget firewall. Perhaps. This might have the effect of making the decision to launch a Shuttle a more rational economic decision. The weakness in this hypothesis is that the fixed costs of maintaining and operating the Shuttle fleet will need to be paid by some party, and there is no indication that it can be done without massive subsidies. Ultimately the costs will be borne by NASA, so what will have changed?
    2. Frees the Shuttle program from the Federal bureaucracy. I'm not so sure. Shuttle will still be primarily serving NASA's high value / heavy launch needs. All of the same contracting rules and documentary paperwork will still be in force.
    3. Permits radical changes in Shuttle doctrine to be considered. Possible. NASA mucky-mucks vigorously opposed Dennis Tito's trip to ISS, and perhaps they have realized that they blew an opportunity to capitalize on the biggest PR event of the Station so far. By pushing Shuttle out to a commercial operator, maybe someone will create a passenger module which could carry 20 Dennis Tito's into space. That could never happen while Shuttle is under NASA's wing.
    4. Hot potato hypothesis My personal favorite. Under this scenario, NASA just wants to be free of Shuttle, and doesn't much care how.
    5. Cut off Shuttle R+D, free up NASA brains for other research Another strong possibility. Astronauts will tell you that the Shuttle is still not an operational flight vehicle -- that it has flown only about 100 times, and that far more research is needed. There are some squirrely hypersonic and transonic issues which are more than an idle curiosity -- they could destroy the Shuttle and kill the crew. Handing Shuttle off to a commercial entity might free up some brains at NASA to go work on the next generation of technology.


    It's probably the right economic decision. NASA cannot hope to make progress on affordable access to space until they can establish a firewall against that drain of money and talent. It is my hope that NASA's space research programs will turn away from operations (missions) and will start research on basic technologies such as materials, propulsion, rail launchers, etc for 'affordable' access to space. Just as NACA's airfoil research laid the foundation for a vibrant and competitive aircraft industry in the 1930's, NASA should develop the foundations of a vibrant and commercially competitive launch industry.

    However, I fear for the Shuttle Astronauts. Although NASA's safety record has been good under Goldin, the Shuttle program is already stretched too thin on safety and maintenance. It's an amazing vehicle which requires a standing army to launch it safely.
  • by Fenris2001 ( 210117 ) <[ude.tmn] [ta] [sirnef]> on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @02:10PM (#2533480)
    It costs more to develop something which can be used multiple times, and then it costs more to individually produce components, then it costs more to do the recovery & restoration.


    Not true for all situations - yes, as NASA and the majority of the aerospace industry does it, developing a resuable launch vehicle takes years and costs billions. But there are counter-examples. Take the DC-X (or Delta Clipper or Clipper Graham, whatever). It cost $60 million to build, and was finished on time.

    The technology already exists to build a fully reusable LV, with long-life thermal tiles and engines. Such an LV could reduce launch costs by an order of magnitude or more.

    Just because NASA can't operate a reusable LV doesn't mean it's "proven to be a mistake".

  • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday November 07, 2001 @05:04PM (#2534419)
    ...why not go with the obvious, more, er, sensical solution? Namely, use russian launchers instead of the shuttle. I would have said "use unmaned rockets like the Titan or Delta IV" (I can't remember the exact designations, sorry), which can only be cheaper than the shuttle, but I remembered that russian launchers are even cheaper than american launchers.

    Or, if you don't want to use russian launchers, why not try the Ariane 5 (the biggest, current one, IIRC)?

    What I am trying to say is that:
    (a) you don't need to privatize the quasi-30 years old (ack!) shuttle to save money to put ISS components in space;

    (b) unmaned launchers are cheaper than the shuttle;

    (c) russian launchers are cheaper than american launchers (I remember an order of less than half the cost, if I heard correctly).

    If you push this kind of logic a bit further:

    (d) why not pay for a 2nd Soyouz (??) to be used as additionnal "emergency return space" instead of developping the costly X-3whatever?

    (e) and why not use a modified Leonardo/Donatello cargo module as living quarters? I'm sure the ESA could finance one or two such modules -- no?

    (f) etc.

    The ISS cannot provide any ROI if you stunt its development. Some significant R&D could be achieved, even some *industrial manufacturing* could be provided (zero-g must be a God-send for something, I'm sure of it) if all the facilities are sent up there. You could even do satellite repair if there were enough facilities *AND* personnel (how much does a satellite cost and how much does it cost to put it in orbit?).

    So we need the additional lab space as well as additional personnel: right now, the current crew is more busy keeping the place going than performing any "real" experiments.

    As long as no short-sighted so-called cost-cutting measures are acted upon, the ISS could become a very valuable asset for everyone. You only need some common-sense in management of this project, which starts with finding a cheaper way to send all the necessary bits and parts in orbit.

    Think about it: not only the US would save money, but the russians could use the additional revenue to finish their part of the ISS. Two birds with one stone!

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